Collecting opinions on Gianpaolo Giuliani's work

  • Thread starter Thread starter Einj
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Opinions Work
Click For Summary

Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around Giampaolo Giuliani's theory regarding earthquake prediction based on argon measurements. Participants explore the credibility of Giuliani's claims and the scientific reception of his work, particularly in Italy and other countries. The conversation touches on the historical context of similar theories and the challenges of predicting earthquakes.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants express skepticism about Giuliani's methods, noting that many scientists in Italy consider him a "charlatan."
  • One participant mentions that the idea of predicting earthquakes through gas measurements has been around since the 1960s, with mixed results regarding its effectiveness.
  • Another participant highlights that Giuliani's 2009 prediction was incorrect in both timing and location, raising concerns about the reliability of his predictions.
  • Concerns are raised about Giuliani's credibility as a scientist, with one participant noting a lack of recognition of his work in reputable scientific journals in Italy.
  • A participant from the UK shares that their region experiences radon but infrequent earth tremors, suggesting geographical differences in the relevance of Giuliani's theory.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants generally express skepticism about Giuliani's claims and methods, but there is no consensus on the validity of his work or its scientific acceptance outside Italy. Multiple competing views regarding the effectiveness of gas measurements for earthquake prediction remain.

Contextual Notes

Participants note the historical context of similar theories and the challenges associated with predicting earthquakes, including the implications of false predictions on public safety.

Who May Find This Useful

Individuals interested in earthquake prediction theories, geophysics, and the scientific discourse surrounding controversial scientific claims may find this discussion relevant.

Einj
Messages
464
Reaction score
59
Hi everyone. A few days ago I listened something about Giampaolo Giuliani's theory about earthquakes prevision. I'm from Italy and in my country this is a quite sensitive topic. This person pretends to have discovered a method of prevision, based on the measurement of argon released right before an earthquake.
Here in Italy he is considered from most scientists as a "charlatan" and, although I don't have any knowledge on geophysics, I admit to be a little skeptical too.
Giuliani asserts to be well known in different countries and that many foreign scientists have considered his work. I would like to know if someone who belongs to a country different from Italy has ever heard about this guy and, if so, what is the common idea about his theories.

Thank you very much
 
Earth sciences news on Phys.org
The idea has been around since at least the 1960's. Lots of papers on the subject. A quick google suggests it seems to "work" sometimes and not others. Sometimes you get radon spikes followed by a quake and sometimes you don't. The problem is you can't evacuate a town for a month every time there is a spike.

Several web article say that Giampaolo Giuliani's 2009 prediction was wrong anyway...

http://www.precaution.org/lib/ccs_causes_earthquakes.090414.htm

To complicate matters, Mr. Giuliani's prediction was off in time and place. He had predicted that the quake would hit a week earlier in a town 30 miles away. Had officials acted on his prediction, said Richard M. Allen, a professor of geophysics at the University of California, Berkeley, "you would have evacuated the wrong town and you would have evacuated the wrong town at the wrong time."
 
Thank you. I'll definitely have a look at it. My greatest concern, however, was on the credibility of Mr. Giuliani himself as a scientist, as he affirms to be well known and respected, while here in Italy nobody seems to have ever read any of his works on a real scientific journal.
 
Well the area of the UK I live in is a 'radon area', which means that radon percolates up through foundations all the time in some localities.

Earth tremors on the other hand only happen here every couple of centurys or so. We don't have real quakes.
 

Similar threads

Replies
2
Views
972
  • · Replies 15 ·
Replies
15
Views
3K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
4K
  • · Replies 17 ·
Replies
17
Views
3K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
6K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
2K
  • · Replies 47 ·
2
Replies
47
Views
9K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
3K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
3K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
2K