News Is Anyone Truly in Control Amidst the Ukrainian Crisis?

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The discussion highlights the chaotic situation in Ukraine, questioning who truly controls the protests and the government amidst escalating violence, particularly in Kiev. It notes the deep cultural and political divisions within Ukraine, with significant pro-Russian sentiments in the east and pro-European aspirations in the west. The conversation reflects on the lack of strong U.S. support for the protesters compared to past interventions during the Orange Revolution. Participants express skepticism about the motivations behind the protests, suggesting they may be influenced by foreign interests and local radicals. The overall sentiment is one of uncertainty regarding the future of Ukraine, with concerns about potential power struggles and external influences.
  • #361
micromass said:
Source please.

"There are massive anomalies in the vote, even as it is recorded, including the fact that, based on the census in Sevastopol city, 123% of the Sevastopol population would have had to have voted yes for the referendum."
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/17/us-eu-sanctions-russia-ukraine-crimea-referendum

I hope that The Guardian is not a newspaper with serious right wing bias ;)
 
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  • #362
lendav_rott said:
I don't support either side in this, but it just seems a bit foolish in my eyes just to say "oh my god these russians!..." as if its Russia's fault that the 1st world is asking for trouble.
I agree. If I consider the NATO enlargement (which arguably goes against diplomatic agreements surrounding the German reunification), the seemingly arbitrary inner-Soviet transfer of Crimea from Russia to the Ukraine in 1954 and the fact that Russia has its Black Sea Fleet there, I can hardly blame Russia for trying to prevent a future NATO influence by supporting a referendum in the current situation.

I don't have an informed opinion on the details of the referendum and I'm far from approving of all of Russia's actions but the western mainstream seems to be clearly biased here.
 
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  • #363
qspeechc:
Voice of Russia that you quoted is Russian gov radio. How do you think, maybe it might somewhat influence its objectivity? Or taking into account centralization of power in Russia you may as well just directly quote Putin's claims.

kith said:
I agree. If I consider the NATO enlargement (which arguably goes against diplomatic agreements surrounding the German reunification), the seemingly arbitrary inner-Soviet transfer of Crimea from Russia to the Ukraine in 1954 and the fact that Russia has its Black Sea Fleet there, I can hardly blame Russia for trying to prevent a future NATO influence by supporting a referendum in the current situation.

I don't have an informed opinion on the details of the referendum and I'm far from approving of all of Russia's actions but the western mainstream seems to be clearly biased here.
If such right of self determination of nations is so important for Putin and internal border decisions within the SU are irrelevant, what about Chechen Republic of Ichkeria?
 
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  • #364
Czcibor said:
Voice of Russia that you quoted is Russian gov radio. How do you think, maybe it might somewhat influence its objectivity? Or taking into account centralization of power in Russia you may as well just directly quote Putin's claims.
Here is a Guardian article about the role of the U.S. including Nuland's quote and similar critisism as qspeechc's article.

Czcibor said:
If such right of self determination of nations is so important for Putin and internal border decisions within the SU are irrelevant, what about Chechen Republic of Ichkeria?
I didn't claim that Putin supports the referendum because of the right of self determination of nations. I also think that he has double standards. But I think he shares this with the U.S. and the West.
 
  • #365
kith said:
Here is a Guardian article about the role of the U.S. including Nuland's quote and similar critisism as qspeechc's article.

The article that I mocked was about the USA founding Nazi groups in the Ukraine.

Thanks for this article. I thought that the USA does not care too much about my region, and now I'm a bit reassured. (yes, reassured, keep in mind that in this game the possible gain of the US is small in comparison to gains of central and eastern Europe freed from dependency on Russian natural gas) Anyway slowly building civic society in Ukraine does not sound to me as something that would be placed within the top 10 most evil things that the USA does.
 
  • #366
jim hardy said:
That Russia is nervous about NATO placing " missile shield " silos that near their border seems natural enough to me.

Remember Cuba 1961.

I remember a Russian official telling Charlie Rose "I can't see inside those missile silos. How do i know they're defensive and friendly?"

Putin is doing what Eisenhower doubtless wishes he'd done about Castro.
I don't blame him for that.
Since this isn't 1961 and we didn't utilize our Cuban base as an entry point for invasion and annexation of Cuba, I have a hard time seeing real parallels.

Putin isn't stupid or naive and I don't think anyone else here is either: in the Cold War, the threats really were multilateral, but today the threat exists in one direction only.

In other words, our military posture really was aimed at the USSR and theirs at us, but for a quarter century it has only been true that Russia's is focused on us. Our focus has been and remains elsewhere and we intend no threat to Russia, but clearly Russia is a threat to us/the West.
 
  • #367
Also, I shouldn't have to remind people, but all cold war parallels became moot yesterday when Putin reversed himself and declared his intent to annex Crimea. That's a hot war even if no shots are fired and no amount of influence or treaty organization expansion can ever compare to it.
 
  • #368
Didn't the people of Crimea vote to rejoin Russia?
 
  • #369
Pythagorean said:
Didn't the people of Crimea vote to rejoin Russia?

Sure, they did so. In some regions (like Sevastopol) 123% of local population voted for that... :D
 
  • #370
Ahhh, I see :)
 
  • #371
Pythagorean said:
Ahhh, I see :)
Even if we believed the vote to be real, that would not automatically make it or Russia's actions legal.

Food for thought: when was the last time a principal combatant in WWII annexed part of another country? When was the last time anyone did?

The answers to - or difficulty in answering - these questions is a sign of the gravity of this situation.
 
  • #372
I don't know about legality, but from a moral perspective, it's in a grey area if the people of Crimea actually want to be part of Russia, given their recent history with their own government. Though that's probably irrelevant given Putin's voting standards.
 
  • #373
russ_watters said:
That's a hot war even if no shots are fired and no amount of influence or treaty organization expansion can ever compare to it.

True, but it was maybe a matter of just a few minutes after the "victory speech":

Ukraine Officer Shot Dead In Simferopol, Crimea
 
  • #374
russ_watters said:
Food for thought: when was the last time a principal combatant in WWII annexed part of another country? When was the last time anyone did?

The answers to - or difficulty in answering - these questions is a sign of the gravity of this situation.

Thank you very much for this russ, I was beginning to feel like a "hysterical tocsin" in this thread. It's hard to avoid the 'parallels':

Code:
Dr Jekyll                 Mr Hyde
------------------------------------------------
"Historical mess"         "Historical mess"
Strong nationalism        Strong nationalism
2014 Olympics             1936 Olympics
2014 Crimea               1938 Sudetenland
?                      1939 Poland

Of course, one can never be sure on what's going on, and what the real plan are, but this has to be handle firmly, careful and right to avoid another historical catastrophe...
 
  • #375
Czcibor said:
Sure, they did so. In some regions (like Sevastopol) 123% of local population voted for that... :D

They did just what former Gov. Earl Long of Louisiana told his supporters long ago: "Vote early and vote often."
 
  • #376
kith said:
I agree. If I consider the NATO enlargement (which arguably goes against diplomatic agreements surrounding the German reunification), .
Per the article you reference there arguably is no such agreement, I.e "the short answer is no"
 
  • #377
It looks like Turkey wants a piece now too.

That is to say, a Turkish columnist :P
 
  • #378
Just for the record: I think that calling the current situation a "hot war" or putting Russia on a level with Nazi Germany in the late 30s is hysterical - or warmongering. Already a cold war does not seem likely to me at the moment.

One of the first indicators will be the reaction of the EU which is to be expected at the end of the week. NATO founding member France for example, does not sound enthusiastic even about stopping weapon delivery to Russia yet: "If Putin carries on like this, we could consider canceling these sales." (http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20140317-711663.html )
 
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  • #379
mheslep said:
Per the article you reference there arguably is no such agreement, I.e "the short answer is no"
Well you have read the article. Yes, there's nothing legally binding -and I didn't intend to suggest the contrary- but there were assurances like "for us, it stands firm: NATO will not expand itself to the East.”
 
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  • #380
kith said:
Just for the record: I think that calling the current situation a "hot war" or putting Russia on a level with Nazi Germany in the late 30s is hysterical - ...)
Ok, can you make that case, that the comparison is hysterical? Leave aside how hot, or not, the Crimea has become. The comparison to the early Nazi land grabs has been made in serious media outlets and by serious officials.
 
  • #381
kith said:
Well you have read the article. Yes, there's nothing legally binding -and I didn't intend to suggest the contrary- but there were assurances like "for us, it stands firm: NATO will not expand itself to the East.”

Agreed, and those reunification discussions are relevant.
 
  • #382
mheslep said:
Ok, can you make that case, that the comparison is hysterical? Leave aside how hot, or not, the Crimea has become. The comparison to the early Nazi land grabs has been made in serious media outlets and by serious officials.

:thumbs:
 
  • #383
Full video: Putin's address on Crimea joining Russia, signing ceremony
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ayu3Ecdbl0Q
http://www.youtube.com/embed/Ayu3Ecdbl0Q


Kerry: Putin's rhetoric doesn't jibe with reality
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qByDgxz6lC8
http://www.youtube.com/embed/qByDgxz6lC8

William Hague addresses House of Commons over Ukraine crisis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L6NEIn72H-Y
http://www.youtube.com/embed/L6NEIn72H-Y

Joe Biden Denounces Crimean Annexation: Russia 'Stands Naked And Alone'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zDHu4pizMYM
http://www.youtube.com/embed/zDHu4pizMYM

McCain: Russia Is a 'Gas Station Masquerading As a Country'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=scTjdnT7CCo
http://www.youtube.com/embed/scTjdnT7CCo
 
  • #384
mheslep said:
Per the article you reference there arguably is no such agreement, I.e "the short answer is no"
And the slightly longer answer was also no: no only did no formal agreement not to expand NATO ever exist, but Gorbachev later formally AGREED to it!
 
  • #385
kith said:
Just for the record: I think that calling the current situation a "hot war" or putting Russia on a level with Nazi Germany in the late 30s is hysterical - or warmongering. Already a cold war does not seem likely to me at the moment.
For my questions, "Germany, 1938" was not the answer to either. According to the wiki, Russia's current company is Iraq in 1990 and the UK in 1955 (setting aside, for the moment, Georgia).

...of course the UK's last ever territorial acquisition was literally a rock: 20m high and 800 sq m in area. Of course, if that one's too silly then, yeah, things get a bit crazy.

As for "hot war" and "cold war", so far use of either economic or military force has been minimal since Russia has presented a huge threat that everyone has backed down from. But make no mistake: if you surrender to a foreign army without firing a shot because you didn't want to die, you definitely still lost a war.
 
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  • #386
mheslep said:
Ok, can you make that case, that the comparison is hysterical? Leave aside how hot, or not, the Crimea has become. The comparison to the early Nazi land grabs has been made in serious media outlets and by serious officials.
What I call hysterical is the idea that possible parallels between the annexations put the Russia of today on a level with Nazi Germany in the late 1930s and the resulting expectation that Russia may cause "another historic catastrophe" (like Devil's Avocado suggested in his post #376). Do you really want me to make the case why I think that the situation in Russia is not comparable to the situation in Nazi Germany?
 
  • #387
This man was clearly in some sort of 'war' already back in 2012 [and surely long before this].

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=30oMuEo4eDw
http://www.youtube.com/embed/30oMuEo4eDw

Peculiar notion of a "modern country"...
 
  • #388
russ_watters said:
For my questions, "Germany, 1938" was not the answer to either. According to the wiki, Russia's current company is Iraq in 1990 and the UK in 1955 (setting aside, for the moment, Georgia).
I didn't refer to your questions. Why didn't you bring this up in response to Devil's Avocado's post #376 who seemed to connect your questions with Nazi Germany? But funny that you mention it, my first idea was indeed Georgia. ;-)

russ_watters said:
As for "hot war" and "cold war", so far use of either economic or military force has been minimal since Russia has presented a huge threat that everyone has backed down from. But make no mistake: if you surrender to a foreign army without firing a shot because you didn't want to die, you definitely still lost a war.
Well, we seem to use very different definitions of "war". Also we are still talking about a referendum and it is very questionable if anybody has "surrendered to a foreign army".
 
  • #389
kith said:
What I call hysterical is the idea that possible parallels between the annexations put the Russia of today on a level with Nazi Germany in the late 1930s and the resulting expectation that Russia may cause "another historic catastrophe" (like Devil's Avocado suggested in his post #376). Do you really want me to make the case why I think that the situation in Russia is not comparable to the situation in Nazi Germany?

Free, good advice – always check your sources before guessing.

Hillary Clinton Compares Russia Moves To Nazi Aggression

Stephen Harper, John Baird compare Russia to WW II era Germany

Ukraine says Putin acting like Nazi Germany with Crimea annexation

What history can tell us about Russia, Crimea and Vladimir Putin

Want more?
 
  • #390
DevilsAvocado said:
Free, good advice – always check your sources before guessing.
What guess are you referring to?
 

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