News Did FL-13 Impact the 2006 Midterm Election Results?

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The discussion centers around the reporting of election results, with participants expressing relief over the end of aggressive campaigning and survey calls leading up to the elections. Early exit polls indicate a significant upset, with Hamas reportedly sweeping the elections. Participants share their experiences with excessive polling calls and express frustration over the number of surveys received. As results begin to come in, key races are highlighted, including the Virginia Senate race, where Jim Webb and George Allen are neck-and-neck, and various House races across states like Indiana and Ohio, with Democrats projected to gain ground. The conversation also touches on voter turnout, the impact of national issues like the Iraq war and corruption on voter decisions, and the potential for Democrats to regain control of the House. Notably, the discussion mentions the passage of certain ballot measures, including a minimum wage increase in Ohio and the defeat of a stem cell research initiative in Missouri. The overall sentiment reflects a mix of anticipation and analysis of the shifting political landscape as results unfold.
  • #51
Oh, I didn't know about Sanders.

In the Senate, in the event of a tie vote, Cheney would cast the deciding vote.
 
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  • #52
Looks like the senators will have to show up far more often now that the balance of power will be so delicate :smile:
 
  • #53
Astronuc said:
But Bernie Sanders (VT) is an Independent. Did they put him as a Dem?
Checked all the numbers - they only make sense if CNN has listed Sanders as a Dem. With that, it's going to be 50-50 (strictly speaking, 50-48-2)
 
  • #54
CNN just reported that regarding the Senate vote, armies of lawyers are are being deployed. Control of the Senate could boil down to a few votes.
 
  • #55
Gokul43201 said:
(strictly speaking, 50-48-2)

I prefer to think of it as Republicans, and Not-Republicans.
 
  • #56
What exactly are these armies of lawyers supposed to be doing?
 
  • #58
Why is the AARP running expensive political commercials on CNN after 10PM Pacific time?
 
  • #59
Gokul43201 said:
Mamma mia! McCaskill's just taken the lead in Mizzou! Unless Allen's lawyers can pull an elephant out of their hats, we might have the Dems taking the Senate!
By ~15600 votes with 81% of precincts reporting. Still tight.


Missouri Amendment 2: Allow Stem Cell Research is currently YES by 10,000 votes, presumably those who voted for McCaskill.

Still it seems that incumbents have an advantage.
 
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  • #60
Ivan Seeking said:
Why is the AARP running expensive political commercials on CNN after 10PM Pacific time?
Influencing votes in Hawaii and Alaksa? :smile:
 
  • #61
Astronuc said:
What exactly are these armies of lawyers supposed to be doing?

Dig out votes, oversee recounts, whine for the cameras and spend money.

Congratulations to the first Madam Speaker! Another historic first.

I hope that I don't hate her. :biggrin:
 
  • #62
Astronuc said:
By ~15600 votes with 81% of precincts reporting. Still tight.

The uncounted precincts swing democratic.
 
  • #63
Astronuc said:
By ~15600 votes with 81% of precincts reporting. Still tight.
I've done some math - I believe McCaskill is going to pick up an additional 30-odd-thousand votes. Lots of votes left to count in Jackson and St. Louis - both Dem strongholds.
 
  • #64
Ivan Seeking said:
HALLELUJAH!
It's now official.

Dems currently have 219 seats in the House.
 
  • #65
So how many seats are the dems likely to pick up in the house?
 
  • #66
Did you see how close the Florida 13 was?
119,060:118,696
364 difference
crazy
 
  • #67
The final count on Governorships will likely read 28 D, 22 R.
 
  • #68
Still a tight Senate race in Montana with Tester only 12,000 votes ahead of Burns with 55% of precincts reporting.
 
  • #69
Dems may get
Connecticut 02(it's nearly a tie right now)
Colorado 07 (only 20% precincts, but looks like dem will get it)
California 11 is up for grabs, most likely democrat
Georgia 12 looks like dem
What the hell is up with Louisiana 12? Most likely Dem (jefferson) though
Nevada 03 maybe dem, maybe GOP
New Mexico 01 really close both ways
Pennsylvania 06 most likely dem but it can potentially go either way
Pennsylvania 08 looks like dem got it
Texas 22 dem got it...
Wyoming 01 close, but most likely GOP
Soooo, hmm
 
  • #70
Ivan Seeking said:
So how many seats are the dems likely to pick up in the house?
My guess is they'll end up with 230 (+/- 3 seats) - that will be a gain of 35 seats (they've already got 24 and there's about 35 close races yet to be called)!
 
  • #71
moose said:
Did you see how close the Florida 13 was?
119,060:118,696
364 difference
crazy
Crazier - Foley got 48% of the vote in his district, Florida 16.
 
  • #72
So Missouri is close
Montana is close
and Virginia is insanely close
...exciting
 
  • #73
Astronuc, didnt the vote for Foley actually go for that other guy, because Foley is in rehab or whatever?

Yeahhh, Gokul got it, Joe Negron
 
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  • #74
Astronuc said:
Crazier - Foley got 48% of the vote in his district, Florida 16.
The "foley" votes are cast for his replacement, Joe Negron.
 
  • #75
Ah, I vaguely remember hearing something about that, but I haven't paid close attention to it.

It will interesting to see who heads up the Science and Transportation & Infrastructure committees in the House, and likewise in the Senate.
 
  • #76
Looking at Arizona propositions, looks like:
English will be official language (YAY)
$1 million reward for voting, lottery type thing, VOTED DOWN! (YAY, stupidest prop ever)
Raise minimum wage: passed through (I guess I will be earning more once this goes into effect)
Ban Same-Sex marriage (as in, to have it in the Arizona constitution), so far looks like voted down... heh, oh well :/ I was hoping for it to go through

Im just curious how the smoking ban ones are doing.
 
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  • #77
Holy crap! They might really take the Senate! Webb all but announced.
 
  • #78
McCaskill (D) is now up by ~25000 votes with 85% of precincts reporting.

Missouri Amendment 2: Allow Stem Cell Research is ahead by ~15000 votes YES

============

I wonder how the Financial Markets will react later today?
 
  • #79
And is McCaskill announcing now...?

YES!
 
  • #80
moose said:
Ban Same-Sex marriage (as in, to have it in the Arizona constitution), so far looks like voted down...
I think AZ will be the only state that hasn't voted in support of the ban! I applaud the Arizonans on not being a bunch of imbeciles!

Arizona | Proposition 107: Ban Same-Sex Marriage
Proposed amendment to the Arizona Constitution would define marriage as a union solely between a man and a woman; would prohibit the state from creating or recognizing any legal status for unmarried persons that is similar to that of marriage.

The MO Stem Cell prop looks like it might go through after starting off quite poorly.

Missouri | Amendment 2: Allow Stem Cell Research
Proposed amendment to the Missouri Constitution known as the "Stem Cell Research and Cures Initiative" would protect embryonic stem cell research. It would specifically legalize all stem cell research and therapies consistent with federal law. It would ban human cloning.

Evo, Manchot - don't lose heart just yet!
 
  • #81
Ivan Seeking said:
And is McCaskill announcing now...?

YES!
It'd be humorous if she turned out to be wrong :rolleyes:

Boy would that be embarrassing.
 
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  • #82
Democrats seize control of House
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/6127216.stm

What the Brits say.

The Democrats are also projected to have won three of six target Senate seats - but several key races remain too close to call.

Polls have now closed across the US, with high turnout reported.

. . . .
The BBC's Jamie Coomarasamy in Washington says the results in these mid-term elections have changed the political landscape in the US.

The last two years of the Bush presidency will be very different to what has gone before, he says.

Ms Pelosi - who stands to become the first female House speaker - said the Democrats would "restore integrity and honesty" to Washington and lead the "most ethical Congress in history".
Remember these words!

"Today the American people voted for change and they voted for Democrats to take our country in a new direction - and that is exactly what we intend to do," she said.
Well let's not get carried away. Afterall, we still have a choice of two major parties, and that's not much of a choice IMO. I would prefer something more than chocolate or vanilla, and not necessarily strawberry.


First Muslim congressman elected
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/6127234.stm

Keith Ellison, a Democrat, has become the first Muslim to be elected to the US Congress by winning a Minnesota seat in the House of Representatives. He overcame personal attacks emphasising his past association with Louis Farrakhan, leader of the radical Nation of Islam group.

The 43-year-old lawyer sought to downplay his religion and ran on a populist platform.

He has called for the immediate withdrawal of US troops from Iraq.

On the campaign trail, he also urged a greater reliance on renewable fuels and the establishment of a government-funded universal healthcare system.
 
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  • #83
CNN called Missouri Senate to McCaskill
 
  • #84
1. Webb has won (my prediction).

There are only about 9000 (regular) votes left to count in VA, and they are from 3 counties, all of which are voting D so far. Allen will need to win about 7500 of these to overcome Webb's current 6000 vote lead.

I've got no numbers on provisional ballots.
 
  • #85
CNN said:
Republican Sen. Jim Talent of Missouri concedes defeat to Democrat Claire McCaskill.
yup .
 
  • #86
McCaskill (D) 912,815
Talent (R) 876,078 (Incumbent)

89% of precincts reporting

McCaskill's lead widened to ~36,000 votes.

Still tight in Montana

Tester (D) 127,342
Burns (R) 116,751 (incumbent)

65% of precincts reporting
 
  • #87
Arizona is split almost 50/50 on the gay marriage thing. It looks like it will not be voted through, barely. This may be because the governor is a lesbian and she says that the proposition is pointless because gay marriage is already illegal in Arizona (which, btw, she agrees with). She seems to be quite popular around here...
 
  • #88
moose said:
CNN called Missouri Senate to McCaskill
Too slow.

2. McCaskill has easily won.
Her lead is presently 36,000 votes with 200,000 yet to be counted (in mostly Dem strong counties). I predict she ends up with at least a 55,000 vote margin.
 
  • #89
Looks like Webb will/did get it in Virginia
Webb.....Allen
1,167,694...1,155,950
 
  • #90
So then it is up to Montana?

50 D, 49 R and 1 I in the Senate?


Corker sounds interesting - According to CNN's bio,"He founded the non-profit Chattanooga Neighborhood Enterprises that helps families obtain low-interest loans."
 
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  • #91
Astronuc, wouldn't that be interesting? Whoever gets Lieberman has the power in the Senate... So mostly to the democrats
 
  • #92
moose said:
Astronuc, wouldn't that be interesting? Whoever gets Lieberman has the power in the Senate... So mostly to the democrats

One of the talking heads commented on the irony of this the other day: Lieberman could end up as the most important guy in Washington.
 
  • #93
3. Tester wins MT by at least 8,000 votes (again, my prediction).

This was the toughest one to take a shot at, and has the widest margin of error. Of the dozen or so counties still with a fair number of votes to be counted, Burns will have a majority vote in about ten of them, closiing the present gap by about 6000 votes. In the other 2 counties (Silver Bow and Yellowstone), Tester will make up all of these votes and some change.
 
  • #94
moose said:
Astronuc, wouldn't that be interesting? Whoever gets Lieberman has the power in the Senate... So mostly to the democrats
I think the one Independent is Bernie Sanders in VT, and Lieberman is a Dem, but has supported the administration on Defense and National Security.

It will be interesting to see what the moderates of both parties do.
 
  • #95
Final Score in the Senate (my prediction) : 49 Dems, 49 Reps, 2 (Dem loyal) Inds
 
  • #96
Ivan Seeking said:
One of the talking heads commented on the irony of this the other day: Lieberman could end up as the most important guy in Washington.
But with things so close in the Senate though, anyone person could be significant, well other than the VP.

Tester's lead is shrinking ~7500 votes with 70% of precincts reporting.
 
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  • #97
Gokul43201 said:
Final Score in the Senate (my prediction) : 49 Dems, 49 Reps, 2 (Dem loyal) Inds

49 Reps, 51 Not-Reps
 
  • #98
Astronuc said:
I think the one Independent is Bernie Sanders in VT, and Lieberman is a Dem, but has supported the administration on Defense and National Security.

It will be interesting to see what the moderates of both parties do.

Oops! Yeah, I was mainly thinking about Defense stuff I guess.
 
  • #99
Astronuc said:
But with things so close in the Senate though, anyone person could be significant, well other than the VP.

However, considering the number of votes that went straight down party lines...
 
  • #100
I think the interaction between House and Senate will be very interesting, especially if there are hearings on Iraq and National Security.

Definitely a vastly different dynamic in Washington than yesterday.
 

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