MHB Conditional exponential probability

Longines
Messages
9
Reaction score
0
Hello all,

I've been stuck on this question for a while and it's annoying the stew out of me!

I know it's a basic definition type of question, but I can't seem to understand it. Can any of you help?

Question:
Let X be a random variable and A be an event such that, conditional on A, X is exponential with parameter λ, and conditional on $A^c$ (A complement), X is exponential with parameter μ.
Write E[X] in terms of λ, μ and p, the probability of A
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Hello

Thankyou for sharing your problem with us at the MHB! :)

I suggest, you make a first step by writing down the law of total expectation:

$E[X] = \sum_{i=1}^{n} E[X|A_i]\cdot P(A_i)$

In this specific case the sum has only two terms ($n=2$)
 
lfdahl said:
Hello

Thankyou for sharing your problem with us at the MHB! :)

I suggest, you make a first step by writing down the law of total expectation:

$E[X] = \sum_{i=1}^{n} E[X|A_i]\cdot P(A_i)$

In this specific case the sum has only two terms ($n=2$)
I figured it had something to do with this, but I don't understand how I express it with lambda and such.

Could you please elaborate?
 
Longines said:
I figured it had something to do with this, but I don't understand how I express it with lambda and such.

Could you please elaborate?

The expectation of an exponential distribution with parameter $\lambda$ is $\frac 1 \lambda$.
So:
$$E[X|A] = \frac 1 \lambda$$
 
Longines said:
I figured it had something to do with this, but I don't understand how I express it with lambda and such.

Could you please elaborate?

First step:$E[X] = E[X|A] \cdot P(A)+E[X|A^c] \cdot P(A^c)$According to #4 you know $E[X|A]$ and $E[X|A^c]$ as $\frac{1}{\lambda}$ and $\frac{1}{\mu}$ respectively.If $P(A)=p$ then what is $P(A^c)$?

Now, try to express $E[X]$ in terms of $\lambda$, $\mu$ and $p$.
 
Longines said:
Hello all,

I've been stuck on this question for a while and it's annoying the hell out of me!

I know it's a basic definition type of question, but I can't seem to understand it. Can any of you help?

Question:
Let X be a random variable and A be an event such that, conditional on A, X is exponential with parameter λ, and conditional on $A^c$ (A complement), X is exponential with parameter μ.
Write E[X] in terms of λ, μ and p, the probability of A

If $P \{A\} = p$ and $P \{A^{c}\} = 1 - p$, then is...

$\displaystyle E \{X\} = \frac{p}{\lambda} + \frac{1 - p}{\mu}\ (1)$

Kind regards

$\chi$ $\sigma$
 
Namaste & G'day Postulate: A strongly-knit team wins on average over a less knit one Fundamentals: - Two teams face off with 4 players each - A polo team consists of players that each have assigned to them a measure of their ability (called a "Handicap" - 10 is highest, -2 lowest) I attempted to measure close-knitness of a team in terms of standard deviation (SD) of handicaps of the players. Failure: It turns out that, more often than, a team with a higher SD wins. In my language, that...
Hi all, I've been a roulette player for more than 10 years (although I took time off here and there) and it's only now that I'm trying to understand the physics of the game. Basically my strategy in roulette is to divide the wheel roughly into two halves (let's call them A and B). My theory is that in roulette there will invariably be variance. In other words, if A comes up 5 times in a row, B will be due to come up soon. However I have been proven wrong many times, and I have seen some...
Back
Top