what said:
Allen Telescope Array is up an running in Hat Creek, California.
What I would really like to know is this. Do people involved in these projects still have the confidence that we
are going to get a radio signal from ETI in our life time or has everyone given into the idea that Enrico Fermi
had a point?
There was a Discovery Channel special a few months ago that discussed what the world would be like if and when
human beings cease to live on Earth. One of the many parts of the television special I found interesting was when, at the
end of the special, they talked about what evidence would remain that human beings had ever existed. There was only
three. There were The Pyramids, there was The Great Wall, and their was Mt. Rushmore. They made a special point
in saying that we currently now know that our television and radio (same thing, I know) broadcasts that has gone out
into space in an ever expanding sphere will have degraded. Someone, I guess, decided to sit down and do the math
and has found out that the our radio broadcast signals degrade after traveling along the surface of the ever expanding
sphere in less than one light year radius and any evidence that would distinguish a radio signal from noise is lost.
Bad news travels slowly and every once in a while I see blogs from astronomers that mention what ET from where
is currently listening to what radio signal.
The point is this. Unless ET deliberately points a transmitter directly at us and blasts us with an intense signal,
we are not going to be hearing from anyone, I would guess.
So the question I have is this. Are the SETI folks still holding out for an ETI signal or have they decided it
probably won't happen? There once was a time when Frank Drake of the Drake Equation would say we would get a hit
in 5 to 10 years. Is that optimism gone?
In 1997 there was a workshop to determine what to do for the next 20 years with SETI and the results of the work shop was this
40 telescope array. So the Allen Radio Telescope Array is a new thing.
7/20/20
One voice in this video seems to say very carefully and cautiously that he wants to "find objects not seen
before". So he is resorting to admitting that we will not find what we thought we would be he is suggesting
we might find something that we did not expect. Hope never dies, I guess.
"Looking for New Phenomenon and that is ideal" That also sounds like a change in focus and goals. Professor Geoffrey Bower
at UC Berkeley says this. It is interesting because this is where SETI@Home was born and I met one of the software
engineers who worked on this project when I was working at FireTalk Communications and he said that the idea
was to get the software system up and running rather than actually getting a hit. I have to wonder if this
telescope array is not really intended as its primary goal to get a ETI signal but rather something else.
Another thing about this video is this. Do they not know about what the Discovery program talked about?
I have to wonder. Do they expect a direct intentional radio signal?
I also have to wonder if they just want to keep their job. The goal is not to get an ETI signal. The goal
is to keep working and changing their equipment in order to impress people and keep their hopes up.
They seem to be careful to say that they are getting "hopeful images" or "interesting phenomena". They seem
careful not suggest that they really expect an ETI signal. I have to wonder.
They want to find new and interesting information but I think they have given hope of finding the "Holy Grail".
Paul Allen funded this project. He is a rich Microsoft guy. Not a real scientist or statistician. I imagine
he has never heard of Fermi's Paradox. I wonder what he would think if I asked him about it.
Garret Keating who works at the Allen Telescope Array says that they are looking for "transients" (I assume
that these are near Earth objects) and "SuperNova" and then -- as if in an after-thought, he
mentions SETI signals.
