Showing 90% Confidence in 99.99% Correct "Threshold Number" | Statistics Help

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around demonstrating a 90% confidence level that a "threshold number" is correct with a probability of 99.99%. The original poster presents a set of five trials and attempts to identify the second trial as the threshold number while expressing difficulty in applying statistical methods due to a lack of recent experience in statistics.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Conceptual clarification

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants explore the meaning of the threshold number and the trials, questioning the definitions and context of the problem. There are requests for clarification on what the trials represent and what it means for a threshold to be correct. Some participants suggest looking into tolerance intervals and critical values.

Discussion Status

The discussion is ongoing, with participants seeking clarification on the original poster's problem and definitions. Some guidance has been offered regarding tolerance intervals, but there is no consensus on the understanding of the problem's setup or the definitions involved.

Contextual Notes

There are indications of missing information regarding the nature of the trials and the definitions of key terms such as "threshold" and "correct." The original poster's background in statistics is also noted as a potential constraint in the discussion.

sstudent
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we need to show with 90% confidence that the probability of the "treshhold number" being correct is 99.99%. "So we want P=0.9999 with C=0.90". we can consider 5 trails without put { 4, 7, 12, 9, 11}..we can say the treshhold # is the "2nd trail = 7"... i tried doing it using t alpha but i failed to get it... i haven't taken statistics in years..thanks for help folks
 
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is it that hard??
 
sstudent said:
is it that hard??

Yes. I don't understand what you are talking about. Can you give a reference for the background to this problem?
 


Ok, now can you explain what your problem is? You have five trials? You want to say the probability of something is 0.9999? The probability of what exactly?
 


the probability of the treshhod # being correct, which is the 2nd trail..thanks
 


sstudent said:
the probability of the treshhod # being correct, which is the 2nd trail..thanks

This isn't helping. You are just repeating what I don't understand. What do the trials represent? Are they samples from some distribution? What does it mean for one of them to be 'correct'. What is correct? What's a 'threshold'? Can you define all of these things?
 


the trails are just sample from some distributaion, for the treshhold # u can say its just a numer, so we are trying to prove the the output of the samples larger than 7 "treshhold" is 99.99% with 90%confience..i hope that makes it more clear
 


I believe you are talking about the tolerance interval. In this problem, your confidence level is 95% and the threshold interval for capturing at least 99.99% i.e. % of these samples falling in the tolerance interval is:
[tex]\bar{x} \pm (tolerance)s[/tex] , where tolerance is your tolerance critical value.

Your statistics book should have a tolerance critical value table.
 
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