Probability of 2 people meeting at given times

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating the probability of two individuals, Mulder and Scully, meeting within a specified time frame of N minutes, given their respective waiting times of X and Y minutes. The proposed equation for this probability is p = time^2 - (1-t1)^2/2 - (1-t2)^2/2, indicating that as the time frame increases, the probability of meeting also increases. A graphical approach is suggested to visualize the meeting conditions based on their arrival times. The conversation emphasizes the importance of defining variables clearly and ensuring the probability function is dimensionless and integrates to one.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of probability theory and uniform distribution
  • Familiarity with mathematical functions and equations
  • Basic knowledge of graphical representation of data
  • Experience with programming functions to compute probabilities
NEXT STEPS
  • Implement a function in Python to calculate the probability based on inputs N, X, and Y
  • Explore graphical methods to visualize the meeting conditions using matplotlib
  • Study the concept of dimensionless probabilities and their significance in mathematical modeling
  • Investigate different scenarios by varying values of N, X, and Y to analyze their impact on meeting probability
USEFUL FOR

Mathematicians, statisticians, computer science students, and anyone interested in probability theory and its applications in real-world scenarios.

pugtm
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Homework Statement


i'm having trouble coming up with an equation for this problem
[/B]
Mulder and Scully agree to meet at the FBI lobby sometime within a period of N minutes (e.g. 40 minutes).
Each of them may show up anytime during that period (with a uniform distribution).
If Scully arrives and Mulder isn't there, she will wait for X minutes and then leave.
If Mulder arrives and Scully isn't there, he will wait for Y minutes and then leave.
Neither of them waits beyond the end of the N minutes period.
Write a function that gets , N X and Y and computes the probability that Alice and Bob meet. The
function's inputs will be:...

Plot your result for X=5, Y=7, 10<=N<=60.

Homework Equations


that is the question

The Attempt at a Solution



p =time^2-(1-t1)^2/2-(1-t2)^2/2[/B]
as time goes up exponentially the probability increases. as it does if their individual times increase.
 
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It will probably be easiest to use a graphical approach. Consider the arrival times, Tx and Ty, as coordinates. Diagrammatically, what represents their meeting?
I would break it into separate cases according to whether Tx+X<N, etc.
 
Hi pug,
could you elaborate how you found your probability ?
pugtm said:
p =time^2-(1-t1)^2/2-(1-t2)^2/2
In particular: how do you ensure it represents a probability at all (namely ##\int = 1## and: dimensionless -- none of these I recognize)

Also: I don't see what t, t1 and t2 represent (but I can guess)

Then: Expanding on haru's advice: pick a value for N, say 21 (the width of an A4 in cm :smile:) let a 5 cm wide rectangle of paper or cardboard represent Fox (there are no Alice and Bob in the problem statement description!) and a 7 cm wide one represent Dana. Shift left and right and discover !
 

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