Nuclear weapons for anti-missile defense

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers on the concept of using nuclear weapons for anti-missile defense, particularly high-altitude detonations as a means to intercept incoming missiles. Participants explore historical context, technical feasibility, and implications of such technologies, including comparisons to modern missile defense systems like the Strategic Defense Initiative (Star Wars technology).

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation
  • Exploratory

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants question the practicality and effectiveness of using high-altitude nuclear detonations for missile defense, citing concerns about fallout and electromagnetic pulse (EMP) effects on electronics.
  • Others argue that while the technology could theoretically work, it is not practical due to the destructive consequences of nuclear detonations and the challenges of accurately intercepting missiles.
  • A few participants mention that the idea of a radioactive debris shield in space was considered, but the feasibility of such a shield is debated, with some suggesting it would require an impractical number of nuclear detonations.
  • There are discussions about the historical context of nuclear tests and their environmental impact, with references to the fallout from atmospheric tests and its comparison to natural background radiation.
  • Some participants highlight that advancements in targeting technology have shifted the focus away from nuclear interceptors to kinetic interceptors, which are seen as more viable and cost-effective.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views, with no consensus on the effectiveness or practicality of using nuclear weapons for missile defense. There are competing perspectives on the implications of fallout, EMP effects, and the historical context of such technologies.

Contextual Notes

Limitations include the unresolved nature of the technical challenges associated with high-altitude nuclear detonations, the dependence on historical context for understanding current missile defense strategies, and the varying interpretations of environmental impacts from nuclear testing.

lavinia
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I couldn't find an compatible heading for this question and decided to place it here since it deals with nuclear engineering, sort of.

From the documentary movie, Trinity and Beyond, which is a history of the American nuclear weapons program, it seems that high atmosphere nuclear detonations were tested for anti missile and anti-bomber defence. Incoming missiles from the Soviet Union would be destroyed in transit by high altitude thermo-nuclear blasts. As soon as the enemy missiles were detected, nuclear tipped missiles would be launched to destroy them

Does this technology work? Why wouldn't one use it instead of Star Wars technology?

Also it seems that testing was done to created a radioactive debris shield in space that would disable incoming missiles. Why wouldn't this work?
 
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Nuclear explosions in the atmosphere are bad
 
lavinia said:
Does this technology work? Why wouldn't one use it instead of Star Wars technology?

It works. Sorta kinda. It is obviously not practical to perform a full-scale test of it, though (think of the fallout).
E.g. how much EMP will this generate? Will radars still function and be able to track next wave of ICBMs to intercept?

Also it seems that testing was done to created a radioactive debris shield in space that would disable incoming missiles. Why wouldn't this work?

I think you are mistaken. Such shield needs to be incredibly dence to be able to affect incoming missiles in any way - tens of thousands of nukes at least. I don't think there ever was such a plan.
 
a_potato said:
Nuclear explosions in the atmosphere are bad
Yes - adding fission products and activated elements (radionuclides/fallout) to the environment is generally considered undesirable.
 
nikkkom said:
I think you are mistaken. Such shield needs to be incredibly dence to be able to affect incoming missiles in any way - tens of thousands of nukes at least. I don't think there ever was such a plan.

Maybe so although the idea was mentioned in the documentary so it was certainly considered at least as an idea.
 
nikkkom said:
It works. Sorta kinda. It is obviously not practical to perform a full-scale test of it, though (think of the fallout).
E.g. how much EMP will this generate? Will radars still function and be able to track next wave of ICBMs to intercept?

The link that SteamKing gave gives a sort a kinda answer as well. It seems that MIRV's were a big deterrent to the deterrent and the system was eventually abandoned for cost and doubt about its viability. Edward Teller for instance argued that it would be cheaper to get around the system than to develop it.
 
Astronuc said:
Yes - adding fission products and activated elements (radionuclides/fallout) to the environment is generally considered undesirable.

This is really an aside but the documentary said that over three hundred nuclear tests were done. What then was the actual fallout - so to speak - of all of these tests?
 
lavinia said:
This is really an aside but the documentary said that over three hundred nuclear tests were done. What then was the actual fallout - so to speak - of all of these tests?
The effect of fallout is time dependent. After a long time the radionuclides decay to much less active isotopes, and in doing so release all sorts of nasties. You could probably estimate the total dose inflicted on the planet give or take an order of magnitude...
 
  • #10
From the Nevada Test Site (north of Las Vegas), the fallout from the atmospheric tests there was caught by the prevailing winds and deposited over the eastern and central portions of the continental US. The atmospheric tests performed in the Pacific atolls produced fallout which largely was dispersed over water, except for a few incidents (like the early H-bomb tests) where fallout contaminated a Japanese fishing fleet and some nearby inhabited islands.
 
  • #11
a_potato said:
The effect of fallout is time dependent. After a long time the radionuclides decay to much less active isotopes, and in doing so release all sorts of nasties. You could probably estimate the total dose inflicted on the planet give or take an order of magnitude...

a_potato,

The following table courtesy of the Health Physics Society chapter at the University of Michigan gives the comparison of how much dose is due to fallout from nuclear testing vis-a-vis other source:

http://www.umich.edu/~radinfo/introduction/radrus.htm

Fallout is <0.03% of the background dose. Mother Nature gives you over 3000X the dose as does fallout.

Greg
 
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  • #12
lavinia said:
I couldn't find an compatible heading for this question and decided to place it here since it deals with nuclear engineering, sort of.

From the documentary movie, Trinity and Beyond, which is a history of the American nuclear weapons program, it seems that high atmosphere nuclear detonations were tested for anti missile and anti-bomber defence. Incoming missiles from the Soviet Union would be destroyed in transit by high altitude thermo-nuclear blasts. As soon as the enemy missiles were detected, nuclear tipped missiles would be launched to destroy them

Does this technology work? Why wouldn't one use it instead of Star Wars technology?

Also it seems that testing was done to created a radioactive debris shield in space that would disable incoming missiles. Why wouldn't this work?

At the time that these tests were made, microelectronics were in their infancy and not very widespread. Vacuum tubes were still very common in radios, televisions, avionics, etc. High altitude nuclear detonations produce electromagnetic pulses (EMP), which fry unshielded microcircuits but which leave vacuum tubes unaffected. If you were to make a modern nuclear weapons defensive systems using high-altitude nuclear explosions, all computers and other systems dependent on microelectronics would have to be shielded against EMP or risk destruction.
 
  • #13
The initial ABM nuclear warheads were very large, in the 2-5 megaton class, presumably because the intercept accuracy was low. The test ban treaty and the obviously damaging consequences from high altitude nuclear explosions helped end that effort. The explosion effects help blind the guidance radars for subsequent missiles, which undermines the defense effort.
It is probable that the research labs are considering what could be done using much smaller nukes instead of the current 'hit to kill' warheads. A tiny nuke, say a kiloton, would be a very effective anti missile weapon with much less self impact. However, there is no practical effort ongoing, partly because of treaties, partly because Congress has prohibited new nuclear warhead development.
 
  • #16
hahaha analogdesign;

I think the problem of EMP, fallout, and radar blinding is probably overestimated. The first two effects are relatively localized: EMP is subject to the inverse square law and fallout, as another poster pointed out, of a single nuclear event would hardly register above background. Radar blinding can be mitigated, in part, with distributed sensors and diversified bandwidths.

In the Nike Zeus program a nuclear warhead was used to make up for lack of targeting precision. Once hit-to-kill kinetic interceptors were proven there was no longer an incentive to use nuclear warheads; the kinetic interceptors were far cheaper.
 
  • #17
sparkle_pony said:
hahaha analogdesign;

I think the problem of EMP, fallout, and radar blinding is probably overestimated. The first two effects are relatively localized: EMP is subject to the inverse square law and fallout, as another poster pointed out, of a single nuclear event would hardly register above background. Radar blinding can be mitigated, in part, with distributed sensors and diversified bandwidths.

In the Nike Zeus program a nuclear warhead was used to make up for lack of targeting precision. Once hit-to-kill kinetic interceptors were proven there was no longer an incentive to use nuclear warheads; the kinetic interceptors were far cheaper.

Yes, but the OP asked why nuclear warheads weren't being used for ABM defense. And, it's unlikely that an attack would involve the interception of just one missile; after all, modern strategic missiles are equipped with multiple re-entry vehicles which ALL have to be destroyed in order to prevent any nuclear hits.

When atmospheric testing of nuclear devices was still permitted, several different atomic devices were detonated to gather data about the extent and damage the EMP could cause. As a result f these tests, military aircraft and naval vessels receive special hardening against the effects of EMP so that vital communications and other electronic systems remain operational in the event that an atmospheric nuclear blast is encountered.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_electromagnetic_pulse

Because of various factors, it is hard to predict what the effect of EMP, fallout, and radiation will have on ground- and air-based systems, which is why these systems may be over-designed.
 
  • #18
True but if the MIRVs were deployed early they would have spread out enough to require multiple interceptors, nuke or not.

For EMP I don't doubt the problem, just the range. If the intercept occurred over the artic or pacific then few systems would be close enough to be effected, including sats.
 
  • #19
sparkle_pony said:
True but if the MIRVs were deployed early they would have spread out enough to require multiple interceptors, nuke or not.
sparke_pony,

You are limited by how far you can spread out your MIRVs; since you want to hit the target. For example, Russian warheads will probably be targeted at US ICBM sites in North Dakota, Montana, and Wyoming. That means there's a pretty narrow angle in which to disperse MIRVs.

The concern about radioactivity is kind of a "red herring". At the time one would use this system, one would have Russian warheads inbound. So one has a choice; take out the incoming warheads with your own small warheads with the detonation at high altitude; or you can do nothing and suffer the detonation of a large Russian warhead near the surface. There's no avoiding the radioactivity if someone has launched nuclear missiles.

As far as not being able to test; the aerodynamic tests of being able to intercept an incoming missile can be done with dummy warheads. As far as the nuclear testing of the interceptor warhead, that can be done underground, and was. For example, the Cannikin test which was conducted underground on Amchitka Island, Alaska was a test of the warhead for the Spartan interceptor missile. Here's a video about the test:



Basically, the reason the programs were not pursued is that the USA and the Soviet Union decided not to pursue them and entered into the 1972 ABM - Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty where both sides agreed to limit missile defenses.

Greg
 
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  • #20
sparkle_pony said:
True but if the MIRVs were deployed early they would have spread out enough to require multiple interceptors, nuke or not.

For EMP I don't doubt the problem, just the range. If the intercept occurred over the artic or pacific then few systems would be close enough to be effected, including sats.

The EMP extends to the visual horizon from the initial burst point. If a single warhead were detonated at the proper altitude over Kansas, the effects of EMP would extend over the entire continental US. See the article in Post #17 for how the strength of the pulse drops off with distance from the blast.
 
  • #21
sparkle_pony said:
True but if the MIRVs were deployed early they would have spread out enough to require multiple interceptors, nuke or not.

For EMP I don't doubt the problem, just the range. If the intercept occurred over the artic or pacific then few systems would be close enough to be effected, including sats.

sparkle_pony,

Assume a position at which you are going to release your MIRVs and have them start to spread out.

Now calculate the maximum angle that you can have them spread out, and still hit Wyoming, Montana, and North Dakota which is where our missiles are.

Yes - you can spread your MIRVs out in a wide angle so they are difficult to hit; but then those MIRVs aren't close enough together to hit Wyoming, Montana, and North Dakota.

The angle to hit the US missile fields in the above States from Russia is fairly narrow.

Depending on where your interceptors hit; they are in a fairly narrow cone.

Greg
 
  • #22
Morbius said:
Depending on where your interceptors hit; they are in a fairly narrow cone.

But even a narrow cone is enough spread. Our intuition tells us that nuclear weapons can destroy anything within 10s of km. Games like "Missile Command" reinforce this perception. That is true for soft targets (read: cities) but not true for hardened targets like an RV. MIRVs spread over even ~5 km would be too disperse to negate with a single nuclear warhead tipped interceptor but still close enough to effectively attack a distributed target such as a missile field (note that silos are separated by large distances) or a metropolis (think LA).

But all this is irrelevant. Even if multiple RVs could be negated with a single nuclear tipped interceptor the enemy would just adapt their shot doctrine by spacing launches in time and from different launch points. That would ensure no RVs would be in roughly the same place at the same time. Hence it would be back to one interceptor for one warhead, and hit-to-kill kinetic interceptors would (economically) outperform nuclear interceptors.

RE: EMP I don't know enough about it to say one way or the other but just note that the trajectories of missiles in a northern hemisphere conflict will have most interceptions occurring over the Artic, far from Kansas.
 
  • #23
sparkle_pony said:
But even a narrow cone is enough spread. Our intuition tells us that nuclear weapons can destroy anything within 10s of km. Games like "Missile Command" reinforce this perception. That is true for soft targets (read: cities) but not true for hardened targets like an RV. MIRVs spread over even ~5 km would be too disperse to negate with a single nuclear warhead tipped interceptor but still close enough to effectively attack a distributed target such as a missile field (note that silos are separated by large distances) or a metropolis (think LA).

You are assuming that the RVs can fly thru a nuclear blast and not suffer any ill-effects, either to the components inside the RV or to the ballistic trajectory the RV is on once it leaves the missile bus.

RE: EMP I don't know enough about it to say one way or the other but just note that the trajectories of missiles in a northern hemisphere conflict will have most interceptions occurring over the Artic, far from Kansas.

Again, you are assuming that the interception over the Arctic has worked flawlessly. But what if it doesn't? What if it takes multiple shots to take out an incoming warhead, shots that can't be made over the Arctic?

Further, not all nuclear strikes have to come over the Arctic. Russia has ballistic missile subs like the US, which are stationed off the Atlantic and Pacific coasts. If you want to cause some EMP chaos, detonate a nuke over the eastern seaboard. The EMP would wipe out a lot of financial and government records stored on unhardened computers, not to mention putting millions of people in the dark due to damaged electrical grids. It would make the aftermath of hurricane Sandy seem pleasant.
 
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  • #24
SteamKing said:
You are assuming that the RVs can fly thru a nuclear blast and not suffer any ill-effects, either to the components inside the RV or to the ballistic trajectory the RV is on once it leaves the missile bus.
Again, you are assuming that the interception over the Arctic has worked flawlessly. But what if it doesn't? What if it takes multiple shots to take out an incoming warhead, shots that can't be made over the Arctic?

Further, not all nuclear strikes have to come over the Arctic. Russia has ballistic missile subs like the US, which are stationed off the Atlantic and Pacific coasts. If you want to cause some EMP chaos, detonate a nuke over the eastern seaboard. The EMP would wipe out a lot of financial and government records stored on unhardened computers, not to mention putting millions of people in the dark due to damaged electrical grids. It would make the aftermath of hurricane Sandy seem pleasant.

SteamKing,

I'm making NO such assumptions about flying through nuclear blasts. I'm just pointing out that the missiles have to stay within a cone, and the base of that cone is one of our US Air Force bases that has ICBM missiles. The size of the the Air Force base relative to the distance to the Russian missile fields is small in comparison; and hence the cone angle is pretty narrow.

I'm also well aware that not all launches will come over the pole and that Russia has missile subs. However, the Russians have a larger fraction of their missiles as land-based than we do.

Nuclear-tipped missiles weren't a "one-size fits all defense" that was supposed to handle everything.

You also have to separate the missile defense from whether you get into a war or not.

The purpose of developing these interceptors was that *given* a Russian attack, and *given* that a large fraction, although not all; of the attack would be missiles coming over the pole; is there anything you can do to blunt the attack, or are you just going to have to absorb the full force of the attack. The answer is that one can certainly blunt the attack with nuclear-tipped missiles.

However, both the USA and the then Soviet Union decided not to pursue this line of defense and save some money; and that is a purely political decision.

Whether one gets into a nuclear war or not is a totally different question and the probability of a war is not increased by having a partial defense.

Greg
 
  • #25
@Morbius: I was responding to sparkle_pony rather than to your posts. He wants to minimize the effect EMP would have on US electrical and electronic infrastructure, which I don't think can be easily ignored, given recent history with recovering from natural disasters like Katrina and Sandy, not to mention cascading power blackout incidents on the US East Coast in 2003.

I agree that the whole idea behind nuclear-tipped interceptors was not well thought out, and even if it had survived into the 1970s or 1980s, absent the ABM treaty, it would have required that hardening of key assets against EMP be made lest these assets would be damaged or destroyed if an interceptor were used.
 
  • #26
Misinformation

etudiant said:
. The test ban treaty and the obviously damaging consequences from high altitude nuclear explosions helped end that effort.
However, there is no practical effort ongoing, partly because of treaties, partly because Congress has prohibited new nuclear warhead development.

etudiant,

The above statements from your post above are incorrect. First, there's no such thing as "THE" test ban treaty; there are a number of test ban treaties. The "Partial Test Ban Treaty" prohibits atmospheric nuclear testing, that is exploding test nuclear weapons in the open air. However, that doesn't end development of nuclear-tipped interceptors, it just forces the testing to go underground which the USA did for 30 years. The second treaty is the "Threshold Test Ban Treaty". The TTBT prohibits test explosions, even underground, in excess of 150 kilotons. The final treaty is the "Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty" which prohibits all nuclear weapons testing. The CTBT was penned by the Clinton Administration, and President Clinton signed the CTBT in 1996. However, when Clinton submitted the CTBT for ratification by the Senate, the Senate failed to achieve the necessary 2/3 super-majority to make the CTBT binding on the USA. Additionally, the CTBT itself requires the adherence by all nuclear weapons capable countries ( a list of ~45 countries contained in the treaty ) before it can go into effect. Since the USA is naturally a nuclear weapons capable country, the failure of the USA to join the CTBT means that the CTBT treaty is NOT in effect for anybody; even those nations that completely ratified.

https://treaties.un.org/pages/ViewDetails.aspx?src=TREATY&mtdsg_no=XXVI-4&chapter=26&lang=en

Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
Not yet in force

Congress has NOT prohibited nuclear weapons development. A couple decades ago, Congress did prohibit development on low-yield nuclear warheads via the Spratt-Furse Law or "PLYWD" ( "plywood" ) law for Prohibition against Low Yield Weapons Development. However, the Spratt-Furse law was REPEALED in 2004.

There's NOTHING prohibiting the USA from developing new nuclear weapons should she so desire. It's simply a matter of choice or policy. The process of taking a new nuclear weapon design from the drawing board to finished production was started a few years ago for the Reliable Replacement Warhead or RRW. The RRW was a new warhead to replace aged warheads already in the stockpile. As per the decades old process, a competition in warhead design was held between Los Alamos (LANL) and Lawrence Livermore (LLNL) with LLNL being chosen the victor 7 years ago:

https://www.llnl.gov/str/May07/NewsMay07.html

The Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) announced that it has selected the design team from Lawrence Livermore and Sandia national laboratories to develop the reliable replacement warhead (RRW) for a portion of the nation’s sea-based nuclear deterrent. RRW is a joint NNSA–U.S. Navy program to ensure long-term confidence in a more secure, smaller, and safer nuclear weapons stockpile. NNSA and the Navy will work together to generate a detailed RRW project plan and cost estimate for developing and producing the system.
In 2006, the Nuclear Weapons Council approved the RRW concept as a feasible approach for sustaining the nation’s nuclear weapons stockpile. NNSA selected the Livermore–Sandia design because of the high confidence that it can be certified without underground nuclear testing. Several features of the design submitted by Los Alamos National Laboratory, also in partnership with Sandia, will be developed in parallel with the Livermore effort. As these features mature, they may be introduced into the warhead design as it progresses.

However, the Government decided not to pursue RRW to full production. The reliability and safety of the USA's nuclear stockpile is being maintained via "Life Extension Programs" (LEP). Rather than start with a clean sheet of paper; improvements and updates are incorporated into existing weapons. This has been successfully completed for LLNL's W87, for example:

https://str.llnl.gov/Mar12/obrien.html

In 2004, Lawrence Livermore successfully completed NNSA’s first LEP, refurbishing the W87. That effort enhanced the structural integrity of the warhead and extended its life by 30 years. For the W87, Livermore and Sandia scientists and engineers developed and certified the engineering design and worked closely with NNSA production facilities to ensure a cost-effective design and ease of manufacture. The W87 effort has served as a model for subsequent LEPs, including two being conducted by Los Alamos: the W76 warhead used in Trident II submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) and the B61 family of nuclear bombs.

The above article is mostly about the W78 LEP for which LLNL was made lead lab in 2010, but President Obama recently decided to delay the W78 LEP for 5 years while the LEP for the B61 moves forward. However, the Nuclear Posture Review of 2010 issued by the Obama Administration as per law states:

http://www.defense.gov/npr/docs/2010%20nuclear%20posture%20review%20report.pdf

The United States will study options for ensuring the safety, security, and reliability of nuclear warheads on a case-by-case basis, consistent with the congressionally mandated Stockpile Management Program. The full range of LEP approaches will be considered: refurbishment of existing warheads, reuse of nuclear components from different warheads, and replacement of nuclear components.

The USA hasn't developed any "new" nuclear warheads with a new "tail number" ( W87, W88, B61...) because it hasn't needed to. The LEP programs have been most successful in ensuring the capability and safety of the US nuclear arsenal without the need for "new" warheads, and this process will continue for the forseeable future. The USA might build a new nuclear warhead with a new "tail number" if backfitting capabilities into an existing weapon system would be too constraining. In that case, starting with a blank sheet of paper would be the cheaper solution.

Weapons development continues apace but using laboratory scale experiments integrated by computer simulation, rather than testing of full-scale systems. But to say that there is no development or that nuclear weapons work is prohibited by either treaty or Congress is just plain WRONG!

Some examples of ongoing nuclear weapons development:

Plutonium at 150 years: Going Strong and Aging Gracefully
https://str.llnl.gov/Dec12/chung.html

Enhancing Confidence in the Nation's Nuclear Stockpile
https://str.llnl.gov/JulAug10/allen.html

A CAT Scanner for Nuclear Weapon Components
https://str.llnl.gov/JulAug09/allen.html

Monitoring a Nuclear Weapon from the Inside
https://www.llnl.gov/str/JulAug08/trebes.html

Greg
 
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  • #27
Morbius said:
etudiant,

The above statements from your post above are incorrect. .

Weapons development continues apace but using laboratory scale experiments integrated by computer simulation, rather than testing of full-scale systems. But to say that there is no development or that nuclear weapons work is prohibited by either treaty or Congress is just plain WRONG!


Thank you, Morbius, for correcting my broad brush assertion with a much more nuanced and detailed summary of the current state of nuclear weapon development in the US.

Clearly the net result is still that whether because of treaty or domestic political consensus, nuclear weapons development in the US has ceased. Stockpile integrity assurance is ongoing, but not new weapons design. The possibility of nuclear shaped charges for instance, which would allow even very deeply buried targets to be held at risk, is left unexplored, as is the potential for nuclear devices that can function without a a-bomb trigger.
Imho, the retreat from aggressive nuclear research has robbed the country of the knowledge and skills needed to effectively address current problems, notably our energy situation, while wasting our most educated technical talents rebuilding museum pieces. Even worse, the country does not even have the offsetting advantage of a solid global nuclear test ban treaty in exchange for this silliness, something most Americans, are probably as little aware of as I was before I read your contribution.
 
  • #28
etudiant said:
Morbius said:
Clearly the net result is still that whether because of treaty or domestic political consensus, nuclear weapons development in the US has ceased. Stockpile integrity assurance is ongoing, but not new weapons design. The possibility of nuclear shaped charges for instance, which would allow even very deeply buried targets to be held at risk, is left unexplored, as is the potential for nuclear devices that can function without a a-bomb trigger.
Imho, the retreat from aggressive nuclear research has robbed the country of the knowledge and skills needed to effectively address current problems, notably our energy situation, while wasting our most educated technical talents rebuilding museum pieces.

etudiant,

I would have to strongly disagree with your contention that nuclear weapons development has ceased, as well as your characterization that the weapons scientists are "rebuilding museum pieces".

An instructive analogy would be to look at the current and past offerings of airliners from their manufacturer Boeing. I would ask that you compare the Boeing 737-100 model first built in 1966 to the current Boeing 737-900ER. The Boeing 737-100 had low-bypass P&W JT8D engines with 14,500 lbs of thrust, while the Boeing 737-900ER has modern high-bypass turbofans engines, the CFM56-7 series with 27,300 lbs of thrust.

If you looked into the cockpit of a Boeing 737-100, you would see 1960s vintage avionics with analog gauges. If you look into the cockpit of a Boeing 737-900ER, you would see a 21st century "glass cockpit" with digital display screens and advanced 21st century avionics which resemble what one would see in the latest Boeing 777 and Boeing 787 models.

The Boeing 737-100 has 650 cubic feet of cargo capacity, while the Boeing 737-900ER has 1,835 cubic feet. The range of the Boeing 737-100 was 1540 nautical miles while the Boeing 737-900ER has a range of 5,510 nautical miles.

All in all; the Boeing 737-900ER is a VERY DIFFERENT and MUCH MORE ADVANCED aircraft than is the Boeing 737-100; yet they are both members of the Boeing 737 family. Boeing didn't change the family number, but that's about all they didn't change.

The Boeing 737-900ER is every bit as modern an aircraft as its Boeing 777 stablemates. Do you really think one could intelligently characterize a Boeing 737-900ER as a "rebuilt museum piece 737"? I wouldn't think so.

Your statement about "nuclear shaped charges" demonstrates that you understand very little about shaped charges as well as nuclear explosives. LLNL which designs nuclear weapons, also designs coventional shaped charges as used in military weapons. Here's an article from LLNL that can give you some background:

https://www.llnl.gov/str/Baum.html

One doesn't need shaped charge technology to attack deeply buried targets with nuclear warheads. The shaped charge approach really isn't appropriate or needed. The nuclear weapons designer has various techniques to "couple" the blast into a shockwave in the ground material, and that shockwave will take care of destroying deeply buried targets. For example, consider the B61-11:

http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/systems/b61-11.htm

The B61-11 can penetrate and detonate below the Earth's surface, creating a massive shock wave capable of destroying underground targets. In tests the bomb penetrates only 20 feet into dry earth, even when dropped from altitudes above 40,000 feet. But even this shallow penetration before detonation allows a much higher proportion of the explosion to transferred into ground shock relative to a surface burst.

I also wouldn't lump the current R&D efforts in the area of nuclear weapons in with the R&D efforts for energy research into one "zero sum game" and imply that efforts in the weapons arena neccessarily detracts from efforts in energy research.

In fact, the nuclear weapons research and nuclear energy research are carried out at separate laboratories, managed by differing parts of DOE, and with different budgets. For example, nuclear weapons research is carried out by Los Alamos and Lawrence Livermore national laboratories, which are managed by the National Nuclear Security Agency (NNSA) in the Dept. of Energy using funds allocated by Congress for the nuclear weapons mission. Nuclear reactor and nuclear energy research was carried out by Argonne and Oak Ridge national laboratories, managed by the DOE Office of Science with funds allocated by Congress for energy R&D.

The action that really killed the Government's nuclear energy R&D was when the Clinton Administration terminated the Integral Fast Reactor (IFR) work at Argonne National Lab back in 1994 as detailed in this 1998 interview with Argonne Associate Director, Dr. Charles Till:

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/reaction/interviews/till.html

The decision was made in the early weeks of the Clinton administration. It was tempered somewhat in the Department of Energy in that first year. Congress then acted to keep the program alive in that first year. And then in the second year of the Clinton administration, the decision to really reinforce the earlier decisions was made final, and the Administration put a very considerable effort into assuring successfully that the IFR would be canceled.

and

Let me answer the question this way. Nuclear power for very many years was not a party proposition. There was bipartisan support for the development of nuclear power. That changed in and around the 1976. It was certainly changed dramatically during the Carter Administration, from '76 to '80. The Reagan administration was supportive of nuclear power development, but not madly so. They supported a continued effort, probably at a level of something like 10 or 20% of the effort that had been carried out in the country a decade or so before. That was also true of the Bush administration. The Clinton administration, I think, firmed up quite an anti-nuclear power position. The position of the administration is that present day reactors are supported, but that there is no need for any further nuclear reactor development or improvement. And the implications of that are that nuclear power then will be a passing thing.

President Clinton made good on his campaign promise to the anti-nuclear wing of the Democratic Party to terminate "unneccessary" nuclear energy research. When one does that, one devastates the scientific infrastructure that had been built up over the preceeding decades. If you terminate the research for even one year, you destroy the infrastructure since the scientists that the USA painstakingly assembled in laboratories such as Argonne had to disband and go find jobs elsewhere. Even if the minority party were able to reconstitute the funding the next year; that doesn't mean it reconstitutes the program. The disbanded scienctists aren't going to come back with no guarantee that they won't be out of jobs the next year.

Scientists and engineers used to be able to go to work in the federally-funded R&D enterprise of the DOE national laboratories, or NASA, or any of a number of defense and civillian contractors, as well as Universities; and those scientists could count on spending a career advancing their profession.

Now it seems that the scientists and engineers who are the "seed corn" for our evolving development are the first thing the politicians cut off when money gets tight. They also expect that scientists can work on the newest "fad" that fits the politician's fancy. If last year's fad was solar power and this year's fad is wind turbines, and next year's fad is geothermal; then it's all the same to the politicians, if they even support it at all.

Rather than support scientists and engineers, which I would consider as investing in the future of the Nation, the politicians prefer to give money away as a more efficient way of buying the votes that the politicians so ravenously desire.

Believe me; nuclear weapons research and defense development are NOT the reason for the lack of energy research.

Greg
 
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  • #29
Not to belabor a topic where I suspect we are in broad agreement, I'd just note that the idea of a nuclear shaped charge, basically a directed nuclear blast, was broadly hinted at by the late Ted Taylor in the book 'The curve of binding energy' that John McPhee wrote about him.
I'm well aware of the performance evolution of commercial jet transports and imho that same kind of performance improvement is explicitly ruled out as an objective in the US nuclear program under the Stockpile Stewardship concept. That also makes it harder to attract or encourage bright people to work there.
I agree entirely with your perspective that the US has deliberately squandered much of its technical seedcorn and manufacturing expertise for the basest of political motives and that nuclear weapons research is just another area where this decay is manifest.
 
  • #30
etudiant said:
Not to belabor a topic where I suspect we are in broad agreement, I'd just note that the idea of a nuclear shaped charge, basically a directed nuclear blast, was broadly hinted at by the late Ted Taylor in the book 'The curve of binding energy' that John McPhee wrote about him.

etudiant,

If you think about it, you will realize that the degree to which one can "direct" the shape of the nuclear explosion is to a far lesser degree than a chemical explosion because the "Q", the energy release of the reaction is so much greater for a nuclear explosion than a chemical explosion. The Q energy release is released isotropically, and the system, in essence, doesn't "remember" a direction.

For example, consider the scatter of a neutron off a light nucleus in comparison to the neutron-induced fission of a heavy nucleus. The scatter off the light nucleus can be significantly anisotropic because the system essentially "remembers" which direction the incident neutron was travelling. However, in the case of the fission, so much reaction energy is released isotropically that it "swamps" the incident energy of the neutron, and the fission reaction can be considered for all intents and purposes as isotropic.
I'm well aware of the performance evolution of commercial jet transports and imho that same kind of performance improvement is explicitly ruled out as an objective in the US nuclear program under the Stockpile Stewardship concept. That also makes it harder to attract or encourage bright people to work there.

That is where you are 100% WRONG. It's EXACTLY analogous to the case of the evolution of commercial jet transports. Contrary to your ill-informed statements, the objectives of the Stockpile Stewardship Program does NOT rule out design changes. The goals of the program are to cease nuclear testing, but NOT needed / desired design changes. The legislation that establishes the Stockpile Stewardship program makes NO references to your supposed prohibitions and ill-founded claims that objectives have been "explicitly ruled out" stated above:

http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/50/2521?qt-us_code_tabs=0#qt-us_code_tabs

The Secretary of Energy, acting through the Administrator, shall establish a stewardship program to ensure—

(1) the preservation of the core intellectual and technical competencies of the United States in nuclear weapons, including weapons design, system integration, manufacturing, security, use control, reliability assessment, and certification; and

(2) that the nuclear weapons stockpile is safe, secure, and reliable without the use of underground nuclear weapons testing.

The Nuclear Posture Review, which is the policy statement for nuclear weapons work states that ALL options are on the table, there's no prohibition. The USA doesn't design "new" warheads because it doesn't need to. The USA hasn't fielded a new delivery vehicle for some time. If that changes, for example, the US Navy is already looking at a follow-on to the Trident fleet ballistic missile submarines. If the US Navy desires new missiles to go along with their new submarines, then there may be a need for new nuclear warheads. Until then, there is PLENTY of very challenging work for bright people to work on.

Since you are essentially totally clueless on the subject; please refrain from making the pretense that you are informed, and don't mislead the denizens of the forum with false information.

Greg
 
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