Independent Condition Probability Problem

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on calculating independent probabilities in a video game scenario where a player has an 80% chance of defeating each of four opponents. The probability of defeating all four opponents is calculated as 0.4096, derived from multiplying the individual probabilities (0.8^4). For defeating at least two opponents, the correct approach involves summing the probabilities of defeating two, three, and four opponents, rather than simply multiplying probabilities. The third part of the problem requires determining the probability of defeating all four opponents at least once over three game plays, which follows a similar combinatorial strategy.

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  • Understanding of independent probability calculations
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  • Learn about the binomial probability formula for independent events
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Giuseppe
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Hello, I had this problem to do for statistics. I am pretty sure I did the first two parts correct. The third, I am not so sure about. I'd appreciate and guidance.

A player of a video game is confronted with a series of four opponents and an 80% probability of defeating each opponent. Assume that the results from opponents are independent (and that when the player is defeated by an opponent the game ends
(a) What is the probability that a player defeats all four opponents?
(b) What is the probability that a player defeats at least two of the opponents in a game?
(c) If the game is played three times, what is the probability that the player defeats all four opponents at least once?

My work:
(a) Since the probability of beating a player is 80 % and is also independent, then the probability of winning a game is .08 x .08 x .08 x .08
which comes out to .4096

(b) Since here the player only needs to beat two opponents so .08 x .08
which comes out to .64

(c) I am not too sure here, any help?
 
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(a) looks correct. (b) unfortunately is not that simple. If I remember correctly how to do this correctly, the answer is the sum of the probability of defeating two, three and four opponents.

(c) uses a similar strategy to (b).
 

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