Recent content by jessica123

  1. J

    Optimal Number of Plays for Maximum Return: A Probability Analysis

    The question came in three parts and was verbally stated so please excuse my poor interpretation, i will try to provide more clarity Part1 was to work out average rate of return, given the stated stakes and probabilities, which i worked out as 33.3%. The second part was to draw a graph with...
  2. J

    Optimal Number of Plays for Maximum Return: A Probability Analysis

    The Sigmoid like function i referred to can be seen here(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sigmoid_function ) If 1 on the y-axis represents certain probability of us getting our 33.3% return. Then as the function tends toward 1 it becomes more likely we shall receive our 33.3% I apologize...
  3. J

    Optimal Number of Plays for Maximum Return: A Probability Analysis

    A game has two outcomes win or lose, the probability of winning is 1/3 and the probability of losing is 2/3, if i win i will receive 3 units but if i lose i will lose 1 unit, I've calculated that the average rate of return on this game is 33.3%. Over time it becomes more likely that i will...
Back
Top