FIRO - Forecast-informed Reservoir Operations

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The discussion centers on improving hydro dam operations through advanced forecasting methods, particularly in light of increasing weather unpredictability due to climate change. Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations (FIRO) is highlighted as a key strategy, utilizing ensemble streamflow predictions to enhance water management in reservoirs. This approach aims to optimize flood control and water supply, especially in regions like Northern California, where weather patterns have become erratic. The integration of reliable forecasting with dam operations is seen as essential for adapting to changing climatic conditions and ensuring effective water resource management.
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Ignoring the part about fossil fuels, or the prediction of demand, I heard an interesting discussion about using more reliable forecasting in conjunction with dam/reservoir operation.

https://www.marketplace.org/2023/10...le-hydro-dams-look-to-new-forecasting-method/

https://www.wired.com/story/hydro-dams-climate-change-weather-forecasting/

https://www.drought.gov/regional-activities/forecast-informed-reservoir-operations-firo

https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/firo/

https://water.ca.gov/News/Blog/2023...Are-Key-to-Managing-Floods-and-Water-Supplies

https://psl.noaa.gov/outreach/resources/handouts/firo.pdf

Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations Using Ensemble Streamflow Predictions for a Multipurpose Reservoir in Northern California​

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019WR026604
 
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A lot of that is going on in my own backyard. The weather and precipitation in Northern California has been all over the map for the last decade or so...
 
Weather? Forecasting? When it's raining, it's wet out; when it's not, it isn't: paraphrased from my father, the wheat farmer, "When it rains, it rains; when it doesn't, it doesn't." ---SW Kansas
 

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