Is P(x + a > y + b) Always 0.5 for Independent Variables?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the probability statement P(x + a > y + b) for independent random variables x, y, a, and b. It is established that if a and b are independent random variables from cumulative distribution F, and x and y are independent random variables from cumulative distribution G, then P(x + a > y + b) equals 0.5. The proof utilizes characteristic functions, specifically noting that the characteristic function of the sum S = x - y + a - b indicates a symmetric distribution, confirming the probability statement. The discussion also touches on the limitations of this approach for products of variables.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of independent random variables
  • Knowledge of cumulative distribution functions (CDFs)
  • Familiarity with characteristic functions
  • Basic probability theory concepts
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  • Study the properties of characteristic functions in probability theory
  • Learn about symmetric distributions and their implications
  • Explore the relationship between independent random variables and their distributions
  • Investigate the limitations of characteristic functions in product scenarios, such as P(ax < by)
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Mathematicians, statisticians, and students studying probability theory, particularly those interested in the behavior of independent random variables and their distributions.

Schlotkins
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Good evening:

I have a probability proof question that is driving me crazy. I feel
like I must have forgot an easy trick. Any help is GREATLY
appreciated. Here's the setup:

Let's assume a,b are indepedent random variables from cummulative
distribution F.


I think it's safe to say:


P( a > b) = .5


Now, let's assume x,y are independent random variables from CDF G.
Again:


P(x > y) = 0.5


Assume CDFs G and F are indepedent. Now it seems straightforward that:


P(x + a > y + b) = 0.5


but I don't know how to show it without assuming a distribution type.


Again, any help is appreciated.


Thank you,
Chris
 
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If you are familiar with characteristic functions it is simple.
Let f and g be the characteristic functions of F and G.
Then S= x - y + a - b will have a ch. fcn. f(t)f(-t)g(t)g(-t).
This means that S has a symmetric distribution.
 
Last edited:
Thank you for the tip and the response - I think I have it solved. On an aside, that trick wouldn't work for P(ax < by) right? It seems obvious that the P(ax - by < 0 ) = P (by - ax < 0)= .5, but of course characteristic functions are most useful for sums.

Thanks again for your assistance.
Chris
 

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