News Did FL-13 Impact the 2006 Midterm Election Results?

[moose]

Astronuc, wouldn't that be interesting? Whoever gets Lieberman has the power in the Senate... So mostly to the democrats

 

[Ivan Seeking]

Astronuc, wouldn't that be interesting? Whoever gets Lieberman has the power in the Senate... So mostly to the democrats

One of the talking heads commented on the irony of this the other day: Lieberman could end up as the most important guy in Washington.

 

[Gokul43201]

3. Tester wins MT by at least 8,000 votes (again, my prediction).

This was the toughest one to take a shot at, and has the widest margin of error. Of the dozen or so counties still with a fair number of votes to be counted, Burns will have a majority vote in about ten of them, closiing the present gap by about 6000 votes. In the other 2 counties (Silver Bow and Yellowstone), Tester will make up all of these votes and some change.

 

[Astronuc]

Astronuc, wouldn't that be interesting? Whoever gets Lieberman has the power in the Senate... So mostly to the democrats

I think the one Independent is Bernie Sanders in VT, and Lieberman is a Dem, but has supported the administration on Defense and National Security.

It will be interesting to see what the moderates of both parties do.

 

[Gokul43201]

Final Score in the Senate (my prediction) : 49 Dems, 49 Reps, 2 (Dem loyal) Inds

 

[Astronuc]

One of the talking heads commented on the irony of this the other day: Lieberman could end up as the most important guy in Washington.

But with things so close in the Senate though, anyone person could be significant, well other than the VP.

Tester's lead is shrinking ~7500 votes with 70% of precincts reporting.

 

[Ivan Seeking]

Final Score in the Senate (my prediction) : 49 Dems, 49 Reps, 2 (Dem loyal) Inds

49 Reps, 51 Not-Reps

 

[moose]

I think the one Independent is Bernie Sanders in VT, and Lieberman is a Dem, but has supported the administration on Defense and National Security.

It will be interesting to see what the moderates of both parties do.

Oops! Yeah, I was mainly thinking about Defense stuff I guess.

 

[Ivan Seeking]

But with things so close in the Senate though, anyone person could be significant, well other than the VP.

However, considering the number of votes that went straight down party lines...

 

[Astronuc]

I think the interaction between House and Senate will be very interesting, especially if there are hearings on Iraq and National Security.

Definitely a vastly different dynamic in Washington than yesterday.

 

[moose]

I just wonder if Bush will loosen up his grip on everything and allow some bills through. He could, afterall, just veto every single bill that comes to his desk...

 

[Ivan Seeking]

Well folks, it's a brave new world. There is now Congressional oversight.

 

[Gokul43201]

Tester's lead is shrinking ~7500 votes with 70% of precincts reporting.

I expect it to continue shrinking until they start counting votes again in Silver Bow and Yellowstone. For some reason, it seems they haven't counted anything there in over two hours now!

 

[Ivan Seeking]

I just wonder if Bush will loosen up his grip on everything and allow some bills through. He could, afterall, just veto every single bill that comes to his desk...

Yes, but the Bush agenda is dead.

One of the first things to be retracted are the huge tax breaks given to oil companies that were making record profits.

 

[moose]

Oooo, in Arizona, a smoking ban proposition is winning. The harsher one!

 

[Gokul43201]

Ahem ... let's not get ahead of ourselves.

Use this thread to report results as they come in!

 

[moose]

In the House
191:Republicans
226:Democrats

18 still undecided. Looks like it will be a rather decisive majority.

As a side note, citizens of Arizona have passed all anti-immigrant propositions by 70 or so %

Tester's lead now at 7025 votes ahead 74% precincts

I think that Montana is the Republican's only hope for retaining the Senate (obviously enough).

EDIT: Gokul, I think you scared everyone off with your comment . I'm going to sleep in 10-20 minutes

 

[Gokul43201]

Missouri's Stem Cell proposition is all but guaranteed to pass now.

South Dakota Gov. Mike Rounds' attempt to challenge Roe v Wade with SD referendum 6 (ban on abortions) has failed.

The minimum wage raise has been passed by all states where it was on the ballot.

The same-sex union ban was successful in all states except AZ.

In Ohio, smoking is now banned in all restaurants, bars, workplaces, other public places.

 

[moose]

California Proposition 85: Apparently, Californians believe that Parents or Guardians don't need to know if ahead of time if their child is to have a freaking abortion! (so yes, Parental Notification was voted down)

California Proposition 87:
Funds for Alternative Energy

Voted down, hmmm.All efforts to legalize marijuana have failed. I am actually shocked at how close Nevada came to legalizing it though. Funny how in some states, smoking is being banned, and in others marijuana is almost passed.

Michigan will restrict affirmative action

Oregon also voted down a similar parental notification measure

 

[moose]

Tester's lead is now only 5500. It's still shrinking!

EDIT: Woah, in Virginia, Webb's lead is now down to 7239 votes! I guess this was just reported!

EDIT: Looking at Montana Counties which haven't been counted into the CNN thing yet, I am not sure who will win. This could get closer...

EDIT3: Tester's lead grew slightly to 5639 votes
Webb's lead grew to 7380

 

[Ivan Seeking]

Ahem ... let's not get ahead of ourselves.

Power has shifted be it a complete shift or not. But it sure looks good...

 

[Gokul43201]

EDIT: Woah, in Virginia, Webb's lead is now down to 7239 votes! I guess this was just reported!

There's only 5500 votes left to count in Va.

Tester's lead is now only 5500. It's still shrinking!

EDIT: Looking at Montana Counties which haven't been counted into the CNN thing yet, I am not sure who will win. This could get closer...

I've been looking at these for a while now and I'm certain that table is riddled with errors. Every other time I look at it, it seems they've got something wrong and have changed it.

Until about half hour ago, they had Yellowstone at 31% reporting; now it's down to 0%.

 

[moose]

For what it's worth:
Tester = 5679 lead
Webb = I just saw on tv that his lead was about 2 thousand or so. How did that happen? I don't even know. Online it's still around 8 thousand though.

EDIT: Tester's new lead is 4861
It seems to hover between 5 and 6 thousand for the most part.

EDIT2: Tester's lead is now 3997... it seems to be shrinking. I guess we just hit that kinda district?
and now 3639
EDIT AGAIN: and now 3317

I will see how everything plays out when I wake up in 5 hours. Woot.

 

[Smurf]

California Proposition 85: Apparently, Californians believe that Parents or Guardians don't need to know if ahead of time if their child is to have a freaking abortion! (so yes, Parental Notification was voted down)

California Proposition 87:
Funds for Alternative Energy

Voted down, hmmm.


All efforts to legalize marijuana have failed. I am actually shocked at how close Nevada came to legalizing it though. Funny how in some states, smoking is being banned, and in others marijuana is almost passed.

Michigan will restrict affirmative action

Oregon also voted down a similar parental notification measure

Hee hee, reminds me of an election in Canada some years ago where for the first few hours the marijuana party was actually leading the vote.

Of course, they didn't get a single representative, they never do, but for a few hours you could imagine a bunch of stoners sitting around the television "we did it guys!"

 

[jtbell]

South Carolina has now put a ban on same-sex marriages into the state constitution, with about a 78% yes vote. There was already a law against them, but proponents argued that a constitutional amendment would be bulletproof against Commie liberal atheist activist judges.

The Republican governor was re-elected, despite some dissatisfaction among members of his own party because of his reluctance to work closely with the Republican-controlled state legislature. I saw a campaign sign for "Republicans for Tommy Moore" (his opponent).

All SC representatives to the US House (Republican and Democrat alike) were re-elected. Neither of our US Senate seats were up for election this year.

The most interesting race is the one for state superintendent of education, which the Democratic candidate at this moment leads by about 200 votes out of about 1,000,000, with 2058 out of 2059 precincts reporting. The incumbent Democrat did not run for re-election. The Republican candidate was expected to win because of her conservative pedigree and support for "school choice" (i.e. giving state vouchers to help parents send their children to private schools if they choose). However, she has no direct experience at all in the education field, as far as I know (as opposed to her opponent) and this apparently swung some votes against her.

 

[Schrodinger's Dog]

Tester's lead is now only 5500. It's still shrinking!

EDIT: Woah, in Virginia, Webb's lead is now down to 7239 votes! I guess this was just reported!

EDIT: Looking at Montana Counties which haven't been counted into the CNN thing yet, I am not sure who will win. This could get closer...

EDIT3: Tester's lead grew slightly to 5639 votes
Webb's lead grew to 7380

Care to break this down for those of us who aren't from the US. Last I heard the democrats needed three seats for the senate. I'd apreciate knowing if they're close to taking it? Interested parties at work would like to know. When you guys are awake of course

 

[Astronuc]

It's not clear yet on the Senate because at least two races (in Virginia and Montana) are very close. This is because voting methods vary and some votes are yet to be counted. It's really strange, but in the US the voting systems vary from state to state, so it's a matter of logistics at this point.

Montana Senate
Tester (D) 174,045
Burns (R) 172,302 - incumbent

Small difference of 1743 with 91% of precincts reporting

Virginia Senate
Webb (D) 1,170,564
Allen (R) 1,162,717 - incumbent

Difference of 7847 with 99% of precincts reporting

The total votes vary according to population of state and Virginia is one of the more populated states (7,567,465 - 12), and Montana one of the least (935,670 - 44th). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_states_by_population

As it stands, if the races conclude with those in the lead, still in the lead, then it looks like the Senate composition is

50 D - 49 R - 1 I, and one of the D (Lieberman in Connecticut) ran as O=Other. Lieberman lost in primary, a race to determine the party candidate, to another Democrat, but ran as Other rather than Independent and one Senate race. The lone declared/registered Independent is Bernie Sanders in Vermont. With this composition, the Senate will be an interesting institution.

===========================================
Democrats Seize Control of House; Senate Hangs on Virginia and Montana
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/11/07/us/politics/08elect.html
NY Times, Nov 8, 2006

But the fate of the Senate remained in doubt this morning, as races for Republican-held seats in Montana and Virginia remained too close to call as Election Day turned into the day after. Democrats would need both seats to win control of the Senate as well.

In Montana, Senator Conrad Burns, a Republican, was trailing Jon Tester, a Democrat, by a narrow margin. The race in Virginia — between another Republican incumbent, Senator George Allen, and Jim Webb, his Democratic challenger — was so close that some officials said it would have to be resolved by a recount.

That prospect could mean prolonged uncertainty over control of the Senate, since a recount can be requested only after the results are officially certified on Nov. 27th, according to the state board of elections. Last year a recount in the race for Attorney General was not resolved until Dec. 21

 

[Astronuc]

Some interesting congressional races in the NY

In my immediate area -

NY 19
Hall (D) - 90,019
Kelly (R) - 86,491 - incumbent (supported Bush and generally voted for Republican positions, but race still close)

NY 20
Gillibrand (D) - 115,017
Sweeney (R) - 101,989 - incumbent (supported Bush and generally voted for Republican positions) Sweeney may have health issues, and the latest concern was an allegation that he beat his wife, a few days before the election. His wife called the local emergency (911) telephone. But events are unclear.

Then

NY 24 - Sherwood Boehlert (R) is retiring. He was chair of the House Science committee.
Arcuri (D) - 98,409
Meier (R) - 83,069
Sylvia (L) - 1,909 (L = Libertarian)

NY 26
Reynolds (R) - 102,846 (Incumbent) - He is one of the House leaders implicated in the Foley Scandal, who may have known or should have known, but didn't take action.
Davis (D) - 95,449

Hillary Clinton took 67% of the vote. Watch for her next year, or by early 2008, to see if she will decide to run for President.

 

[Manchot]

As a Missourian, I'm extremely disappointed. Given that all the polls had suggested that the amendment enjoyed an overwhelming support (51% to 35%), it appears that the fundamentalists got out the vote. At the same time, McCaskill is currently losing by a surprising amount, suggesting that the same fundamentalists are influencing the Senate race as well.

Well, I certainly jumped the gun on that one. That's what I get for making assumptions based on figures with 19% of precincts reporting.

 

[Blahness]

Where is there a list of approved, denied, and elected propositions/senators?

I love reading the discussion, but I would like a concrete list so I know exactly what happened. X.x