Finding P(X1<X2<X3) and P(X1=X2<X3)

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In summary: I got it now. I was thinking about it from the wrong perspective...In summary, the conversation discussed finding the joint mgf of multiple random variables and the difficulty of solving it by hand. It also addressed a mistake in setting up the problem and clarified integration limits. The conversation also touched on the concept of continuous random variables and the probability of them being exactly a specified number. Finally, it was determined that the integral for the joint mgf is actually easy to solve by hand.
  • #1
cookiesyum
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Homework Statement



Let f(x1, x2, x3) = e-(x1+x2+x3), 0<x1,2,3<infinity, zero elsewhere be a joint pdf of X1, X2, X3.

Compute P(X1< X2< X3) and P(X1= X2< X3)

Determine the joint mgf.

The Attempt at a Solution



P(X1< X2< X3) = triple integral of e-(x1+x2+x3) dx2dx1dx3 as x2 goes from x1 to x3, x1 goes from 0 to x2 and x3 goes from x2 to infinity.

When I solve this integral I get 0 for an answer. The back of the book suggests the answer is 1/6. Clearly, I am setting up the problem wrong, but I don't know where my mistake is. Similarly, I'm having trouble setting up the second part of the question as well.

Joint mgf = E(et1x1+t2x2+t3x3) but this integral is not easy by hand. Is there another way to do it?
 
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  • #2
Yeah, your integration limits are incorrect. For P(x_1<x_2<x_3), start from x_1. Say it goes from zero to infinity. Then x_2 has to go from x_1 to infinity, and likewise x_3 goes from x_2 to infinity.

What's hard about solving the MGF?

[tex] E(e^{t(x_1+x_2+x_3)}) = \int dx_1 dx_2 dx_3 f(x_1,x_2,x_3) e^{t(x_1+x_2+x_3)} = \int dx_1 dx_2 dx_3 \exp [(t-1)(x_1+x_2+x_3)] [/tex]

I'm sure you know how to integrate an exponential function.
 
  • #3
clamtrox said:
Yeah, your integration limits are incorrect. For P(x_1<x_2<x_3), start from x_1. Say it goes from zero to infinity. Then x_2 has to go from x_1 to infinity, and likewise x_3 goes from x_2 to infinity.

What's hard about solving the MGF?

[tex] E(e^{t(x_1+x_2+x_3)}) = \int dx_1 dx_2 dx_3 f(x_1,x_2,x_3) e^{t(x_1+x_2+x_3)} = \int dx_1 dx_2 dx_3 \exp [(t-1)(x_1+x_2+x_3)] [/tex]

I'm sure you know how to integrate an exponential function.

Oh! I was doing it with three different t's ... t1 t2 and t3 which made it a million times harder. That makes sense. Thanks so much!
 
  • #4
I guess you do need multiple t's. It doesn't make it any harder though.
 
  • #5
No, you don't need multiple ts.

[tex]
\phi(t)_{X_1+X_2+X_3} = \idotsint e^{t(x_1+x_2+x_3)} f(x_1,x_2,x_3)\,dx_1dx_2dx_3
[/tex]

Aren't your variables independent exponentials?
 
  • #6
statdad said:
No, you don't need multiple ts.

[tex]
\phi(t)_{X_1+X_2+X_3} = \idotsint e^{t(x_1+x_2+x_3)} f(x_1,x_2,x_3)\,dx_1dx_2dx_3
[/tex]

Aren't your variables independent exponentials?

Yep, finally got the answer. Thank you everybody for your help!
 
  • #7
What about P(X1=X2<X3)?
 
  • #8
mbkemp23 said:
What about P(X1=X2<X3)?

The random variables are drawn from a continuous distribution, and are independent. Do you know what the probability is that a continuous random variable will be exactly some specified number?
 
  • #9
zero, it must be an interval... So then would it be P(X1=X2<X3) = P(X1<X3)*P(X2<X3) or even P(0<X3)?
 
  • #10
cookiesyum said:

Homework Statement



Let f(x1, x2, x3) = e-(x1+x2+x3), 0<x1,2,3<infinity, zero elsewhere be a joint pdf of X1, X2, X3.

Compute P(X1< X2< X3) and P(X1= X2< X3)

Determine the joint mgf.

The Attempt at a Solution



P(X1< X2< X3) = triple integral of e-(x1+x2+x3) dx2dx1dx3 as x2 goes from x1 to x3, x1 goes from 0 to x2 and x3 goes from x2 to infinity.

When I solve this integral I get 0 for an answer. The back of the book suggests the answer is 1/6. Clearly, I am setting up the problem wrong, but I don't know where my mistake is. Similarly, I'm having trouble setting up the second part of the question as well.

Joint mgf = E(et1x1+t2x2+t3x3) but this integral is not easy by hand. Is there another way to do it?

You are correct that this is the joint mgf (with three different t's). If you had t1 = t2 = t3 = t, as some others have suggested, you would be finding the mgf of the single random variable X = X1 + X2 + X3. Anyway, the integral is *very easy* by hand.

RGV
 
  • #11
Ray Vickson said:
You are correct that this is the joint mgf (with three different t's). If you had t1 = t2 = t3 = t, as some others have suggested, you would be finding the mgf of the single random variable X = X1 + X2 + X3. Anyway, the integral is *very easy* by hand.

RGV

I have a question about the mgf...

So this is the integral that we need to integrate, right?

[itex]\int_0^{\infty} \int_0^{\infty} \int_0^{\infty} e^{x_1(t_1-1)} e^{x_2(t_2-1)} e^{x_3(t_3-1)} dx_1 dx_2 dx_3 [/itex]

But I'm having some trouble with this, because this is what I get after integrating...

[itex]\frac{1}{t_1-1}e^{x_1(t_1-1)} |_0^{\infty} \frac{1}{t_2-1}e^{x_2(t_2-1)} |_0^{\infty} \frac{1}{t_3-1}e^{x_3(t_3-1)} |_0^{\infty}[/itex]...but if we plug in infinity to [itex]\frac{1}{t_1-1}e^{\infty(t_1-1)}[/itex]...don't we get infinity, since e increases forever?
 
  • #12
Artusartos said:
I have a question about the mgf...

So this is the integral that we need to integrate, right?

[itex]\int_0^{\infty} \int_0^{\infty} \int_0^{\infty} e^{x_1(t_1-1)} e^{x_2(t_2-1)} e^{x_3(t_3-1)} dx_1 dx_2 dx_3 [/itex]

But I'm having some trouble with this, because this is what I get after integrating...

[itex]\frac{1}{t_1-1}e^{x_1(t_1-1)} |_0^{\infty} \frac{1}{t_2-1}e^{x_2(t_2-1)} |_0^{\infty} \frac{1}{t_3-1}e^{x_3(t_3-1)} |_0^{\infty}[/itex]...but if we plug in infinity to [itex]\frac{1}{t_1-1}e^{\infty(t_1-1)}[/itex]...don't we get infinity, since e increases forever?

That depends on whether t-1 is positive or negative.
 
  • #13
clamtrox said:
That depends on whether t-1 is positive or negative.

Thanks a lot...
 

FAQ: Finding P(X1<X2<X3) and P(X1=X2<X3)

1. What is P(X1

P(X1

2. How is P(X1

P(X1

3. What does P(X1=X2

P(X1=X2

4. Can P(X1

No, the probability of an event cannot be greater than 1. If the calculated probability is greater than 1, then there is an error in the calculations.

5. How can P(X1

P(X1

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