Exercise on Poisson distribution

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves a Poisson distribution related to counting events from a radioactive source, where the experimenter seeks to determine the probability of recording fewer than a certain number of counts in one minute based on a given average count rate.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Conceptual clarification

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the need to calculate probabilities for various counts and consider using cumulative distribution functions. There is also a question about estimating probabilities and calculating the standard deviation for the Poisson distribution.

Discussion Status

The discussion is ongoing, with participants exploring different methods to approach the problem. Some guidance has been offered regarding the use of cumulative distribution and rough estimates, but there is no consensus on the best method yet.

Contextual Notes

Participants express uncertainty about calculating the standard deviation for the Poisson distribution and seek clarification on this aspect. There is an emphasis on the constraints of the problem as it relates to homework guidelines.

spaghetti3451
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Homework Statement



An experimenter measures the counting rate from a radioactive source as 10,150 counts in 100 minutes. Without changing any of the conditions, the experimenter counts for one minute. There is a probability of about 15 percent that the number of counts recorded will be fewer than

(A) 50
(B) 70
(C) 90
(D) 100
(E) 110

Homework Equations



Poisson distribution: ##P(\nu) = e^{-\mu}\frac{\mu^{\nu}}{\nu!}##, where ##\mu## is the mean and ##\nu## is the number of events for which the probability is to be calculated, both values taken over a definite interval.

The Attempt at a Solution



The first step is to find the average in 1 minute, and that is 10,150/100 = 101.50.

Now, do I have to figure out the probability for each of 101.5, 100, 99, ... , to figure out the answer, or is there an easy way?
 
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failexam said:
Now, do I have to figure out the probability for each of 101.5, 100, 99, ... , to figure out the answer, or is there an easy way?
You can use the cumulative distribution.
Alternatively, make a rough estimate for the probabilities. What is the standard deviation of the count rate?
There is one correct answer, the others can be ruled out without detailed calculations.
 
I don't know how to calculate the standard deviation for this Poisson distribution. Could you please help me?
 
failexam said:
I don't know how to calculate the standard deviation for this Poisson distribution. Could you please help me?

Google 'Poisson distribution'.
 

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