Calculating Probability of Cars' Expected Speed with Hypothesis Testing

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the probability related to the expected speed of cars using hypothesis testing within the context of statistics. The original poster presents a scenario involving the speed of 12 random cars, with specific parameters for standard deviation and mean, and seeks to determine if the expected speed is less than a given value.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the formulation of null and alternative hypotheses and the appropriateness of using a Z statistic given the normal distribution of car speeds. Questions arise regarding the correct setup of hypotheses and the interpretation of the test statistic.

Discussion Status

The discussion is active, with participants providing guidance on hypothesis formulation and the implications of the test statistic. There is an exploration of different interpretations of the null and alternative hypotheses, indicating a lack of consensus on the correct approach.

Contextual Notes

Participants note the significance level and the assumption of normality in the underlying population distribution, which may influence the choice of statistical methods. There is also mention of the need to consider all possibilities in hypothesis testing.

superwolf
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If \sigma = 10 km/h and \mu = 74 km/t, find the probability that we when measuring the speed of 12 random cars can conclude that the expected speed of the cars is less than 77 km/h. Use \alpha=0.05 level of significance.

z = \frac{\bar{x}-\mu_0}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}} = \frac{77-74}{10/\sqrt{12}}=1.039

Am I on the right track?
 
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You should always state your hypothesis and then process to do the test statistic.

Also a Z statistic in this case, might be appropriate is the underlying population distribution is known to be normal. For this case maybe you can use it safely, because car speeds are usually normally distributed if the the simple random samplings were done correctly.

You should also state your conclusion, Do you Reject or Fail to Reject the null?
 
<br /> H_0: v=77<br />
<br /> H_1: v&lt;77<br />
 
<br /> H_0:\mu =77<br />

<br /> H_1:\mu &lt;77<br />

z_{observed} = 1.039

What should I do now?
 
Since you're dealing with a normal distribution, the probability of your null hypothesis is zero. Also, your null and alternate hypotheses should include all possibilities -- what if v > 77?

From the wording of the problem I think these are your hypotheses:
H0: v < 77
H1: v >= 77

With things set up this way, your test would be a one-tailed test.
 

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