Solve the probability distribution and expectation problem

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on solving a probability distribution and expectation problem, specifically focusing on finding the probability of Y=2. A suggested approach involves calculating this probability by subtracting the probabilities of Y=0 and Y=4 from 1, which is deemed quicker. However, participants caution that this method may lead to errors if the initial probabilities are incorrect, emphasizing the importance of independently calculating each probability and ensuring their total equals 1 for accuracy.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of probability distribution concepts
  • Familiarity with basic probability calculations
  • Knowledge of error analysis in statistical methods
  • Ability to interpret and validate probability outcomes
NEXT STEPS
  • Research methods for verifying probability distributions
  • Learn about error propagation in probability calculations
  • Explore alternative approaches to calculating probabilities in discrete distributions
  • Study the implications of incorrect probability values on overall statistical analysis
USEFUL FOR

Students studying probability theory, educators teaching statistical methods, and anyone interested in improving their understanding of probability distributions and error analysis.

chwala
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Homework Statement
See attached
Relevant Equations
understanding of probability distribution concept...
This is the problem;

1635598062807.png


Find my working to solution below;
1635598109409.png

1635598140494.png
find mark scheme solution below;

1635598182806.png


I seek any other approach ( shorter way of doing it) will be appreciated...
 
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chwala said:
Homework Statement:: See attached
Relevant Equations:: understanding of probability distribution concept...

shorter way of doing it
It would have been quicker to have found the probability of Y=2 by subtracting the other two probabilities from 1. I don't see any other shortcuts.
 
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haruspex said:
It would have been quicker to have found the probability of Y=2 by subtracting the other two probabilities from 1. I don't see any other shortcuts.
That's true, but it could pose problem to a student who may have made a mistake on say finding wrong values of ##Y=0 ##& ##Y=4##, ...if you get what I mean... this error would consequently affect the value of ##Y=2##.
Finding the values of ##Y## indepedently and then checking whether their total sum is ##1## is more concrete...
 
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