Computing an optimum portfolio for a CARA utility function

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around maximizing the expected utility function defined by a CARA utility function, specifically in the context of a multivariate normal distribution. The original poster presents a problem involving the optimization of a vector ##\xi## that maximizes the expected utility derived from a random variable ##Y##, which follows a multivariate normal distribution characterized by a mean vector and an invertible covariance matrix.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Mathematical reasoning, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the necessity of taking derivatives of the expected utility function to find the optimal vector ##\xi^*##. There is a focus on the first and second derivatives and the implications of the Hessian matrix for determining the nature of the critical points. Some participants express uncertainty about the computation of these derivatives and suggest deriving an explicit formula for the expected utility function.

Discussion Status

The discussion is ongoing, with participants exploring different approaches to compute the necessary derivatives and evaluate the expected utility function. Some guidance has been offered regarding the evaluation of the function and the use of properties of the multivariate normal distribution, but no consensus has been reached on the best method to proceed.

Contextual Notes

There is mention of potential simplifications in the case where the covariance matrix ##\Sigma## is diagonal, which may influence the approach to solving the problem. Participants are also navigating the complexity of the second-order conditions for optimization.

TaPaKaH
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Homework Statement


##u(x)=1-e^{-ax}##.
Random variable ##Y\in\mathbb{R}^d## is a multivariate normal distribution with mean vector ##m## and invertible covariance matrix ##\Sigma##.
Task: Find ##\xi^*\in\mathbb{R}^d## that maximises ##\mathbb{E}u(\xi\cdot Y)## over ##\xi##.

Homework Equations

.[/B]
For ##Y## above, its density function is $$f_Y(x)=\frac{1}{(2\pi)^{d/2}|\Sigma|^{1/2}}e^{-\frac{(x-m)^T\Sigma^{-1}(x-m)}{2}}$$

The Attempt at a Solution


Do I get it right that in order to find ##\xi^*## I need to solve ##\frac{d}{d\xi_i}\mathbb{E}u(\xi\cdot Y)=0## for ##i=1..d## and then check whether all ##\frac{d}{d\xi_i^2}\mathbb{E}u(\xi\cdot Y)## are negative?
 
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TaPaKaH said:

Homework Statement


##u(x)=1-e^{-ax}##.
Random variable ##Y\in\mathbb{R}^d## is a multivariate normal distribution with mean vector ##m## and invertible covariance matrix ##\Sigma##.
Task: Find ##\xi^*\in\mathbb{R}^d## that maximises ##\mathbb{E}u(\xi\cdot Y)## over ##\xi##.

Homework Equations

.[/B]
For ##Y## above, its density function is $$f_Y(x)=\frac{1}{(2\pi)^{d/2}|\Sigma|^{1/2}}e^{-\frac{(x-m)^T\Sigma^{-1}(x-m)}{2}}$$

The Attempt at a Solution


Do I get it right that in order to find ##\xi^*## I need to solve ##\frac{d}{d\xi_i}\mathbb{E}u(\xi\cdot Y)=0## for ##i=1..d## and then check whether all ##\frac{d}{d\xi_i^2}\mathbb{E}u(\xi\cdot Y)## are negative?

Yes, for ##F(\vec{\xi}) = E u (\vec{\xi} \cdot \vec{Y})## you need to set
[tex]\frac{\partial F}{\partial \xi_i} = 0, \: i = 1, \ldots, d,[/tex]
but the second-order test is more complicated that what you indicated: you need to check that the ##d \times d## Hessian matrix
[tex]H(\vec{\xi}) = \left[ \begin{array}{cccc}<br /> \partial^2 F/ \partial \xi_1 ^2 & \partial^2 F / \partial \xi_1 \partial \xi_2 & \cdots & <br /> \partial^2 F/ \partial \xi_1 \partial \xi_d\\<br /> \partial^2 F /\partial \xi_2 \partial \xi_1 & \partial^2 F/ \partial \xi_2 ^2 & \cdots &<br /> \partial^2 F/ \partial \xi_2 \partial \xi_d\\<br /> \vdots & \vdots & \ddots & \vdots \\<br /> \partial^2 F /\partial \xi_d \partial \xi_1 &\partial^2 F /\partial \xi_d \partial \xi_2 &<br /> \cdots & \partial^2 F/ \partial \xi_d ^d<br /> \end{array}\right][/tex]
is negative-definite at the optimal value ##\vec{\xi} =\vec{\xi^*} ##.

However, before embarking on any of that I urge you to first evaluate ##F(\vec{\xi})## as an explicit formula; believe it or not it is not too bad!
 
Last edited:
This is what I got so far:
for ##g(\xi)=\mathbb{E}e^{-\xi\cdot Y}## which we are now looking to minimise,
$$g(\xi)=\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}e^{-\xi\cdot x}f_Y(x)dx=\frac{1}{(2\pi)^{d/2}|\Sigma|^{1/2}}\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}e^{-\xi\cdot x}e^{-(x-m)^T\Sigma^{-1}(x-m)/2}dx$$
$$\frac{\partial g}{\partial\xi_i}(\xi)=\frac{-1}{(2\pi)^{d/2}|\Sigma|^{1/2}}\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}x_ie^{-\xi\cdot x}e^{-(x-m)^T\Sigma^{-1}(x-m)/2}dx=-\mathbb{E}(Y_ie^{-\xi\cdot Y})$$
$$\frac{\partial^2g}{\partial\xi_i\xi_j}(\xi)=\mathbb{E}(Y_iY_je^{-\xi\cdot Y})$$
Indeed, it doesn't seem to look too bad, but now I am at slight loss at how to compute the derivatives.
 
TaPaKaH said:
This is what I got so far:
for ##g(\xi)=\mathbb{E}e^{-\xi\cdot Y}## whicdh we are now looking to minimise,
$$g(\xi)=\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}e^{-\xi\cdot x}f_Y(x)dx=\frac{1}{(2\pi)^{d/2}|\Sigma|^{1/2}}\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}e^{-\xi\cdot x}e^{-(x-m)^T\Sigma^{-1}(x-m)/2}dx$$
$$\frac{\partial g}{\partial\xi_i}(\xi)=\frac{-1}{(2\pi)^{d/2}|\Sigma|^{1/2}}\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}x_ie^{-\xi\cdot x}e^{-(x-m)^T\Sigma^{-1}(x-m)/2}dx=-\mathbb{E}(Y_ie^{-\xi\cdot Y})$$
$$\frac{\partial^2g}{\partial\xi_i\xi_j}(\xi)=\mathbb{E}(Y_iY_je^{-\xi\cdot Y})$$
Indeed, it doesn't seem to look too bad, but now I am at slight loss at how to compute the derivatives.

This is not what I meant: I suggested you derive an explicit formula for ##F(\xi)##, and that means calculating the expectation first, by actually doing the d-dimensional integrations! YES: believe it or not, it is quite easy. You just need to use a number of fundamental facts about multivariate normal and univariate normal random variables, and these are available via a Google search on the keywords 'multivariate normal distribution'.
 
It might be instructive to first solve this in the case where [itex]\Sigma[/itex] is a diagonal matrix.
 

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