Probability of Rolling 7 with Dice: Closeness to Theoretical Prediction

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around the probability of rolling a sum of 7 with two dice, particularly focusing on how the results from multiple rolls compare to theoretical predictions. Participants are exploring ways to quantify the concept of 'closeness' to the theoretical probability as observed in a histogram of results.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants suggest calculating the number of outcomes that result in a sum of 7 compared to other sums, while questioning the quantitative nature of this approach. Others propose measuring the difference between the observed frequency of rolling a 7 and its theoretical probability.

Discussion Status

The discussion is active, with participants offering different methods to quantify the closeness to theoretical predictions. There is no explicit consensus yet, as some participants express uncertainty about the requirements for a quantitative measure.

Contextual Notes

Participants are navigating the constraints of the assignment, particularly regarding the need for a quantitative measure that aligns with the theoretical predictions of rolling dice.

jnimagine
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more probability...

ok, so we're given a histogram showing the sum of numbers when dice is rolled certain number of times. it was seen that the higher the number of rolls, the closer the result of sum was to the theoretical prediction. so 7 is the most likely sum that would occur when u roll dice.

Now, I have to make a quatitative measure to show what means 'close to theoretical prediction'

Any ides what I can write for this?
 
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You could sit down and figure out how many of all of the 36 ways to throw two dice sum to 7 as opposed to all other possible outcomes.
 


Dick said:
You could sit down and figure out how many of all of the 36 ways to throw two dice sum to 7 as opposed to all other possible outcomes.

i don't think that's very quantitative...??
i'm not sure what they're looking for here..- -
 


If you know the theoretical prediction for how often a sum of 7 occurs, you can calculate the difference between the percentage of rolls where a 7 came up and the theoretical value - this will show how 'close' the simulation is to the target. It is standard to use the absolute value of the difference.
 

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