Statistic question involving pulmonary function

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Forced expiratory volume (FEV) is a key measure of pulmonary function, influenced by factors such as age, sex, and smoking status. For 45- to 54-year-old nonsmoking men, FEV averages 4.0 L with a standard deviation of 0.5 L, while for smoking men, it averages 3.5 L with a standard deviation of 0.6 L. The decline in FEV over 30 years is expected to average 0.9 L with a standard deviation of 0.6 L. However, the discussion highlights a critical gap in the analysis: the lack of a defined threshold for what constitutes functional impairment. This missing information makes it challenging to calculate the probability of impairment by age 75.
flip290
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Homework Statement


Forced expiratory volume (FEV) is an index of pulmonary function that measures the volume of air expelled after 1 second. FEV is influenced by age, sex and cigarette smoking. Assume that in 45- to 54-year-old nonsmoking men FEV is normally distributed with mean = 4.0 L and standard deviation = 0.5L.
But for 45- to 54-year-old smoking men FEV is normally distributed, with mean 3.5 L and standard deviation = 0.6 L.
Some people are not functionally impaired now, but their pulmonary function usually declines with age and they eventually will be functionally impaired. Assume that the decline in FEV over n years is normally distributed, with mean = 0.03n L and standard deviation = 0.02n L. What is the probability that a 45-year-old non-smoking man with an FEV of 4.0 L will be functionally impaired by age 75?


The Attempt at a Solution


I know that the mean for decline is going to be 0.9L and the standard deviation will be 0.6L because n=30 but I do not know where to go from there.
 
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flip290 said:

Homework Statement


Forced expiratory volume (FEV) is an index of pulmonary function that measures the volume of air expelled after 1 second. FEV is influenced by age, sex and cigarette smoking. Assume that in 45- to 54-year-old nonsmoking men FEV is normally distributed with mean = 4.0 L and standard deviation = 0.5L.
But for 45- to 54-year-old smoking men FEV is normally distributed, with mean 3.5 L and standard deviation = 0.6 L.
Some people are not functionally impaired now, but their pulmonary function usually declines with age and they eventually will be functionally impaired. Assume that the decline in FEV over n years is normally distributed, with mean = 0.03n L and standard deviation = 0.02n L. What is the probability that a 45-year-old non-smoking man with an FEV of 4.0 L will be functionally impaired by age 75?


The Attempt at a Solution


I know that the mean for decline is going to be 0.9L and the standard deviation will be 0.6L because n=30 but I do not know where to go from there.

What is the number that defines functional impairment? The question is impossible to answer without knowing that.

RGV
 
Question: A clock's minute hand has length 4 and its hour hand has length 3. What is the distance between the tips at the moment when it is increasing most rapidly?(Putnam Exam Question) Answer: Making assumption that both the hands moves at constant angular velocities, the answer is ## \sqrt{7} .## But don't you think this assumption is somewhat doubtful and wrong?

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