Applying Modus Tollens in Conditional Statements

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the application of modus tollens in the context of conditional statements involving events and their probabilities. Participants explore the implications of using conditional probabilities alongside symbolic logic, and how to maintain certain conditions while applying logical rules.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants propose that if event B occurs given α, denoted as {B|α}, then it implies R: {B|α} → R, and they seek to apply modus tollens to derive ¬R → {¬B|α}.
  • Others argue that the formulation mixes conditional probability with symbolic logic, suggesting that B and α are events with their own probabilities, and that the expression should not involve probability in a logical context.
  • A participant mentions that α signifies all other factors being unchanged, questioning the necessity of α in the formulation.
  • Another participant suggests that α could be incorporated into a different variable, B', and that the investigation could be conducted independently for different conditions of α.
  • Some participants express confusion regarding the use of sets and circumstances, with one suggesting a Venn diagram for clarity.
  • There is a discussion about the implications of negation, with some participants indicating that ¬R leads to ¬B or ¬α, and referencing de Morgan's Laws to clarify the logical transformations involved.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus, as there are multiple competing views regarding the correct application of modus tollens and the role of conditional probabilities in the discussion. The conversation remains unresolved with differing interpretations of the logical relationships presented.

Contextual Notes

There are limitations in the discussion regarding the definitions of events and the assumptions about the relationships between B, R, and α. The interplay between symbolic logic and probability remains a point of contention.

entropy1
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I can't figure out this: Say we have event B given α, denoted as {B|α}. If B happens, that implies that R happens: {B|α} → R.

Now I want to apply modus Tollens. So if I do, do I get the result: ¬R → {¬B|α}? I mean, I hope I can keep the α unaffected. Is that the case? ¬X meaning X does not happen.
 
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entropy1 said:
I can't figure out this: Say we have event B given α, denoted as {B|α}. If B happens, that implies that R happens: {B|α} → R.
This doesn't seem right to me. What you have written looks like a conditional probability, rather than one of the usual operations used in symbolic logic; e.g. conjunction, disjunction, negation, or implication. For starters B and A (let's use A rather than α) are both events, each with its own probability of occurring. The conditional probability Pr(B | A) is defined as:
$$Pr(B | A) = \frac{Pr(A \wedge B)}{Pr(A)}$$
With symbolic logic an expression is either true or false, so probability doesn't enter into the calculations. It seems to me you are mixing symbolic logic and probability.

entropy1 said:
Now I want to apply modus Tollens. So if I do, do I get the result: ¬R → {¬B|α}? I mean, I hope I can keep the α unaffected. Is that the case? ¬X meaning X does not happen.
 
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I forgot to mention that the α signifies all other factors are left unchanged. Maybe that is reasonable? My original formulation was {B, α}, a loose formulation.
 
I do not see how ## \alpha## is necessary here. Just put it into ##B'##. So if ##B' \to R## and ##\lnot R## then modus tollendo tollens says ##\lnot B'##. Now that we have ##B'=\{B\,|\,\alpha\}## as given ##\alpha##, you can independently investigate ##\{B\,|\,\alpha\}## and ##\{B\,|\,\lnot \alpha\}.##
 
B is a specific event out of set {}B. ¬B is any event different from event B out of the same set. Likewise for R.

Suppose that {B, α} → R (1) and {¬B, α} → ¬R (2), where α is an element out of the set of possible circumstances for events out of set {}B.

Then (2) would be the same as {B, α} ← R, would it? R implies B, but not the circumstances α. α is more or less a given.
 
I am officially confused by your special anysets of circumstances. Reminds me a bit of the famous anykey. My first reaction was: draw me a Venn diagram.

You can only conclude ##R\longrightarrow \lnot \{\lnot B,\alpha\}##. Whether ##\lnot \{\lnot B,\alpha\} \longleftrightarrow \{B,\alpha\}## cannot be said from the information you gave us.
 
entropy1 said:
I can't figure out this: Say we have event B given α, denoted as {B|α}. If B happens, that implies that R happens: {B|α} → R.

Now I want to apply modus Tollens. So if I do, do I get the result: ¬R → {¬B|α}? I mean, I hope I can keep the α unaffected. Is that the case? ¬X meaning X does not happen.

It sounds like you're just using {B|a} to mean B and a. The negation would be not R implies (not B or not a).
 
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Jarvis323 said:
It sounds like you're just using {B|a} to mean B and a. The negation would be not R implies not B or not a.
Exactly what I was thinking.

It seems to come down to (Bn AND α) → Rn, or ¬Rn → (¬Bn OR ¬α).

Thanks!
 
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entropy1 said:
Exactly what I was thinking.

It seems to come down to (Bn AND α) → Rn, or ¬Rn → (¬Bn OR ¬α).

Thanks!
That makes more sense. Here you're using one of de Morgan's Laws to convert ##\neg (B_n \wedge \alpha)## to ##(\neg B_n \vee \neg \alpha)##.
 
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The modus tollendo tollens rule is a logic rule that is usually called modus tollens and which can be derived via transposition from the modus ponens rule − some writers refer to modus tollendo ponens and some writers refer to modus ponendo tollens -- anyway the modus ponens rule is that if A then B, and A, then B, and the modus tollens rule is that if A then B, and not B, then not A.
 
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