Hawking Bets $100 the LHC Will Not Find The Higgs

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around Stephen Hawking's bet regarding the discovery of the Higgs boson at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). Participants explore the implications of the bet, the likelihood of finding the Higgs, and related topics such as the potential for other discoveries and the operational details of the LHC. The conversation includes speculative reasoning about the outcomes of the LHC experiments and the nature of scientific discovery.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants note that Hawking has a history of betting against outcomes he believes in, raising questions about his true expectations regarding the Higgs discovery.
  • Others express uncertainty about the timeline for discovering the Higgs, with estimates suggesting it could take several months to a year after the LHC is operational.
  • There are discussions about the nature of particle detection at the LHC, emphasizing that results will not be immediate and will require extensive data analysis.
  • Some participants speculate on the implications of not finding the Higgs, suggesting that it could be more exciting than its discovery, referencing similar sentiments from other physicists like C.N. Yang.
  • Concerns are raised about the potential for false positives in the detection of the Higgs boson, with some arguing that multiple candidates could complicate the interpretation of results.
  • Participants discuss the operational aspects of the LHC, including the challenges of aligning proton beams and the gradual increase in energy levels.
  • There is a humorous take on the nature of Hawking's bet, with some participants questioning the logic behind it and suggesting that it allows him to cover all outcomes.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the implications of Hawking's bet or the likelihood of discovering the Higgs boson. Multiple competing views remain regarding the excitement of potential outcomes and the operational details of the LHC.

Contextual Notes

There are limitations in the discussion regarding the assumptions made about the detection of the Higgs boson and the interpretation of experimental data. The conversation reflects a range of perspectives on the implications of the LHC's findings and the nature of scientific inquiry.

  • #31
Hi tribdog.. :smile:
I heard the synthetic voice actually say it.
The $100 bet (BBC interview) was great fun, but I forget the context of some of it.
I am going to try and find a link for it.

OK - I found it..
http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_7598000/7598686.stm"

G
 
Last edited by a moderator:
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  • #32
cristo said:
As George has said above, if radiation from black holes is detected at the LHC, then Hawking will get a Nobel prize: I don't think there's any "maybe" about it!

Neither does he, apparently :rolleyes:
 

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