Recent content by Firefight

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    Need help developing probability calculator for a game

    The goal of this game is to get your opponents life points down to 0 before he gets yours down to 0. You take turns hitting each other until one persons health is at 0. The variables are: Attack (accuracy of hitting instead of missing) Strength (how high you can hit) Defense (determines...
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    Is My Calculation of Tire Fault Probability Correct or Is My Teacher Right?

    I'll explain the problem in a nutshell. 2% of brand X tires are faulty, 98% aren't. If you take a car with 4 brand X tires, what is the probability that 3 of them are faulty? My work: (.02^3 * .98) * 4 = 0.003136% However, my teacher thought it was just: (.02^3 * .98) = 0.000784% I believe...
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    Gamblers Ruin - Markov Chain problem

    The way you interpret the problem is probably different from the professors. If P = .99, then over time it WILL diverge into a .99 success rate. If you have a million euros to start with, then the chance of you going back to 0 is virtually 0. Definitely not guaranteed. I believe the professor...
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    At what probability is it rational to look for paranormal explanations?

    Not exactly relevant, but still entertaining to read :p Thanks for the idea. I'm going to try that on a forum in the near future. Also thanks for the input Chiro.
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    At what probability is it rational to look for paranormal explanations?

    You're about to flip a quarter while your friend guesses which side will come up. You agree to switch turns after one incorrect guess each. He gets 2 in a row right before guessing wrong, and now it's your turn. You incorrectly guess the outcome of the first flip he does, and now it's his turn...
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