Navigating the Tensions in Ukraine: A Scientific Perspective

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The discussion centers on the complexities and potential consequences of the ongoing tensions in Ukraine, drawing parallels to historical conflicts. Participants express concerns about the motivations behind Putin's actions, suggesting he aims to expand Russian influence and possibly recreate aspects of the Soviet Union. The effectiveness of Western sanctions is debated, with skepticism about their impact on halting Russian aggression. There are fears that if the West does not respond decisively, the situation could escalate beyond Ukraine, potentially affecting other regions like Taiwan. Overall, the conversation highlights the precarious nature of international relations and the risks of underestimating authoritarian ambitions.
  • #901
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  • #902
What do any of the last few posts have to do with the current situation, which is a Russian invasion of Ukraine? Neither Crimea nor the Donbas region independently sought succession (both were invaded by Russia and sought separation while under Russian control) and even if they had, Russia is currently invading the rest of Ukraine.

Anyway, the legality of secession is not clear-cut but it is not a factor in the current situation.
 
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  • #903
One should also not confuse the language a person speaks with that person’s political sympathies.
 
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  • #904
russ_watters said:
What do any of the last few posts have to do with the current situation, which is a Russian invasion of Ukraine?
Let me rephrase: none of that has anything to do with the current situation and discussion of it is not acceptable in this thread and must end.
 
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  • #905
morrobay said:
Taiwan is a homogeneous unified population. Where Ukraine is not. And you can do your searches on fascist organizations in Ukraine - and who might be supportive of them. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-cohen-ukraine-commentary-idUSKBN1GV2TY
Have you no sense whatsover of the humanitarian catastrophe engulfing Ukraine and Eastern Europe? This is full-scale war in Europe. Have you really no understanding of what the Russian invasion means for everyone living in Ukraine?

There are fascist organisations here in the UK. One of them is the British National Party:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_National_Party

Do you really want Putin to bomb the hell out of London as well? As a punishment for us having fascists in our midst?
 
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  • #906
morrobay said:
Taiwan is a homogeneous unified population. Where Ukraine is not.
Well, now they have a pretty unified common ground :frown:

The most damaged areas so far are exactly the ones with the most Russian population. But by now, they were mostly converted to 'Russian speaking, Russian hating Ukrainians'.
 
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  • #907
Keith_McClary said:
The usual definition for Donbas. The will of the people doesn't seem to matter much in international law - for example, the Catalonians with long prison terms for advocating a referendum.
Spain came down hard on the Catalonians, so Kyiv must be bombed? I'm struggling to see even a twisted, sick logic in that. As far as I can see, whatever you believe politically has left you will hardly a shred of genuine concern for your fellow human beings.

You see Ukraine being bombed and shelled and all you think about are cheap, vague jibes at Spain for its internal troubles.
 
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  • #908
The 'official reasons' are ridiculous. All of them. I think this is a common pattern among those who began a war. The first cartoon in post #863 sums it up. The only 'Nazi' that fits in this context is Putin himself. I do not claim there aren't Ukrainian Nazis because I believe there are in every society. However, they haven't ever been a problem to Ukraine. Corruption was a problem. But this is exactly what Putin has to offer anyway.

I have read these days but forgotten who said it: War is always theft.
 
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  • #909
Or, to quote George Orwell:

“There will be no curiosity, no enjoyment of the process of life. All competing pleasures will be destroyed. But always there will be the intoxication of power, constantly increasing and constantly growing subtler. Always, at every moment, there will be the thrill of victory, the sensation of trampling on an enemy who is helpless.
If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face— forever. ”​

 
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  • #911
pinball1970 said:
The UK needs to speed up visa processing of Ukrainians refugees
Yes, from what I read, it is a bit embarrassing. You can currently travel by train from Lwiw to Pau for free if you have a Ukrainian passport (not sure about the situation in Spain and Portugal). And there are 10,000 people arriving in Berlin daily.

I had read about 50 people in the UK ...
 
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  • #914
According to BBC radio this AM, Chernobyl nuclear facility has lost power. 48 hours of fuel are estimated for the backup generators. Critical needs for outside power include the cooling pools for waste that includes spent fuel and recovered waste from the previous disaster. Attempts are being made to negotiate safe passage for repair crews.

Again, this is all from the BBC World News radio broadcast that has just finished up.

Minor update: Via NPR: Repair crews are being denied access by Russian combat troops.

--diogenesNY
 
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  • #915
 
  • #916
The current situation:
ukraine_live-map_dark_0309-Midi.jpg

Source: https://www.spiegel.de/
 
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  • #917

War in Ukraine: Russia soon unable to pay its debts, warns agency (BBC News, 9th March 2022)​


BBC Article said:
Russia will soon be unable to pay its debts, according to a leading credit ratings agency.

Fitch Ratings downgraded its view of the country's government debt, warning a default is "imminent".

The move comes amid increasing international sanctions against Russia following its invasion of Ukraine.

A credit rating is intended to help investors understand the level of risk they face in buying a country's debt - or bonds.

A low rating means the chances of not getting repaid is considered to be high - and so an investor will charge more to lend to that country.

[...]

Source (with more info): War in Ukraine: Russia soon unable to pay its debts, warns agency (BBC News, 9th March 2022)
 
  • #918
PeroK said:
I agree with everything that Dianne Abbot said. (A sentence I thought I would never use)
Johnson said we still need a sort of an idea on numbers coming in. Not many other countries seem to have that as a priority.
 
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  • #919
What you're up against Mr Putin!



See also post #816.
 
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  • #920
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  • #921
For that kind of money for a train ride one could simply buy a car and leave with it...PS. I had some thoughts lately, and even though this is an internet forums and nothing is that personal, I want to apologize to those here whom I annoyed and irritated with my long remarks. I have to admit work has been tough lately and I'm getting less sleep than I would like to, and then this whole Ukraine deal hit sort of close to home not just figuratively but also literally. I turned into a "armchair general and expert" in a day...:biggrin: especially given how everybody here talks about it and we share much in common with Ukraine both in real people as well as history.
I normally don't like to be as one user here said "condescending" , in fact it's quite the opposite of how I like to be. And when going over my remarks I did found them passive aggressive at some point as @Bandersnatch pointed out. Even though our history understanding and our view towards the world might differ and that is normal given we all have different backgrounds, I tried to push my view harder than was necessary.
So for those that I know who disliked my remarks like @russ_watters @PeroK, @Bandersnatch and possibly others, please let this be past us and forgive me.
 
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  • #922
For that kind of money >I< could buy a car, drive to St. Petersburg, and then to wherever they need to get to. Though if fuel prices keep raising like they do around here, it might get harder and harder to break even.

Thanks for that post, @artis . Self-criticism is never an easy thing to do.
 
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  • #923
artis said:
please let this be past us and forgive me.
Hey man, I'm in the middle of Indiana and I'm freaking out. You must be a bit "edgy" to say the least.
To me your insights have been honest and appreciated. They certainly added to my understanding, and that is very useful. Thank you.
 
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  • #924
Bandersnatch said:
Thanks for that post, @artis . Self-criticism is never an easy thing to do.
Well like that good old Michael Jackson song , I am trying to do as he sang "starting with the man in the mirror"...
I'm starting with the man in the mirror
I'm asking him to change his ways
And no message could've been any clearer
If they want to make the world a better place
Take a look at yourself and then make a change

hutchphd said:
Hey man, I'm in the middle of Indiana and I'm freaking out. You must be a bit "edgy" to say the least.
To me your insights have been honest and appreciated. They certainly added to my understanding, and that is very useful. Thank you.
That is nice to hear, it's always great when what we say brings us closer in any regard and understanding is definitely one important part of that.
I mean I always tend to say here and elsewhere that we shouldn't get emotional and then I did just that, got emotional over fair criticism, add some lack of sleep on top of that and exhaustion.
This past year has been like war almost, Covid knocked down hard (also personally), then prices went up and now this war,
at this point the only thing missing for complete mayhem is that black hole in CERN some said LHC proton collisions would bring us...:biggrin:Anyway there is always risk when you discuss politics, even when it's not your personal opinion that you are expressing, you instantly get tainted.
 
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  • #925
“War” and “invasion” are two words that can land someone in prison for up to 15 years under a new Russian law.

Those words are “fake news" in the eyes of Russian lawmakers and President Vladimir Putin, who last week passed a law criminalizing the intentional spread of information that goes against the government’s narrative about what the country prefers to call a “special military operation” in Ukraine.
So, it is illegal to be truthful in Russia, or at least hold an opinion that differs from Putin's regime.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/russia-cracks-down-free-speech-040014673.html

Russia needs to liberate itself from Putin and his oligarch cronies.

Edit/update:

'Putin is angry': U.S. intel chiefs warn that Russia may escalate attacks​

WASHINGTON — U.S. intelligence leaders on Tuesday floated the idea that Vladimir Putin may seek an exit from Ukraine if his war effort continues to stall, but that escalation of the conflict is likely to happen before the Russian president considers ending his attacks.

“We assess Putin feels aggrieved the West does not give him proper deference and perceives this as a war he cannot afford to lose. But what he might be willing to accept as a victory may change over time, given the significant costs he is incurring,” Avril Haines, the director of national intelligence, told members of the House Intelligence Committee.

The heads of the nation’s intelligence agencies painted a bleak picture of the war as it winds through its second week. Intelligence agencies expect that food and water for some Ukrainians could run out in less than two weeks, and believe that between 2,000 and 4,000 Russian troops have died so far.
https://news.yahoo.com/putin-is-ang...at-russia-may-escalate-attacks-192751180.html
 
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  • #926
@artis Thanks for post #816. Perhaps there's a danger we make light of an extremely grim situation but at the same time your animation emphasizes an ordinary guy stepping up to the plate in extraordinary fashion. And lays bare Mr Putin's lies about so-called 'de-nazifying' of Ukraine as an excuse for blatant invasion of a sovereign country.
 
  • #927
https://www.parliament.nz/en/get-involved/features/new-zealand-parliament-s-response-to-the-russian-invasion-of-ukraine/

On Monday, 7 March 2022, artwork crafted by the Ukrainian Community of Aotearoa was unveiled on the ground floor of the Beehive by Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern, and a representative from the Ukrainian Community.

In attendance at the unveiling event, hosted by Speaker Trevor Mallard, were members of the Ukrainian community based in Wellington and cross party representatives.

Speaker Trevor Mallard said today that after acknowledging the Ukrainian community by opening the Parliament with a Ukrainian language prayer last week, this artwork is a continuing display of support and solidarity for Ukraine.

“New Zealand’s Parliament stands with Ukraine in these troubling times and condemns the invasion. We support the people in Ukraine, and our thoughts are with those who are impacted by this conflict.”The artwork which depicts a map of New Zealand, embroidered in traditional Ukraine designs, was made and gifted to Parliament by New Zealand’s Ukrainian Community in 2016.
 
  • #928
5%
 
  • #929
Pentagon rejects Poland's offer to send fighter jets to the US to send to Ukraine, saying it raises 'serious concerns for the entire NATO alliance'
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...cerns-for-the-entire-nato-alliance/ar-AAUPVP8

I can see why they would do that.

I think Poland should allow Ukrainian pilots to fly the fighter planes out of Poland, and then to Ukraine. Ukraine must be allowed to defend itself, without having its hands and feet bound.

The Russian people need to remove Putin.
 
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  • #930
Astronuc said:
The Russian people need to remove Putin.
Yeah, and I need to lose weight but I woudn't bet on either one happening.
 
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