Probability of Wayne & Mario Both Missing Penalty Shot

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SUMMARY

The probability that both hockey players, Wayne and Mario, miss their penalty shots is calculated using the formula for independent events, P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B). Wayne has a 7/10 chance of scoring, leading to a 3/10 chance of missing, while Mario has a 3/5 chance of scoring, resulting in a 2/5 chance of missing. The correct probability that both players miss is 3/10 x 2/5 = 6/50 or 3/25. The misconception arises when attempting to use the formula P(both miss) = 1 - P(both score), as this does not account for scenarios where one player scores and the other misses.

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Homework Statement


Two hockey players, Wayne and Mario, each independently take a penalty shot. Wayne has a 7/10 chance of scoring, while Mario has a 3/5 chance of scoring. What is the probability that;

a) they both miss


Homework Equations


P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)


The Attempt at a Solution


For this question I found out what the complements (P(not mario) and P(not Wayne)) for each were and then I used the formula for independent events [P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)] to find my answer and the answer that I got was correct. However, I was wondering why I cannot just go:

P(both miss) = 1- P(both score)

I tried this method and the answer that came up was different than the answer that I got from my first method of trying to solve this question (using the complements). Could someone explain why I cannot use "P(both miss) = 1- P(both score)" to solve this question?
 
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Inertialforce said:

Homework Statement


Two hockey players, Wayne and Mario, each independently take a penalty shot. Wayne has a 7/10 chance of scoring, while Mario has a 3/5 chance of scoring. What is the probability that;

a) they both miss

Homework Equations


P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)

The Attempt at a Solution


For this question I found out what the complements (P(not mario) and P(not Wayne)) for each were and then I used the formula for independent events [P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)] to find my answer and the answer that I got was correct. However, I was wondering why I cannot just go:

P(both miss) = 1- P(both score)

I tried this method and the answer that came up was different than the answer that I got from my first method of trying to solve this question (using the complements). Could someone explain why I cannot use "P(both miss) = 1- P(both score)" to solve this question?

P(both score) is the probability that both mario AND wayne score. The complement of P(both) is the probability that not both of them score, so it could mean that one of them scores and the other doesnt, not necessarily that they both miss.

i.e.
<br /> 1-P(A \cap B) = P(\overline{A\cap B}) \neq P(\overline{A} \cap \overline{B})<br />
 
1 - P(A)(P(B) is "1- probability they both score" and so is probability the do not BOTH score. But "not both scoring" is not the same as "both do not score". "Not both scoring" includes one scores and the other does not.
 

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