Probability of 3 Hearts in Same Hand: Combinatorics Question for Standard Bridge

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SUMMARY

The probability of the remaining 3 hearts being in the same hand in a standard bridge game, where you and your partner hold 10 hearts, is calculated using combinatorial methods. The correct formula involves determining the combinations for selecting 3 hearts and 10 other cards for one player, while also considering the distribution of the remaining cards among the other players. Specifically, the calculation requires summing the combinations for both scenarios where either player A or player B holds the 3 hearts and dividing by the total combinations of card distributions.

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  • Knowledge of the combinatorial function, specifically comb(n, k)
  • Basic probability theory
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mehrts
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You're playing standard bridge with three other people. If you know that you and your partner have 10 hearts altogether, then what is the probability that the remaining 3 hearts are all in the same hand ?

Is it comb(3,3)*comb(23,10)/comb(26,13) ? Since there is only 1 way of selecting 3 hearts and com(23,10) ways of selecting the other 10 cards and comb(26,13) different combinations for the opponents cards ?
 
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So in bridge, is every card in somebody's hand? And each person always has 13 cards?

What you've said is the probability that the remaining three hearts in a particular person's hand. But there are two possible hands it could be in. What you're looking for is:
1. The number of ways for person A to select 3 hearts and 10 other cards (you basically have this already)
2. The number of ways for person A not to select 3 hearts, and then for person B to select the remaining cards.
Add up 1 and 2 and divide by the total number of ways for A and B to select their cards.
 
Thanks that is what I thought. he he he :)
 

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