Discussing wheather to convict someone charged with murder and give them the death penalty, consider the variables "reality (defendant guilty, defendant innocent) and "decision" (convict, acquit)(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});

Jurors are asked to convict a defendant if they feel the defendant is "guilty beyond reasonable doubt" Suppose this means given the defendant is executed, the probability that s/he is truly guilty is 0.99. For the 873 people put to death from 1977 until September 2003, find the probability that:

i) they were all truly guilty

ii) at least on of them was actually innocent

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# Death Penalty and False Positives

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