Probability of meeting someone between two times of day, within a predefined time?

  1. Two people agree to meet between 2 and 4 pm, with the understanding that each will wait no longer than 15 minutes for the other. What is the probability that they will meet? (This is NOT homework) The book I borrowed has the equation but I don't have it in front of me right now. Plus, the equation seems complicated.
     
  2. jcsd
  3. Re: Probability of meeting someone between two times of day, within a predefined time

    Here's my amateur approach to a solution: P(not arriving within 15 minutes of each other) = (8-2+1)/8
     
  4. Redbelly98

    Redbelly98 12,037
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    Re: Probability of meeting someone between two times of day, within a predefined time

    Moderator's note: thread moved from Set Theory, Logic, Probability, Statistics.

    Our policy on "Homework Help" applies to any textbook-style problem, whether it's for an actual course or just independent study.
     
  5. Re: Probability of meeting someone between two times of day, within a predefined time

    Think geometrically. Let the x-axis from 2 to 4 indicate when person 1 might arrive, and let the y-axis from 2 to 4 indicate when person 2 might arrive. Any point in that rectangle is a possibility. What is the area in which they successfully meet?
     
  6. Re: Probability of meeting someone between two times of day, within a predefined time

    What do you mean by that?
     
  7. Re: Probability of meeting someone between two times of day, within a predefined time

    Never mind, I found it.
     
  8. Re: Probability of meeting someone between two times of day, within a predefined time

    Could you please explain the solution in pre-algebraic terms?
     
  9. Re: Probability of meeting someone between two times of day, within a predefined time

    Think about it in this way, the two people can come at any time between 2 to 4. We can write these two times down as an ordered pair (x,y), with 2 ≤ x,y ≤ 4. The first coordinate is the time at which the first person arrives; the second coordinate is the time at which the second person arrives. Any such point in that region (call it R) is equally likely. Here, we are treating time as completely continuous, which is not a bad approximation.

    Now, find the ordered pairs inside this region for which the coordinates differ by less than 15 minutes (i.e. 0.25 hours). (Hint: inequalities). The two people will meet in this region (call it A). You are looking for the probability that, upon throwing a dart at R, the dart lands in A. Convince yourself that this is given by Area(A)/Area(R).
     
  10. LCKurtz

    LCKurtz 8,374
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