Intro statistics question: probability of intersection

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around the probability of the intersection of two events, specifically when the events are stated to be equal. Participants are exploring the implications of event equality in probability theory.

Discussion Character

  • Conceptual clarification, Assumption checking, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants are questioning the definition of event equality and its impact on the probability of intersection. There are attempts to clarify whether two events being equal implies that their intersection must also be 1. Various examples, including coin tosses and card games, are used to illustrate different scenarios.

Discussion Status

The discussion is active, with participants providing examples and questioning assumptions about the nature of event equality and intersection probabilities. Some have offered insights into the relationship between event definitions and their probabilities, while others are still exploring the implications of these concepts.

Contextual Notes

Participants are navigating through different interpretations of event definitions and their probabilities, with some examples leading to potential confusion about the nature of intersections in probability. There is a focus on ensuring clarity around the definitions used in the context of the problems presented.

Eats Dirt
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Homework Statement


If event A equals event B, then the probability of their intersection is 1. True or False?

Apparently the correct answer is False.

The Attempt at a Solution



If A=B then they should overlap entirely and their intersection should be 1? The only way I see this working is if A is a subset of B and therefore they do not overlap completely, but when the question states "equals" I would think this means they are the same.
 
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Eats Dirt said:

Homework Statement


If event A equals event B, then the probability of their intersection is 1. True or False?

Apparently the correct answer is False.

The Attempt at a Solution



If A=B then they should overlap entirely and their intersection should be 1? The only way I see this working is if A is a subset of B and therefore they do not overlap completely, but when the question states "equals" I would think this means they are the same.

Suppose that in one toss of a coin we have A ={get heads} and B = {do not get tails}. Do you agree that A=B? What is their intersection? Why do you think that their intersection is 100% certain?
 
Ray Vickson said:
Suppose that in one toss of a coin we have A ={get heads} and B = {do not get tails}. Do you agree that A=B? What is their intersection? Why do you think that their intersection is 100% certain?
Yes, I agree that A = B in this sense because there are two options, heads or tails - getting a head and not getting a tail is the same thing. By definition the intersection would be those elements that are in common between the events, in this case getting heads. It is 100% certain in terms of probability because the elements of each event (getting heads or not getting tails) are the same and thus their P(intersection) = 1. So isn't the statement true?
 
Eats Dirt said:
Yes, I agree that A = B in this sense because there are two options, heads or tails - getting a head and not getting a tail is the same thing. By definition the intersection would be those elements that are in common between the events, in this case getting heads. It is 100% certain in terms of probability because the elements of each event (getting heads or not getting tails) are the same and thus their P(intersection) = 1. So isn't the statement true?

So, I can be 100% sure to get a "head" in a coin-toss just by describing it in two ways? If I say "get heads", that has probability 1/2, and if I say "do not get tails" that has probability 1/2 also, but if I say it in two different ways it suddenly has probability 1?
 
Ray Vickson said:
So, I can be 100% sure to get a "head" in a coin-toss just by describing it in two ways? If I say "get heads", that has probability 1/2, and if I say "do not get tails" that has probability 1/2 also, but if I say it in two different ways it suddenly has probability 1?
But it is asking about the probability of their "Intersection" so shouldn't the intersection between the two overlap completely and be 1?
 
Eats Dirt said:
But it is asking about the probability of their "Intersection" so shouldn't the intersection between the two overlap completely and be 1?

That is why I asked you to tell me what is the intersection of the events A={get heads} and B = {do not get tails}. The intersection ##A \cap B## is some subset of the sample space ##S = \{ H,T \}.## What IS that subset? Do not tell me in words; actually display the subset.
 
Ray Vickson said:
That is why I asked you to tell me what is the intersection of the events A={get heads} and B = {do not get tails}. The intersection ##A \cap B## is some subset of the sample space ##S = \{ H,T \}.## What IS that subset? Do not tell me in words; actually display the subset.
Their intersection would be a subset of S say, ##Sub = \{ H \}.##
 
Eats Dirt said:
Their intersection would be a subset of S say, ##Sub = \{ H \}.##
ok i got it thank you
 
For a pack of cards;

say, event A is getting a club, event B is getting a ten, What is the probability of their intersection?
In this case A≠B and P(A) ≠ P(B) ≠ P(A∩B)≠P(A) , P(A)=1/4 ,P(B) = 1/13 and P(A∩B) = 1/52

Now say event A is getting a red card and event B is getting a heart or a diamond. Then P(A) = P(B) = P(A∩B) = 1/2, since A, B and A∩B are all the same

May be you're thinking about the logical expression ( P(A)=P(B) ) which would be true if A=B, since P(A) would = P(B).
True and false are sometimes represented as 1 and 0.
 
  • #10
Eats Dirt said:
ok i got it thank you

Right.

Of course, if ##A = B## then ##A \cap B = A##, so ##P(A \cap B) = P(A)##.

You may have been accidentally thinking of conditional probabilities, because for them it is true that
$$ A = B \; \; \Rightarrow \;\; P(A | B) = 1.$$
 

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