Statistics: How to prove the consistent estimator of theta?

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Homework Statement



If the probability density function (p.d.f.) of the random variable X is

[itex]f(x| \theta ) =\begin{cases} \frac{1}{3\theta} & 0 < x \leq 3\theta<br /> \\0 & otherwise\end{cases}[/itex]

Where [itex]\theta > 0[/itex] is an unknown parameter, and [itex]X_1, X_2 … X_n[/itex] is a sample from X where [itex]n > 2[/itex]

Question 1: What is the moment estimator (M.E.) of [itex]\theta[/itex]?

Question 2: What is the maximum likelihood estimator (M.L.E) of [itex]\theta[/itex]?

Question 3: Prove [itex]\widehat{\theta} = \frac{1}{3} max\{X_1,X_2...X_n\}[/itex] is the consistent estimator of [itex]\theta[/itex].

Homework Equations



Nothing special.

The Attempt at a Solution



Answer 1:

Moment generating function (m.g.f.) of X is

[itex]\psi (t) = E(e^{tx}) = \int_0^{3 \theta } \frac{e^{tx}}{3\theta} dx= \frac{1}{3 \theta t} \int_0^{3 \theta }de^{tx}= \frac{1}{3 \theta t}e^{tx}|_{x=0}^{x=3 \theta}=\frac{1}{3 \theta t}(e^{3\theta t} - 1)[/itex]

[itex]\begin{cases} \psi'(t) =e^{3 \theta t} \\<br /> \psi''(t) =3 \theta e^{3 \theta t} \end{cases}[/itex]

[itex]\begin{cases} \psi'(0) =1 \\<br /> \psi''(0) =3 \theta \end{cases}[/itex]

Hence, M.E. is

[itex]\widehat{\theta} = \frac{\psi''(0)}{3} = \frac{E(X^2)}{3}[/itex]

Answer 2:

Let [itex]X[/itex] be a vector whose components are [itex]X_1, X_2 … X_n[/itex], then the joint distribution of [itex]X_1, X_2 … X_n[/itex] is

[itex]f(X| \theta ) = \frac{1}{(3\theta)^n} \;\;when\;\; 0<X_i \leq 3\theta \;\; for \;\; i=1,2,...,n[/itex]

Because [itex]X_i \leq 3\theta[/itex], when [itex]\widehat{\theta} = \frac{1}{3} min\{X_1,X_2...X_n\}[/itex], [itex]f(X| \theta )[/itex] is maximized.

Hence, M.L.E of [itex]\theta[/itex] is [itex]\frac{1}{3} min\{X_1,X_2...X_n\}[/itex].

Answer 3:

I have no idea to even start the proving.
 
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sanctifier said:

Homework Statement



If the probability density function (p.d.f.) of the random variable X is

[itex]f(x| \theta ) =\begin{cases} \frac{1}{3\theta} & 0 < x \leq 3\theta<br /> \\0 & otherwise\end{cases}[/itex]

Where [itex]\theta > 0[/itex] is an unknown parameter, and [itex]X_1, X_2 … X_n[/itex] is a sample from X where [itex]n > 2[/itex]

Question 1: What is the moment estimator (M.E.) of [itex]\theta[/itex]?

Question 2: What is the maximum likelihood estimator (M.L.E) of [itex]\theta[/itex]?

Question 3: Prove [itex]\widehat{\theta} = \frac{1}{3} max\{X_1,X_2...X_n\}[/itex] is the consistent estimator of [itex]\theta[/itex].

Homework Equations



Nothing special.

The Attempt at a Solution



Answer 1:

Moment generating function (m.g.f.) of X is

[itex]\psi (t) = E(e^{tx}) = \int_0^{3 \theta } \frac{e^{tx}}{3\theta} dx= \frac{1}{3 \theta t} \int_0^{3 \theta }de^{tx}= \frac{1}{3 \theta t}e^{tx}|_{x=0}^{x=3 \theta}=\frac{1}{3 \theta t}(e^{3\theta t} - 1)[/itex]

[itex]\begin{cases} \psi'(t) =e^{3 \theta t} \\<br /> \psi''(t) =3 \theta e^{3 \theta t} \end{cases}[/itex]

[itex]\begin{cases} \psi'(0) =1 \\<br /> \psi''(0) =3 \theta \end{cases}[/itex]

Hence, M.E. is

[itex]\widehat{\theta} = \frac{\psi''(0)}{3} = \frac{E(X^2)}{3}[/itex]

Answer 2:

Let [itex]X[/itex] be a vector whose components are [itex]X_1, X_2 … X_n[/itex], then the joint distribution of [itex]X_1, X_2 … X_n[/itex] is

[itex]f(X| \theta ) = \frac{1}{(3\theta)^n} \;\;when\;\; 0<X_i \leq 3\theta \;\; for \;\; i=1,2,...,n[/itex]

Because [itex]X_i \leq 3\theta[/itex], when [itex]\widehat{\theta} = \frac{1}{3} min\{X_1,X_2...X_n\}[/itex], [itex]f(X| \theta )[/itex] is maximized.

Hence, M.L.E of [itex]\theta[/itex] is [itex]\frac{1}{3} min\{X_1,X_2...X_n\}[/itex].

Answer 3:

I have no idea to even start the proving.

Your expression for ##EX## is incorrect: it should not be ##\theta/3##. I suggest you avoid moment-generating functions, since you seem to be mis-using them, and they are totally unnecessary in a question of this type. If you want ##EX##, just do the integration, or use familiar elementary results that you should have seen already in a first course but might have forgotten.
 
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Thank you for your replay, Ray.

Actually, the moment estimator denotes the method of moments estimator, you can find it here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Method_of_moments_(statistics )

What I’m concerning is the estimator found by using method of moments.

Answer 2 is wrong.

It should be [itex]\frac{1}{3} max\{X_1,X_2...X_n\}[/itex], since to maximize [itex]f(X| \theta ) = \frac{1}{(3\theta)^n}[/itex], [itex]\theta[/itex] needs to be its minimal value which should be [itex]\frac{1}{3} max\{X_1,X_2...X_n\}[/itex] with respect to the constraint [itex]X_i \leq 3\theta[/itex].

What about answer 1 and answer 3?
 
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