Calculating Sample Size for Proportion Estimation

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To estimate the proportion of automobile accidents involving pedestrians with 99% certainty and a margin of error of 0.03, a sample size of 1179 is required if the true proportion is believed to be 0.2. If no information about the true proportion is available, a larger sample size of 1842 is needed, using a conservative estimate of 0.25. The calculations utilize the formula n = p(1-p) [zα/2/E]^2 for known proportions and n = 0.25[zα/2/E]^2 for unknown proportions. The discussion emphasizes the importance of confidence in statistical work and understanding different cases in sample size calculations. Overall, the calculations provided appear to be correct based on the formulas used.
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Homework Statement


  1. A national safety council wishes to estimate the proportion of automobile accidents that involve pedestrians. How large a sample of accident records must be examined to be 99% certain that the estimate does not differ from the true proportion by more than 0.03? Answer the question if

    (a) the council believes that the true proportion is 0.2.

    (b) no information about the true proportion is given.

The Attempt at a Solution


α = .01 , α/2 = .005, z.005 = 2.575
a) n = p(1-p) [zα/2/E]^2
= (.2)(.8)[2.575/.03]^2 = 1179

b) n = .25[zα/2/E]^2 = (.25)[2.575/.03]^2 = 1842

is this correct?
 
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toothpaste666 said:

Homework Statement


  1. A national safety council wishes to estimate the proportion of automobile accidents that involve pedestrians. How large a sample of accident records must be examined to be 99% certain that the estimate does not differ from the true proportion by more than 0.03? Answer the question if

    (a) the council believes that the true proportion is 0.2.

    (b) no information about the true proportion is given.

The Attempt at a Solution


α = .01 , α/2 = .005, z.005 = 2.575
a) n = p(1-p) [zα/2/E]^2
= (.2)(.8)[2.575/.03]^2 = 1179

b) n = .25[zα/2/E]^2 = (.25)[2.575/.03]^2 = 1842

is this correct?

(1) Have you used the correct formulas?
(2) Have you used the formulas correctly?
(3) Have you made no arithmetical errors?

If your answer to (1)--(3) is YES, then your answer will be correct.

You need to start having confidence in your own work. Frankly, your endless series of similar questions is starting to get old.
 
I apologize. This is the first stats class I have taken, so I wanted to make sure I understand the differences between all the different cases and that I am using the correct statistic for the correct problems. It is because I am reviewing for a final. I won't post any more hypothesis testing questions.
 
You can test the reverse direction. Given a sample of n=1179 with p=0.2, how likely is a deviation of 0.03 or more?
 
Question: A clock's minute hand has length 4 and its hour hand has length 3. What is the distance between the tips at the moment when it is increasing most rapidly?(Putnam Exam Question) Answer: Making assumption that both the hands moves at constant angular velocities, the answer is ## \sqrt{7} .## But don't you think this assumption is somewhat doubtful and wrong?

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