Can You Outpredict Paul the Octopus in the 2014 PF World Cup League?

  • Thread starter Thread starter micromass
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    world cup
Click For Summary

Discussion Overview

The thread discusses predictions for the outcomes of matches in the 2014 World Cup, inviting participants to compare their forecasting abilities against Paul the Octopus. The scope includes voting on overall winners, runner-ups, and individual match outcomes, with a focus on points awarded for correct predictions.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory

Main Points Raised

  • Participants are encouraged to predict the winner and runner-up of the World Cup, with various individuals suggesting different teams such as Spain, Brazil, Germany, and Argentina.
  • Voting on individual match outcomes is also proposed, with points awarded for correct results and scores, leading to a variety of predictions for specific matches.
  • Some participants express confidence in their predictions, while others offer differing views on match outcomes, indicating a range of opinions on team performances.
  • Specific match predictions are shared, with participants providing their expected scores for various games, showcasing a diversity of forecasting strategies.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

There is no consensus on which team will win the World Cup, as multiple competing views are presented. Participants have differing predictions for individual matches as well.

Contextual Notes

Participants' predictions depend on personal assessments of team strengths and weaknesses, and the discussion reflects a variety of assumptions about match outcomes without resolving these uncertainties.

  • #271
Brazil - Germany: 2 - 1
 
Physics news on Phys.org
  • #272
That was a tough prediction to make!
 
  • #273
micromass said:
Hey, I get points anyway, no matter who wins :biggrin:

Not if Brazil wins the semis and loses the final... :)
 
  • #274
Matterwave said:
Not if Brazil wins the semis and loses the final... :)

Yes he will, he will get half the points of the winner prediction.
 
  • #275
Winner prediction: Germany
 
  • #276
Netherlands - Argentina: 1 - 2
 
  • #277
micromass said:
Winner prediction: Germany
I'm withholding judgment until tomorrow and the Netherlands v Argentina game. Today, tomorrow, the day after, it doesn't matter: It's still a paltry two points that those of us who stuck with Brazil can possibly win.
 
  • #278
montadhar said:
Netherlands - Argentina: 1 - 2

It seems that I was 2 minutes too late :smile: Which is fine by me.
I am more interested in what would the leader-board look like had everyone's votes counted.
 
  • #279
Brazil - Netherlands (12 July): 0 - 1 Netherlands win

Germany - Argentina (13 July): 2 - 0 Germany win
 
  • #280
winner prediction: argentina
 
  • #281
Brazil vs Netherlands: 0-2
Germany vs Argentina: 1-0

Winner prediction: Germany
 
Last edited:
  • #282
Brazil v Netherlands: 1 - 0
Germany - Argentina: 0 - 1
 
  • #283
Winner: Argentina
 
  • #284
Brazil v Netherlands: 1-3
 
  • #285
These 2 matches are the hardest for me to predict of all the previous matches...

Final:
Argentina-Germany: 3-2 GO FOR BROKE!

Semi-final:
Brazil-Netherlands: 1-0

I think Brazil still has something to prove, while the Netherlands doesn't really care about 3rd place.
 
  • #286
Germany-Argentina: 2-1. Ger. wins.
 
  • #287
Germany vs Argentina: 1-2
 
  • #288
fluidistic said:
Germany-Argentina: 2-1. Ger. wins.

Wait a minute - aren't you in Argentina?
 
  • #289
Question: can I vote for Argentina in the match prediction and still have Germany in the main winner prediction ?
 
  • #290
montadhar said:
Question: can I vote for Argentina in the match prediction and still have Germany in the main winner prediction ?

Yes.
 
  • #291
Brazil - Netherlands: 0 - 5
Germany - Argentina: 2 - 0
 
  • #292
Brazil - Netherlands: 1 - 3
Germany - Argentina: 2 - 0

micromass said:
Brazil - Netherlands: 0 - 5
Ouch, if that happens it will be very painful to watch... :blushing:EDIT: And if Argentina should win the final, it would be extra painful for me to watch this entry :redface::
micromass said:
Posted on 12 June (12 points):
[STRIKE]DennisN - Argentina[/STRIKE]
 
Last edited:
  • #293
Brazil - Netherlands: 3 - 0
 
  • #294
lisab said:
Wait a minute - aren't you in Argentina?

Yes I am. But I want to sleep that night... I'm dead serious :)
No party please. I've had enough of the 2 previous games of Argentina. Almost impossible to go out and buy food...
Go Germany!
 
  • #295
Brasil v holland: 1-2
Germany v Argentina: 1-0
 
  • #296
fluidistic said:
Yes I am. But I want to sleep that night... I'm dead serious :)
No party please. I've had enough of the 2 previous games of Argentina. Almost impossible to go out and buy food...
Go Germany!

I understand that completely :approve:.
 
  • #297
This concludes the PF World Cup Futbol League of 2014!

OVERALL WINNER OF THE PF FUTBOL LEAGUE

MONTADHAR

WINNER OF THE INDIVIDUAL MATCHES

DENNISN

Congratulations to montadhar and DennisN! And congratulations to all other players as well. I had a lot of fun with this thread and I hope you had too!

Thanks for playing!
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: 1 person
  • #298
micromass said:
This concludes the PF World Cup Futbol League of 2014!

OVERALL WINNER OF THE PF FUTBOL LEAGUE

MONTADHAR

WINNER OF THE INDIVIDUAL MATCHES

DENNISN

Congratulations to montadhar and DennisN! And congratulations to all other players as well. I had a lot of fun with this thread and I hope you had too!

Thanks for playing!


I definitely had a lot of fun! I know DennisN had a lot of fun too :biggrin:
Thanks micromass for the massive effort you put into the league! You will have a lot of free time now :biggrin:

Is it possible to have the statistics for the predictions ? And if possible, the ones had the deadlines not been considered.
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: 1 person
  • #299
fluidistic said:
Thank you Götzilla!

I just wonder one thing, since I don't know much about the rules of football. At minute 57 Neuer clattered Higuain in the goal keeper zone, did that deserve a penalty like the Argentinian people are claiming?
I doubt it because Neuer played the ball (and removed it) while Higuain didn't even touch the ball.

I think it was a foul. Although he got the ball, he clearly leapt into Higuain - if Neuer was an outfield player it would certainly have been given against him, but goalies get too much protection.

Thanks for running the competition, micro. I shall come back fighting in two years ;)
 
  • #300
micromass said:
Congratulations to montadhar and DennisN! And congratulations to all other players as well. I had a lot of fun with this thread and I hope you had too!

Thanks for playing!
Thank you! And thanks to everyone for making this into a very fun and addictive thread!
I definitely had a lot of fun! It is more than a month since this thread started, a long game! I think it was exciting even until the end.

And a special, big thanks to micromass for his huge effort in managing the contest and the thread, great work!
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: 1 person

Similar threads

2014 FIFA World Cup Preview: Group Deathmatches
  • · Replies 13 ·
Replies
13
Views
4K
Discuss the World Cup 2010: England vs. USA
  • · Replies 451 ·
16
Replies
451
Views
56K
Rugby World Cup Quarter Final Predictions - Who Will Take the Trophy?
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
3K
High School Which probability calculation is "more correct" in Baccarat games?
  • · Replies 9 ·
Replies
9
Views
5K
Stanley Cup Finals: Pens vs Red Wings - Who Wins?
  • · Replies 27 ·
Replies
27
Views
4K
News Who will win the popular vote and by what margin?
  • · Replies 39 ·
2
Replies
39
Views
6K
Can You Predict the Winners in the Olympic Hockey Pool Championship?
  • · Replies 58 ·
2
Replies
58
Views
7K
PF Hockey Pool Championship: Guess Matches & Win Glory!
  • · Replies 14 ·
Replies
14
Views
3K
Solving FIFA's 2014 Points Allocation Algorithm with Pseudocode
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
5K
Graduate Can You Devise a Winning Strategy for This Blindfolded Cup Flipping Game?
  • · Replies 12 ·
Replies
12
Views
4K