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There are three boxes with 2 cupcakes in each one of them:

First box: 2 chocolate cupcakes

Second box: 1 chocolate, 1 vanilla

Third box: 2 vanilla cupcakes

A person randomly opens up a box and selects one cupcake. It is a chocolate cupcake. She then pulls out the remaining cupcake in the same box. What is the probability that it is a chocolate cupcake?

Ok here is what I think...

Since the question is only asking for the probability that the second cupcake in the box is chocolate, we don't have to worry about the first step of picking the right box. Therefore, the probability should be 1/2 because you can either pick a vanilla or a chocolate, but it doesn't really sound convincing....

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# Probability Question - Need help !

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