Axioms of Probability: Cell Phone Factory

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around the axioms of probability in the context of a cell phone factory, where the probabilities of rejection, repair, and acceptance are given as 0.5, 0.2, and 0.2, respectively. Participants are examining whether these probabilities adhere to the fundamental principles of probability theory.

Discussion Character

  • Conceptual clarification, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Some participants attempt to determine if the provided probabilities sum to one, questioning the implications of a 10% chance of an additional issue not accounted for in the original probabilities. Others explore the necessity of defining the sample space and whether the conditions are mutually exclusive.

Discussion Status

The discussion is active, with participants offering insights and questioning the assumptions underlying the problem. There is recognition of the potential ambiguity in the wording of the question, and some guidance is provided regarding the need for clarity in defining the sample space.

Contextual Notes

Participants note that the question may be poorly worded, leading to confusion about the completeness of the sample space and the interpretation of the probabilities given.

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Homework Statement


Give an factory of cell phones there is a .5 rejections, .2 repaired, and .2 acceptable. Does this follow the axioms of probability.

Homework Equations


Sample space = 1;
Probaby: 0 -1
P(AnB)=P(A)+P(B)

The Attempt at a Solution


Technically this does follow the axioms, there is just a 10% chance there is another issue of a board. Be it missing or something. Is that right?
 
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It depends. If you say that 10% is neither accepted, rejected or repaired (so there is something else), you are correct.

If however there are only 3 possibilities (accept-reject-repair), you are wrong, since then ##\mathbb{P}(\Omega) = 0.9 \neq 1##.
 
Math_QED said:
Hint: the probability on the sample space must be 1. I.e., ##P(\Omega)=1##.

What is it in your case?

Well technically with how the question is worded it the sample space is accounted for. I guess we we assume there is only 3 conditions of a cell phone it's not accounted for. If we assume they there could be another option that wasn't listed it does account for 100% of the cases.
 
noreturn2 said:
Well technically with how the question is worded it the sample space is accounted for. I guess we we assume there is only 3 conditions of a cell phone it's not accounted for. If we assume they there could be another option that wasn't listed it does account for 100% of the cases.

Yes, I edited my post. Please have a look.
 
noreturn2 said:

Homework Statement


Give an factory of cell phones there is a .5 rejections, .2 repaired, and .2 acceptable. Does this follow the axioms of probability.

Homework Equations


Sample space = 1;
Probaby: 0 -1
P(AnB)=P(A)+P(B)

The Attempt at a Solution


Technically this does follow the axioms, there is just a 10% chance there is another issue of a board. Be it missing or something. Is that right?

You must also make assumptions that, say, repaired and acceptable are mutually exclusive.

The question is badly worded, IMO. Simply quoting three numbers says nothing about the axioms of probability. It is mathematically imprecise.
 

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