marcus
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OOO said:I admit that to a large extent I'm referring to the view of popular science journalism. That's because I always avoided cosmology while learning GR (shouldn't have done this, I guess).
Maybe I just haven't found an adequate attitude towards pop journalism yet. It's the same with my own field, theoretical particle physics (in which I consider myself a novice): Everywhere the public is informed about how fantastic the standard model is and how cool physicists are. But if you look more closely it boils down to some highly accurate predictions, some quite reasonable ones, and the bloody rest.
It sounds like part of the problem for you is the HYPE.
That is a separate issue which I don't know how to resolve, or even to begin discussion. Should the books of Stephen H. and Brian G. be burned? Should science journalists be forced to adhere to standards? Should gee-whiz science series be banned from TV? But who would pay scientist's bills if public enthusiasm were not regularly whipped up? It is all bewildering. I don't know what to think. There is a hype problem and a general science in the media problem.
The REAL SUBSTANTIVE ISSUES of how reliable and accurate models are and what their range of applicability, where they break down, and what a more fundamental theory might look like that they might emerge from...that's different.
That needs to be discussed in an entirely different context. It consists of hundreds of different questions that fit together-----patches of clarity, patches of uncertainty. You need calm surroundings, clear of hype. You need a community of other minds trying to do the same thing.
A sample question: why do you think the redshift of the CMB is 1100?
There are a lot of reasons that fit together, you could spend part of an afternoon talking that over, reading sources, talking about it again. I remember doing that one afternoon years ago, with some grad students in the astronomy building.
Part of what you are doing is you ABSORB an intuitive feel from the others (your advisor, other students)-----what they are more skeptical about, what areas of precision they admire, what they feel dubious, where they feel more confident. There are many interlocking parts of the picture. And of course the prevailing theoretical picture is always changing! Some piece is being adjusted and refitted into the picture all the time.
And you never believe.
You try to use the best model available, and you keep testing and checking.
I think that's how it works. And there are some fields where the style or ethos probably isn't what I'm talking about, at least judging from external appearance, but that's a separate issue.
this is quickly getting out of control)