Demystifier said:
In particular, are you prepared then to say that the Moon is not there when nobody observes it?
First, what does it mean to ask "is the Moon there"? In the above terms, it means that if you carry out a set of experiments you will definitely get a set of results (that set of experiments being whatever we agree we need to establish that the Moon is at a certain location at a certain time). In that sense, the Moon is there when no one observes it.
In addition, the Moon is continuously interacting with its environment, so it's practically impossible to stop observing the Moon, owing to the record of its continuous gravitational effect on the Earth.
Instead of considering the Moon, let's consider my bicycle. It's probably in my bike shed as I type. The probability that it is not there has nothing to do with QM. The probability is (almost) entirely that someone has broken into my shed and stolen it since yesterday.
If you twist my arm, I will say: the probability that my bike is in the shed is ##1- \epsilon_1 - \epsilon_2##, where ##\epsilon_1 \approx 10^{-4}## is the probability that it's been stolen since yesterday and ##\epsilon_2## is an inexpressibily small number and the probability that the QM system that I yesterday identified as my bike is no longer recognisable as a bike.
Philosophically, of course, ##\epsilon_2## may have some significance; but, in my view, it is of no physical significance.