Covid worldometer Spike 6.10.21

  • Thread starter Thread starter pinball1970
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Covid
AI Thread Summary
Recent adjustments in COVID-19 death reporting have raised questions about data spikes, particularly a notable increase in reported deaths in China and the UK. The discussion highlights that these spikes may result from delayed reporting, where deaths are counted retroactively, leading to sudden increases in data. For instance, New Mexico's reporting practices often result in deaths being reported weeks after they occur, contributing to apparent spikes in the data. The conversation emphasizes the importance of understanding how excess deaths are calculated and the periodic nature of data presentation, suggesting that examining 7-day averages can provide a clearer picture of actual death rates.
pinball1970
Gold Member
Messages
3,504
Reaction score
5,529
TL;DR Summary
A huge spike representing over 23,000 deaths in one day on October 6th.
I check this pretty regularly so I am sure this is a recent adjustment. China made a similar adjustment last year, around May adding 1200. The UK too some numbers off towards the end of last year (around 5,000?)
How does this work?
This spike seems very large.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/EDIT: It has disappeared!

It was definitely there, deaths 6.10.21 23,000 deaths.

@StatGuy2000 @atyy @Ygggdrasil may have seen it?
 
Last edited:
Biology news on Phys.org
Maybe someone double counted some deaths and then fixed it.
 
  • Like
Likes pinball1970
Often, reporting lags and then catches up all at once so the "spike" could be just that.
 
  • Like
Likes pinball1970
Ok, thanks for the input.
 
It usually relates to how excess deaths are determined and reported. Somewhat like an audit, for an analogy.
For example, the US state of New Mexico often reports a few Covid deaths as much as 30 days after the fact. The number gets lumped with the larger, recent group of deaths. So Worldometer shows a large deaths spike in the new New Mexico graph where several counties all reported death well after the fact - plus, reporting is limited by the fact that local government offices are closed on weekends and holidays.

Go here: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/new-mexico/
Go to the deaths graph, put your cursor on Nov 19, 2021.

Also note the very periodic nature of the data presentation in general. Hundreds of mini-spikes. To get an idea of what is closer to actual death rates, click the 7-day average box below the x-axis. Then move your cursor over the same spot on the graph - again.
 
  • Like
Likes pinball1970
https://www.nhs.uk/mental-health/conditions/body-dysmorphia/ Most people have some mild apprehension about their body, such as one thinks their nose is too big, hair too straight or curvy. At the extreme, cases such as this, are difficult to completely understand. https://www.msn.com/en-ca/health/other/why-would-someone-want-to-amputate-healthy-limbs/ar-AA1MrQK7?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=68ce4014b1fe4953b0b4bd22ef471ab9&ei=78 they feel like they're an amputee in the body of a regular person "For...
Thread 'Did they discover another descendant of homo erectus?'
The study provides critical new insights into the African Humid Period, a time between 14,500 and 5,000 years ago when the Sahara desert was a green savanna, rich in water bodies that facilitated human habitation and the spread of pastoralism. Later aridification turned this region into the world's largest desert. Due to the extreme aridity of the region today, DNA preservation is poor, making this pioneering ancient DNA study all the more significant. Genomic analyses reveal that the...
Whenever these opiods are mentioned they usually mention that e.g. fentanyl is "50 times stronger than heroin" and "100 times stronger than morphine". Now it's nitazene which the public is told is everything from "much stronger than heroin" and "200 times stronger than fentany"! Do these numbers make sense at all? How do they arrive at them? Kill thousands of mice? En passant: nitazene have already been found in both Oxycontin pills and in street "heroin" here, so Naloxone is more...

Similar threads

Replies
2
Views
3K
Replies
516
Views
35K
Replies
5K
Views
291K
Replies
22
Views
3K
Replies
21
Views
3K
Replies
287
Views
25K
Back
Top