Did FL-13 Impact the 2006 Midterm Election Results?

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The forum discussion centers on the impact of the FL-13 election on the 2006 Midterm Election results, highlighting significant early exit polls and key races across various states. Notably, the Democratic Party is projected to gain three GOP-held Senate seats, with Jim Webb leading George Allen in Virginia and Sherrod Brown defeating Mike DeWine in Ohio. The discussion also mentions the overwhelming number of voter surveys and calls experienced by participants, indicating a heightened engagement in the electoral process. Additionally, the Stem Cell Initiative in Missouri is facing opposition, reflecting the influence of fundamentalist voters.

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  • #31
Manchot said:
As a Missourian, I'm extremely disappointed. Given that all the polls had suggested that the amendment enjoyed an overwhelming support (51% to 35%), it appears that the fundamentalists got out the vote. At the same time, McCaskill is currently losing by a surprising amount, suggesting that the same fundamentalists are influencing the Senate race as well.
I expect it to get a lot closer, but it looks like Talent will end up winning by at least 2% (my guess). There's still a lot of votes left to count in St. Louis and St. Charles, but those two precincts will only net McCaskill about half of what she needs to bridge the deficit now - and those are the big ones for her.

If Tester wins MT and Cardin wins MD (both fairly likely), then Talent will be the only really conservative winner in an M-state (the MI and MN seats have both gone to the Dems, as expected, and Snowe, a moderately liberal Rep has taken ME easily).
 
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  • #32
Corruption named as key issue by voters in exit polls
http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/11/07/election.exitpolls/index.html
(CNN) -- By a wide margin, Americans who voted Tuesday in the midterm election say they disapprove of the war in Iraq.

But when asked which issue was extremely important to their vote, more voters said corruption and ethics in government than any other issue, including the war, according to national exit polls.

A large majority of voters also disapproved of how Congress and President Bush are doing their jobs. However, Bush fared slightly better on that score than members of the GOP-led Congress.

And defying the traditional political maxim that "all politics is local," 62 percent of voters said national issues mattered more than local issues when deciding which House candidate to pick.

Interesting though - Dennis Hastert (R) is winning his district (Illinois 14) with about 60% of the vote against Laech (D) who has about 40%.

In lllinois, the incumbents seem to have the advantage.
 
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  • #33
Gokul43201 said:
Allen has a nearly 30,000 vote lead...but I'm still expecting Webb to start pulling up closer any time now. Arlington is likely to give Webb an extra 15,000 or so votes, and that's one of 3 or 4 such big ones with a lot of counting remaining.
Sweet Jeezus - Webb now has a 3000 vote lead, and my rough calculations (like they were any good before) say he'll pick up nearly another 2000 from the last 1% of regular votes.

If Webb wins, VA will be the 4th senate pickup for the Dems (after OH, PA and RI). The net for them, however, is +3, with CT switching from D to I. If Tester wins his seat in MT (and it looks like he will), that will put the Dems up +4.

Looks like Corker will take TN after all (that's the power of negative campaigning there), and Kyl will hold AZ.
 
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  • #34
Lamborn (R) is leading Fawcett (D) in Colorado's 5th district. In this district, IIRC BobG indicated that the ratio of R:D is 2:1.

In CO 4th, Musgrave (R) is leading very slightly in a tight race with Paccione (D).
 
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  • #35
Gokul43201 said:
If Tester wins MT and Cardin wins MD (both fairly likely), then Talent will be the only really conservative winner in an M-state (the MI and MN seats have both gone to the Dems, as expected, and Snowe, a moderately liberal Rep has taken ME easily).
Hold your horses there. Look way down south in Ole Miss'. Trent Lott is still there and he is leading in MS Senate race with about 64% of the vote.
 
  • #37
Astronuc said:
Hold your horses there. Look way down south in Ole Miss'. Trent Lott is still there and he is leading in MS Senate race with about 64% of the vote.
Yikes! Forgot about that one didn't I? :biggrin:
 
  • #38
Apparently on the ballot for the Nevada Senate race is a choice for "None of These" :smile: and so far 4,755 votes are cast for this choice.
 
  • #39
Gokul43201 said:
Yikes! Forgot about that one didn't I? :biggrin:
That's OK, everyone else ignores Mississippi. :biggrin:
 
  • #40
50-50 (with 58% in) Madrid-Wilson House in New Mexico.
 
  • #41
Politicians Sweep Midterm Elections
Resounding Victories In All States, Counties, Cities, Towns
http://www.theonion.com/content/node/54918

WASHINGTON, DC—After months of aggressive campaigning and with nearly 99 percent of ballots counted, politicians were the big winners in Tuesday's midterm election, taking all 435 seats in the House of Representatives, retaining a majority with 100 out of 100 seats in the Senate, and pushing political candidates to victory in each of the 36 gubernatorial races up for grabs.
They are everywhere.
 
  • #42
Democrats close in on control of House
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20061108/ap_on_el_ho/eln_house
WASHINGTON - Democrats captured more than enough Republican-held districts Tuesday to seize control of the House after a dozen years in the minority as voters demonstrated disenchantment with a war, a president and scandals on Capitol Hill.

Winning 21 GOP seats, if Democrats hold nearly all of their own, they would rise to power and clear the way for Rep. Nancy Pelosi (news, bio, voting record) to become the country's first female speaker. By early Wednesday, no Democratic incumbent had lost.

"The old era of irresponsibility is over, and the new era of real reform has just begun," declared Rep. Rahm Emanuel (news, bio, voting record), the Illinois Democrat who oversaw his party's House campaign.

Faced with the inevitable, the White House made plans for President Bush to call Pelosi first thing Wednesday morning, and Republican Party Chairman Ken Mehlman said: "It's possible that Nancy Pelosi will become House speaker.".


The magic number for control was 218 seats. By late Tuesday, Democrats had won 197 seats and were leading for another 34, which would give them 231. Republicans won 159 and were leading in 41.
Hmmm. Well I hope whomever is in charge does a better job.
 
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  • #43
[Update]STATEHOUSES - KEY RACES:

AR : Mike Beebe(D) has won.

CO : Ritter(D) looks set to win.

IA : Culver(D) with a 9% lead has essentially won (82% reporting).

MD : Ehrlich(R,inc) is narrowly trailing O'Malley(D) with 70% counted.

MN : Pawlenty(R,inc) vs Hatch(D) -- too close to call

MI : Granholm(D, inc) holds off DeVos(R) easily

ME : Baldacci(D, inc) leading Woodcock(R) by 10% - counting about half done.

OH : Strickland(D) is handily walloping Sec. State, Ken Blackwell(R).

FL (Jeb's seat) : Crist(R) beat Davis(D) by 7 points (nearly all done)

RI : Carcieri (R, inc) holds off Fogarty(D) to keep statehouse.


<will update and add to list as significant numbers come in>
 
  • #44
HAHA, I love how these two are running against each other for the house in some state and some district (I forgot...)

Saxton
Sexton
:smile: I wonder how many people got confused
 
  • #45
Gokul43201 said:
THE DEMS HAVE THE HOUSE!

HALLELUJAH!

The Senate may take some time yet...

Corker declared the winner in Tenn.
 
  • #46
CNN is currently calling 49 senate seats for the Reps and 48 for the Dems with MO, MT and VA undecided. I'm not very sure how they've classified Lieberman's seat - looks like they're calling him a Dem (someone confirm?).

I believe Talent(R) takes MO, and the Dems (Webb, Tester) take the other 2.

50 - 50 ? What happens then? Who gets committee leaderships?
 
  • #47
They are counting Lieberman as a dem. He has stated that he will remain loyal to democratic principles.

It can't be 50-50.
 
  • #48
Ivan Seeking said:
It can't be 50-50.

Why..not?

Would the VP being the president of the Senate provide useful for the republicans in this case?
 
  • #49
Oh, wait...I forgot Sanders(I) in VT. Something's not right...
 
  • #50
But Bernie Sanders (VT) is an Independent. Did they put him as a Dem?

It would be nice if some moderate/independent Reps lean independent, and some Dems too.

The Dems also need to think about a replacement for Robert Byrd (WV) who is way up there in age.
he entered the Senate on January 3, 1959. Additionally, Byrd is the longest serving member of the United States Senate in American history, serving 47 years. Counting his time as a West Virginia state legislator from 1947 to 1953, Byrd has served as an elected official for almost 60 years and has never lost an election. At 88, Byrd is the oldest member of Congress.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Byrd#Byrd.27s_public_service_record
 
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  • #51
Oh, I didn't know about Sanders.

In the Senate, in the event of a tie vote, Cheney would cast the deciding vote.
 
  • #52
Looks like the senators will have to show up far more often now that the balance of power will be so delicate :smile:
 
  • #53
Astronuc said:
But Bernie Sanders (VT) is an Independent. Did they put him as a Dem?
Checked all the numbers - they only make sense if CNN has listed Sanders as a Dem. With that, it's going to be 50-50 (strictly speaking, 50-48-2)
 
  • #54
CNN just reported that regarding the Senate vote, armies of lawyers are are being deployed. Control of the Senate could boil down to a few votes.
 
  • #55
Gokul43201 said:
(strictly speaking, 50-48-2)

I prefer to think of it as Republicans, and Not-Republicans.
 
  • #56
What exactly are these armies of lawyers supposed to be doing?
 
  • #58
Why is the AARP running expensive political commercials on CNN after 10PM Pacific time?
 
  • #59
Gokul43201 said:
Mamma mia! McCaskill's just taken the lead in Mizzou! Unless Allen's lawyers can pull an elephant out of their hats, we might have the Dems taking the Senate!
By ~15600 votes with 81% of precincts reporting. Still tight.


Missouri Amendment 2: Allow Stem Cell Research is currently YES by 10,000 votes, presumably those who voted for McCaskill.

Still it seems that incumbents have an advantage.
 
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  • #60
Ivan Seeking said:
Why is the AARP running expensive political commercials on CNN after 10PM Pacific time?
Influencing votes in Hawaii and Alaksa? :smile:
 

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