Is There Credible Evidence Supporting Psychic Phenomena?

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The discussion centers on the evidence for psychic phenomena, particularly through the lens of specific cases like that of Etta Smith, who claimed to have a psychic vision that led her to a missing body. Participants debate the validity of such claims, with some asserting that while skeptics argue there is no proof of psychic events, there are instances that could be considered evidence, such as police reports and testimonies. Critics suggest that these cases can often be explained by intuition or unconscious expertise rather than paranormal abilities. The conversation also touches on the placebo effect as a potential parallel to psychic phenomena, highlighting the mind's influence on physical health and suggesting that if the mind can heal the body, it may also be capable of other unexplained abilities. However, many emphasize the need for controlled studies to substantiate claims of psychic abilities, pointing out that anecdotal evidence does not equate to proof.
  • #151
Chronos said:
Lucid dreams are not rare. They are, however, perplexing. They may appear to predict the future, but, only after the fact. Predicting the future would be a bad thing, IMO.
That's my main suspicion about these dream premonitions: they are false memories of a prior dream created shortly after the event actually occurs.
 
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  • #152
ZapperZ said:
I disagree. We can't produce top quarks "on demand" either! And if there's anything that is "below noise level" after a gazillion particle collision, it is the discovery of the top quark in such collision. It is worse than finding a needle in a haystack!

But still, we found them! The people who make such proposal (note the source and origin) also make a series of verifiable, testable, and quantitative prediction on where to look for them IF they exist! This is how you try to convince people that such an entity exist, i.e. by producing a series of measurable outcomes that can be falsified. It isn't via telling everyone else that just because you haven't found it, it doesn't mean it isn't there!

So I am utterly done and thoroughly jaded with this continuing excuses as if it is science's fault that we haven't detected such paranormal phenomena. Somehow, when it comes to paranormal studies, the rules are turned the other way, where it is the rest of us who have to falsify the claims, and not those who are proposing it who have to show that it is valid. Why are they so special?

The search for something small and improbable are very weak excuses for the failure to verify these things in light of all the utterly difficult search we go through in high energy physics. And to elevate the existence of these paranormal phenomena to being legitimate just because we have no way of measuring it yet is ridiculous. I could easily speculate (isn't that what we're doing here?) that, once we KNOW how to measure them, then we can show they are not there (ref: the classical ether, EPR's hidden variables).

So yes, I know how to play this game as well.

Zz.

Wow, I'm sorry I missed this one. Clearly part of the problem is that you see this as some kind of game. This is not a game.

You seem to be missing the point. With quarks, you can predict exactly the conditions that will produce them after so many collisions, right; or at least the odds that one will be produced after so many collisions? How does that compare to something like ball lightning, where we don't even know when or where to look? We don't know where to look or when to look because have no model to use for predictions. And for perspective, the anecdotal evidence for ball lightning is no better than the anecdotal evidence for ghosts [the claimed phenomena, not the interpretations of that phenomena], in fact it is probably far weaker, yet we accept the former to be real. How do we justify that one?

What would be your chance of finding a top quark if you had no model to use for finding them? The difference is that in particle physics, you are testing a model, not a claim.

If there are genuine psychic events that are not producible on demand, then it may be that we have no way to test the claims. If there is something wrong with that logic, please tell me specifically what it is. It isn't that we can say we have scientific evidence that the phenomenona exist, but we can't falsify claims of direct experience by faith either. It could be that we simply can't anticipate or artificially produce the conditions that allow for repeatable results.

Your position seems to be that anecdotal evidence counts as no evidence at all. While that is true for science, there are some questions that science has no way to address; at least not yet. What's more, logic is not limited to scientific constraints. If science cannot test a claim, then the next best thing is to determine what non-scientific evidence does exist and try to make sense of it. From there, perhaps insights to proper analysis will eventually be realized. But to simply deny all claims with no way to test them, is a leap of faith. I expect more than that.

I should add that many claims may soon be subject to reliable lie detector tests. So any suggestion that this is a game of catch your tail is absolutely false and only shows a lack of imagination. Just think ahead a bit. Sometimes it isn't that hard to see a solution. It may just take a little more time. Then we can know who is lying, and who is telling the truth to the best of their ability.
 
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  • #153
It is actually surprising to see how difficult to verify claims by only a handful of people on Earth usually does get verified eventually. Take e.g. the claim that the galaxy M81 can be seen with the naked eye under exceptionaly good observing conditions, http://messier.obspm.fr/xtra/supp/m81naked.txt"

To be able to see M81, you would need to be at a place where the sky is http://www.skyandtelescope.com/resources/darksky/3304011.html" and you need to have good eye-sight. But even if you succeed, there is no way for someone else to verify that you did indeed see it. Nevertheless this does not turn out to be a problem, the fact that M81 can be seen with the naked eye is not considered to be controversial at all.
 
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  • #154
Isnt avoiding disaster in the future the whole point of these exercises? Global warming is a potential disaster, not an imminent one. I believe we have power to choose what we wish to avoid once we foresee the consequences of 'business as usual'.
 
  • #155
So has not anybody tryed algorithms to see what kind of %there is on the evidence.Thats what its there for.
 
  • #156
Hello this is my first time on this forum. I have enjoyed your posts. I was wondering what you think of the work done by Dr. Rupert Sheldrake and Dean Radin on this subject. What do you think of their studies and evidence? Looking forward to your thoughts.

Thank you,
 
  • #157
Jason Calvert said:
Hello this is my first time on this forum. I have enjoyed your posts. I was wondering what you think of the work done by Dr. Rupert Sheldrake and Dean Radin on this subject. What do you think of their studies and evidence? Looking forward to your thoughts.

Thank you,
They are not respected.
The new material includes interviews with a crackpot parapsychologist (Dean Radin, from the “Institute of Noetic Sciences”)
http://www.math.columbia.edu/~woit/wordpress/?p=342

Rupert Sheldrake
http://www.skepdic.com/refuge/sheldrake.html
 
  • #158
It was announced last month that a paper would be published before the end of the year that allegedly vindicates some of Radin's work. So far we haven't seen anything.
https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=447224

The author of the paper claims to have eight years of data to support his claims.

Please be sure to limit any discussion of the paper to the thread linked.
 
  • #159
I have not but will look into it thank you.What do you think of david morehouse?
 
  • #160
far2close said:
I have not but will look into it thank you.What do you think of david morehouse?

Perhaps the better question is, "Does David Morehouse have any published papers?".

I have no idea who he is. :biggrin:
 
  • #161
Try looking up stargate program,cia remote viewing or gust type up david morehouse .If you weren't being smart.lol
 
  • #162
far2close said:
Try looking up stargate program,cia remote viewing or gust type up david morehouse .If you weren't being smart.lol
http://www.skepdic.com/remotevw.html

Dean Radin in The Conscious Universe says that the remote viewing program “finally wound down in 1994.” He doesn’t mention that the CIA shut it down because they were convinced that after 24 years of experiments it was clear that remote viewing was of no practical value to the intelligence community
 
  • #163
After thay spent like what 20 million or more.Its a possibility that thay went deep black from what i heard.
 
  • #164
far2close said:
Try looking up stargate program,cia remote viewing or gust type up david morehouse .If you weren't being smart.lol

I was not impressed by Stargate or any of it's spin-offs. If CIA "remote viewing" were reliable (or existent), then we certainly wouldn't need pesky bills like the Patriot Act. As far as "not being smart," you would have a hard time finding individuals better suited to dismantling your arguments than Ivan and Evo.

far2close said:
Heres a fun experiment.Tell a friend what you have on your mind weather it be negative or positive energy,must be focused.Then proceed to walk into a room completely hiding that energy inside yourself.Between you and your friend analyze peoples reaction.Very good for a chuckle!

It's hardly an experiment at all. The preconditions are poorly defined. What could it mean to tell a friend if you have positive or negative energy on your mind regardless of its focal status?

So I am supposed to tell my friend that I am thinking about dolphins, then measure the response of other individuals in the room to my thoughts about dolphins? Your idea is barely coherent. There is no control case, and the entire idea is fraught with cognitive biases. How do we define a positive or negative result to the test? How do we separate these results from chance and noise?

far2close said:
After thay spent like what 20 million or more.Its a possibility that thay went deep black from what i heard.

Ah, yes, of course.

Is still the friend/weather thing? Someone spent 20 million (unitless) hiding their thoughts from a room full of people? That certainly leaves something to be desired from the investment aspect. I wouldn't even know how to calculate a rate of return.
 
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  • #165
far2close said:
(Sad but true.Ever play poker that's the goal.As for the return gust got to guess what the other guy is thinking. lol.)

Pardon?

The cryptic manner of your speech is leaving my brain feeling a bit like it's suffering from aphasia. What does it mean to "gust got to guess"?

Also, it seems you've added lots of little afterthoughts to my quote. I would appreciate it if you would unquote the things that I didn't say so as to avoid the illusion that I've said them.

Also, regarding your single-king theory: which king could you be referring to? It is whichever king has most recently achieved monarchical status, or is it... oh, nevermind.
 
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  • #166
Evo said:
...they were convinced that after 24 years of experiments it was clear that remote viewing was of no practical value to the intelligence community

There is one credible problem with that statement. What would they say if it worked?
 
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  • #167
far2close said:
Try looking up stargate program,cia remote viewing or gust type up david morehouse .If you weren't being smart.lol

I am familiar with the claims surrounding the Stargate program but didn't know of that particular person. I did once invite Ed Dames [former CIA] to parcipate here and demonstrate his alleged skill, but he declined.

I must admit that I also saw Michael Shermer test four remote viewing students, including one who was supposed to be a star pupil. Frankly, I thought the star pupil produced a drawing and description that could qualify as a hit. The target was a photo of a spiral galaxy. The remote viewer drew spirals and kept describing it as a "vortex" or "whirlpool of energy". Was it a hit? There is no way to really know. And that is the problem. The alleged hits are usually subject to interpretation. I have only seen one demonstration that resulted in an undeniable hit, but this was some TV show, so there was no way to know if the demo was legit.

What I found bothersome was that Shermer didn't want to admit that it could be argued a hit. Even the advocates don't claim that the viewers can produce reliable descriptions that are absolute. But again, this is why it gets too flakey. One can usually argue that any correlation between the target and the remote viewing result is in the mind of the observer. This subjectivity may be why the CIA presumably wasted so much time on this. It may be an endless game of chasing your own tail.

Late Edit: I may not have described the test accurately. It has been a good number of years since I saw it... I am now thinking the photo was the Hubble Deepfield image and the viewer drew one spiral, but the point is the same. Based on the nature of the claims related to this alleged skill, I thought one had to allow that it could be a hit. Given that Shermer was the one controlling the test, I found it a bit surprising.
 
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  • #168
There is one credible problem with that statement. What would they say if it worked?

Cannot let that sucker get out!

I like what zoobyshoe said concerning the subtle mental notes:

"these cases of people having visions of body locations are not paranormal but the result of them having unrecognized expertize in the mundane matter of people's personal habits, plus a large collection of information about murders and the kinds of places killers leave bodies"​

We never know who we might come into contact with and sometimes when we do, even the most subtle hints are clues linking a murderer to its victim, or something to something. That is a rather far out idea of mine based on zoob's post, but I think it is possible.
 
  • #169
Seems to me that if you are a believer, you simply accept the so called "evidence" as being for psychic phenomena, and if you arent, then you dont.

The difference here is that the evidence has yet to ever hold up to close scrutiny under good and valid circumstances. And every time it doesnt, someone makes an excuse like "Well, they can't always do it on demand" or something like that.

We have been able to explain a huge number of things through science and show that they arent Magic or Demons or anything else other than a natural process or sheer coincidence. There is NO reason to think this is different. A very large number of frauds have been discovered before which also reduces the validity of "evidence" for psychic phenomena. I know of several times I have read about a so-called "Psychic" that predicts some event true, and it turns out that they were either very skilled in deducing events using evidence, knew about the event beforehand, or their prediction was so vague that you could interpret it 100 different ways.

Out of all the realms of Magic, Psychics, and other areas, NONE of them have EVER been able to affect the world like Science and Technology has. Why? Because NONE of them are reproducible to any extent whatsoever.

I believe that many people simply believe things because they have to or because they want too. And not simply in this area. I have a friend who has told me that she NEEDS to believe in a god because otherwise she sees no purpose in life. Without ANY evidence to believe this, she feels that she MUST. I see similar circumstances here.

Evidence for psychic phenomena? It can most likely be attributed to something else. It's what's probable, not what's possible to me. Why? Because I can't honestly say that i KNOW something is impossible.
 
  • #170
Drakkith said:
Seems to me that if you are a believer, you simply accept the so called "evidence" as being for psychic phenomena, and if you arent, then you dont.

The difference here is that the evidence has yet to ever hold up to close scrutiny under good and valid circumstances. And every time it doesnt, someone makes an excuse like "Well, they can't always do it on demand" or something like that.

Thay may not be correct. As referenced earlier, we are waiting to see if a paper will be published, as was announced, showing, allegedly, eight years of experimental evidence for precognition. At this point we can only wait and see what happens.

See this thread
https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=447224

We have been able to explain a huge number of things through science and show that they arent Magic or Demons or anything else other than a natural process or sheer coincidence. There is NO reason to think this is different.

That is a strawman argument. If psychic phenomena exist, it is the result of neither magic or demons. It would simply be a manifestation of physical laws that either we didn't expect, or perhaps one that we don't understand. It is a fond tradition of the human species to assign anything we don't understand to the world of magic. :wink:

A very large number of frauds have been discovered before which also reduces the validity of "evidence" for psychic phenomena. I know of several times I have read about a so-called "Psychic" that predicts some event true, and it turns out that they were either very skilled in deducing events using evidence, knew about the event beforehand, or their prediction was so vague that you could interpret it 100 different ways.

I think we all agree that so-called "psychics" have never been able to produce repeatable results. However, this does not rule out the possibility that psychic events occur. These can be two very different ideas. Psychics claim to control this ability and produce results more or less on demand. Just as an example of the loopholes still open, it could be that all so-called psychics are frauds or deluding themselves, but psychic events do occur randomly or for reasons we don't understand, but only rarely - say once in a lifetime for one out of every 1 million people. In this case it might be very difficult to identify any genuine events. So some scientists [crackpots or not] have devoted decades to developing tests that might detect an underlying signal for psychic phenomena, in a manner acceptable to science.

What makes the remote viewing claims difficult to evaluate are the subjective elements. We seemingly can't apply a simple pass or fail test. The inability to precisely define the parameters for success may be what tricks people into believing they are remote viewing, when they're really not [assuming such things are not possible].
 
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  • #171
Perhaps i didn't explain myself well enough Ivan.

I don't believe in psychic phomena for the reasons i stated above. However, I maintain the attitude that if it happens and we can see it and prove its psychic then so be it. Until then, it won't belong in science. (As I've read here before, If there's no way to prove it or run any experiments, then it pretty much doesn't matter) Or something like that at least.

If there's a paper out on it, then we'll wait and see. =)
 
  • #172
Drakkith said:
Perhaps i didn't explain myself well enough Ivan.

I don't believe in psychic phomena for the reasons i stated above. However, I maintain the attitude that if it happens and we can see it and prove its psychic then so be it. Until then, it won't belong in science. (As I've read here before, If there's no way to prove it or run any experiments, then it pretty much doesn't matter) Or something like that at least.

If there's a paper out on it, then we'll wait and see. =)

Fair enough.:smile: Ultimately the point was that while some types of claims about psychic phenomena seem to be reasonably debunked, this isn't true of all types of claims. Some can probably never be falsified - no proving a universal negative.
 
  • #173
There is none that has been subject to scientific scrutiny. That said that doesn't mean it doesn't exist just that we can't find it.

Would be nice to, but it would probably decimate the laws of physics. Is that a bad thing no, science thrives on it but their are too many laws it would violate to explain it.
 
  • #174
Calrik said:
There is none that has been subject to scientific scrutiny. That said that doesn't mean it doesn't exist just that we can't find it.

Would be nice to, but it would probably decimate the laws of physics. Is that a bad thing no, science thrives on it but their are too many laws it would violate to explain it.

What laws would it violate?
 
  • #175
Ivan Seeking said:
What laws would it violate?

Materialism and evolution bear with me not exactly laws. Why would man need to evolve an ability it did not need?
 
  • #176
Ivan Seeking said:
What laws would it violate?

While it would be impossible to make definitive statements about which laws actual psychic ability could violate, I think it's reasonable to say that its genuine discovery would significantly alter our understanding of whatever medium that ability uses for transmission.

Even if it didn't specifically violate any laws, it would still be (at minimum) a weird legal loophole.
 
  • #177
FlexGunship said:
While it would be impossible to make definitive statements about which laws actual psychic ability could violate, I think it's reasonable to say that its genuine discovery would significantly alter our understanding of whatever medium that ability uses for transmission.

Even if it didn't specifically violate any laws, it would still be (at minimum) a weird legal loophole.

True but at the least you'd have to prove it no?
 
  • #178
FlexGunship said:
While it would be impossible to make definitive statements about which laws actual psychic ability could violate, I think it's reasonable to say that its genuine discovery would significantly alter our understanding of whatever medium that ability uses for transmission.

Even if it didn't specifically violate any laws, it would still be (at minimum) a weird legal loophole.

There is also the remote possibility of something hiding in plain sight - all the pieces are there but no one has ever put it all together. However, there seems to be little doubt that such a discovery would be a paradigm changer.

As you indicated, it is impossible to speculate about violations of physical laws without a suggested mechanism for a particular form of ESP. I am not aware of any physical laws that ESP would necessarily violate, in principle.
 
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  • #179
Ivan Seeking said:
As you indicated, it is impossible to speculate about violations of physical laws without a suggested mechanism for a particular form of ESP. I am not aware of any physical laws that ESP would necessarily violate, in principle.

Well, right. Observing ESP would not be, for example, grounds for overthrowing general relativity. However, if Z bosons were found to carry ideas and intuition, then we would have to strongly revise our understanding of the weak nuclear force.

The same would certainly be true of any force carrier.
 
  • #180
FlexGunship said:
Well, right. Observing ESP would not be, for example, grounds for overthrowing general relativity. However, if Z bosons were found to carry ideas and intuition, then we would have to strongly revise our understanding of the weak nuclear force.

The same would certainly be true of any force carrier.

Again, we have no basis for speculation. So, yes, by definition it is hard to imagine how it could happen. However, if it does happen, I'm quite sure no laws are violated. :biggrin:
 

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