Stochastic Processes, Poisson Process | Expected value of a sum of functions.

Click For Summary
SUMMARY

The discussion centers on calculating the expected sum of waiting times for passengers arriving at a train terminal according to a Poisson process with a given rate. The key equation used is F[X(t+s)-X(s)=n]=((($t)^n)/n!)e^(-$t), which describes the distribution of arrivals. The expected waiting time for n passengers is derived as E_total = sum (as k from 0 to infinity) k*((($t)^k)/k!)e^(-$t), where each term represents the contribution of k passengers to the total expected waiting time.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Poisson processes and their properties
  • Familiarity with expected value calculations in probability
  • Knowledge of summation techniques for infinite series
  • Basic calculus for handling limits and integrals
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the derivation of expected values in Poisson processes
  • Learn about the properties of infinite series and convergence
  • Explore applications of Poisson processes in real-world scenarios
  • Investigate advanced topics in stochastic processes and their implications
USEFUL FOR

Students studying probability theory, mathematicians focusing on stochastic processes, and anyone interested in the applications of Poisson processes in fields such as operations research and queuing theory.

dharavsolanki
Messages
77
Reaction score
0

Homework Statement


Suppose that passengers arrive at a train terminal according to a poisson process with rate "$". The train dispatches at a time t. Find the expected sum of the waiting times of all those that enter the train.


Homework Equations


F[X(t+s)-X(s)=n]=((($t)^n)/n!)e^(-$t))

It is the equation of Poisson Processes.

The Attempt at a Solution


The waiting time for every person is unique, since he arrives at a different time. So, the sum of the waiting time will have a certain value. However, I am unable to understand how can the sum have an "expected value". I mean, what parameters is the sum depending on? I can only see time as a variable here. Ofcourse, the other variable is the number of people arriving, but once that is set up, shouldn't the sum be unique?


Can you help me out in setting up the problem? I am sure that If I am given a setup and equations, I can arry out the solutions myself.

Thank you.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Hey, is this problem really so difficult that there's been no attempt at it yet! I need it kinda urgently. Please help!
 
I will try to give it a shot:Expected time for n=0 person: 0*((($t)^n)/n!)e^(-$t)) = 0
Expected time for n=1 person: 1*((($t)^1)/1!)e^(-$t)) <-- just a constant value so expectation of this just equals this
...
Expected time for n=k person: k*((($t)^k)/k!)e^(-$t))

E_total = E[@n=0 + @n= 1 + ...+ @n=infinity]
= E[@n=0]+...+E[@n=infinity]

And you will get
sum (as k from 0 to inf) k*((($t)^k)/k!)e^(-$t))
 

Similar threads

  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
2K
  • · Replies 10 ·
Replies
10
Views
2K
Replies
2
Views
2K
Replies
2
Views
2K
  • · Replies 32 ·
2
Replies
32
Views
3K
Replies
56
Views
6K
Replies
2
Views
1K
  • · Replies 21 ·
Replies
21
Views
2K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
2K
  • · Replies 12 ·
Replies
12
Views
3K