Signal, noise, and, unequal variances

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on calculating the probability of a hit (PH) and the probability of a false alarm (PF) for two overlapping Gaussian distributions representing noise and signal events. The noise distribution has a mean of 0, variance of 1, and standard deviation of 1, while the signal distribution has a mean of 0.80, variance of 3, and standard deviation of √3. The calculated PF is 0.31, derived from 1 - Ф(0.5), and the calculated PH is 0.57, obtained from Ф(0.173). The user seeks clarification on sketching the overlapping distributions, specifically regarding the representation of different standard deviations.

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I have two overlapping Gaussian distributions. One for probability of a noise event, one for probability of a signal event.
My noise distribution has mean = 0, variance = 1, and standard deviation = 1.
My signal distribution has mean = .80, variance = 3, and standard deviation = √3.

My criterion (λ ) is at 0.5 standard deviations above the mean on the noise distribution.

I need to calculate probability of a hit (PH) and probability of a false alarm (PF).

To get PF , I use 1- PCorrect Rejection, or 1 – Ф(0.5), which, using a Z to % conversion table, gives me 1- 0.691 = 0.31. (In my book, Ф(Z) just means converting a Z-score to % of area under the curve.)

To get PH, I first need to standardize the Z score for λ on the signal distribution since it has a different variance:

λ = (λ - μsignal)/σ signal = (0.5-0.8) / √3 = - 0.173

PH = 1 - Ф(-0.173) or by symmetry, PH = Ф(0.173) = 0.57. (again, using a Z to % conversion table to look up the area.)

So.. PF = = 0.31 and PH = 0.57.

I'm not sure if I did this right. I am shaky with unequal variances. If someone could check I'd appreciate it.

I need to sketch the overlapping distributions. Since I have standardized the z-score on the signal distribution, do I make it look identical to the noise curve (with a standard deviation of 1), or do I draw it short and wide as it is originally described?

Thanks!
 
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It looks like you did the calculations correctly! To sketch the overlapping distributions, draw the noise distribution with a standard deviation of 1 and then draw the signal distribution with the specified standard deviation (√3). You can make the shapes the same and just adjust the size to represent the different standard deviations. Good luck!
 

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