How to Interpret P(dw) in Probability Measure Integrals?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers on the interpretation of the notation P(dw) in the context of probability measure integrals, particularly in relation to integrals of functions with respect to probability measures. Participants explore various interpretations and implications of this notation, touching on concepts from measure theory and probability theory.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant questions the meaning of P(dw), suggesting it might represent the probability of a set defined by an infinitesimally small delta.
  • Another participant, lacking background in measure theory, proposes that P(dw) could simply be a distribution function, expressing uncertainty about the definition of a measure.
  • Some participants express confusion about whether P(dw) indicates the probability of an infinitesimal change dw, and how this relates to specific functions like f(w).
  • One participant suggests that P(dw) could be interpreted as the derivative of the cumulative probability distribution, leading to a discussion about expected values and the conditions under which this interpretation holds.
  • Another participant clarifies that the notation is used in probability to indicate the expectation of a random variable with respect to a probability measure, providing examples of integrals involving measurable sets.
  • There is a discussion about the distinction between Lebesgue and Stieltjes integrals, with some participants asserting that P(dw) should be treated as a Lebesgue integral, while others argue for the need to consider differentiability of the measure.
  • References to classic probability texts are made, with participants sharing their experiences and preferences for certain authors and books.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing interpretations of P(dw) and its implications for probability measures and integrals. There is no consensus on a single interpretation, and multiple competing views remain regarding the nature of P(dw) and its application in integrals.

Contextual Notes

Some participants note limitations in their understanding of measure theory, which may affect their interpretations. The discussion also highlights the dependence on definitions and the conditions under which certain mathematical expressions are valid.

David1234
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What does it mean by
\int f(w) P (dw)

I don't really understand P (dw) here. Does it mean P (x: x \in B(x, \delta)) for infinitely small \delta?

For example, with P(x)=1/10 for x=1, 2, ..., 10. How can we interpret this in term of the above integral

Thanks...
 
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I never took measure theory. Therefor my totally naive answer would be P(dw) is just a distribution function. Of course I'm probably completely wrong given I don't even know what a measure is.
 
P(dw) is like a distribution fuction... may be. I am confused about P(dw), is it probability of dw? Then what is dw? Following the above example, say, we have f(w)=1 for w=1 and 0 otherwise. What is the meaning of dw here and hence value of P(dw) at w=1? I guess the above integral would give value = 1/10.
 
I have never seen "P(dw)". I think you mean what I would call dP(w)= P'(w)dw- the derivative of the cumulative probability distribution and so the probability density function. In that case, \int F(w)dP= \int F(w)P'(w)dw is the expected value of F.
 
I guess if P(w) has a derivative we can write it that way. I got the expression from a textbook by Patrick Billingsley. Generally, when P(w) is not differentiable (as shown in the example), we can not write the expression in that form.
 
The notation
<br /> \int_\Omega X(\omega}) \, \mathcal{P}(dw)<br />

is used in probability to indicate the expectation of the random variable X
with respect tot the probability measure (distribution) \mathcal{P} over the probability space \Omega.

If \Lambda is any measurable set, then

<br /> \int_\Lambda X(\omega) \, \mathcal{P}(dw) = E[X \cdot 1_{\Lambda}]<br />

If the probability space is the real line with measure \mu, then

<br /> \int_\Lambda X(\omega) \, \mathcal{P}(dw) = \int_\Lambda f(x) \, \mu(dx)<br />

is the Lebesgue-Stieltjes integral of f with respect to the
probability measure \mu.

In more traditional form, if F is the distribution function of \mu, and \Lambda is an interval (a,b), then

<br /> \int_\Lambda X(\omega) \, \mathcal{P}(dw) = \int_\Lambda f(x) \, \mu(dx) = \int_{(a,b)} f(x) \, dF(x)<br />

If the probability measure doesn't have any atoms, the final integral is just a Lebesgue integral. If there are atoms, you need to take care to specify the interval according to whether the endpoints are or are not included - e.g.

<br /> \int_{a+0}^{b+0} f(x) \,dF(x), \quad \int_{a-0}^{b-0} f(x) \, dF(x)<br />

and so on.

Billingsley is one of the "classic" probability texts. Chang's "A Course in Probability Theory" is another - I studied from it many years ago, and have the second edition. His writing is a little terse, but there is a lot packed into his book.
 
Thanks a lot for the detail answer. I guess by Chang you mean Kai Lai Chung... :)
 
Yes, I did mean Kai Lai Chung - I would give a general description of my typing ability, but the description wouldn't be "safe for work".
Sorry for the confusion - glad the answer helped.
 
HallsofIvy said:
I have never seen "P(dw)". I think you mean what I would call dP(w)= P'(w)dw- the derivative of the cumulative probability distribution and so the probability density function. In that case, \int F(w)dP= \int F(w)P&#039;(w)dw is the expected value of F.

This isn't really correct. P may not be differentiable. When you say \int_B f(x) P(dx), you are referring to the Lebesgue integral of f with respect to P. It is the same as saying \int_B f dP. You are just telling where the arguments lie so there is no confusion. I have to disagree with statdad in that it is not the Stieltjes integral, it is just the plain old Lebesgue integral. For Stieltjes you want to take a distribution function F of P and then you work it out as \int_B f(x) dF(x)=\int_B f(x) P(dx).

Billingsley is a nice textbook and also I would recommend Ash, Real Analysis and Probability.
 
  • #10
Thanks...

I will have a look at "Real Analysis and Probability" by Ash.
 

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