Expected value question -- Probabilities when tossing two coins

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a probability problem involving expected value in the context of tossing two coins. The original poster presents a scenario where winning $10 is contingent upon getting two heads, and questions how much one should pay to ensure the game is fair.

Discussion Character

  • Conceptual clarification, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster attempts to calculate the fair price to play based on expected value, while others raise points about the implications of winning and losing in a betting context.

Discussion Status

Participants are exploring different interpretations of the problem, particularly regarding the fairness of the game and the treatment of stakes in gambling scenarios. Some guidance has been offered, but there is no explicit consensus on the correct approach or answer.

Contextual Notes

There are references to the rules of betting and the implications of winning or losing, which may affect the understanding of the expected value calculation. The discussion includes assumptions about how winnings and stakes are handled in a gambling context.

RM86Z
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Summary:: checking an expected error

Given the question:

"If a person tosses two coins and gets two heads, the person wins $10.
How much should the person pay if the game is to be fair?"

The book gives the answer as $2.5 while I calculate $3.333...

E(X) = 0 = $10(1/4) - a(3/4) => a = $(10/3)

This makes sense when we consider tossing the coins four times in a row we expect to win once and lose three times so winning $10 and losing 3 x $3.333 = $10.

[Moderator's note: moved from a technical forum.]
 
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If this is a question about "pay-to-play", then he pays to play even when he ends up winning the $10. I think that will give their answer.
 
Yes that is true thank you very much!
 
That said, if you win at the bookies you also get your stake back.
 
  • Informative
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But if you lose at the bookies you may need to buy a new shirt on loan of course. And then make sure you pay up before you’ll need new fingers And/or other appendages.
 
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