FIRO - Forecast-informed Reservoir Operations

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operations (FIRO), which utilizes reliable weather forecasting to optimize dam and reservoir management. Key resources include the NOAA's ensemble streamflow predictions and California's initiatives for managing floods and water supplies. The conversation highlights the importance of adapting reservoir operations to increasingly unpredictable weather patterns, particularly in Northern California. Effective implementation of FIRO can significantly enhance water resource management amidst climate variability.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operations (FIRO)
  • Familiarity with ensemble streamflow predictions
  • Knowledge of multipurpose reservoir management
  • Awareness of climate change impacts on water resources
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the NOAA's ensemble streamflow prediction models
  • Explore California's FIRO initiatives and their outcomes
  • Study the integration of climate data into reservoir management strategies
  • Investigate case studies on the effectiveness of FIRO in flood management
USEFUL FOR

Water resource managers, hydrologists, environmental scientists, and policymakers focused on optimizing reservoir operations and adapting to climate change effects.

Astronuc
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Ignoring the part about fossil fuels, or the prediction of demand, I heard an interesting discussion about using more reliable forecasting in conjunction with dam/reservoir operation.

https://www.marketplace.org/2023/10...le-hydro-dams-look-to-new-forecasting-method/

https://www.wired.com/story/hydro-dams-climate-change-weather-forecasting/

https://www.drought.gov/regional-activities/forecast-informed-reservoir-operations-firo

https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/firo/

https://water.ca.gov/News/Blog/2023...Are-Key-to-Managing-Floods-and-Water-Supplies

https://psl.noaa.gov/outreach/resources/handouts/firo.pdf

Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations Using Ensemble Streamflow Predictions for a Multipurpose Reservoir in Northern California​

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019WR026604
 
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A lot of that is going on in my own backyard. The weather and precipitation in Northern California has been all over the map for the last decade or so...
 
Weather? Forecasting? When it's raining, it's wet out; when it's not, it isn't: paraphrased from my father, the wheat farmer, "When it rains, it rains; when it doesn't, it doesn't." ---SW Kansas