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String theorists, will the LHC see SUSY and if not, will this be a huge blow?

  1. I'm a string theorist, the LHC will see SUSY string theory research should continue on

  2. I'm a string theorist, the LHC will not see SUSY but string theory research should continue on

    0 vote(s)
  3. I'm a string theorist, the LHC will not see SUSY but string theory research should discontinued

  1. Apr 22, 2008 #1
    string theorists, will the LHC see SUSY and if not, will this be a huge blow?


    NIMA ARKANI-HAMED “My hunch is that there’s a better than evens chance that supersymmetry will show up at the LHC”

    EVA SILVERSTEIN “I’d be extremely puzzled if they don’t find the Higgs, but wouldn’t be devastated if they didn’t come up with evidence for supersymmetry.

    ‘Some of my intuition comes from string theory, an appealing candidate for a theory of all the forces of nature. According to many - perhaps most - versions of string theory, supersymmetry does not hold good at the energies probed by the LHC, so its discovery might require further explanation from this point of view.”

    What are the ramifications to string theory if LHC does not find SUSY
  2. jcsd
  3. Apr 22, 2008 #2
    I'm not a "string theorist" .. or even a physicist for that matter, but I do, however, hope that the LHC will discover great things.. maybe not the Higgs particle or {provide evidence} for SUSY. I think it would be just as exciting {if not more so} for them to discover something that they didn't expect.

    {by the way, I didn't vote}
  4. Apr 22, 2008 #3
    The problem with supersymmetry is that it has 125 adjustable parameters. And even if the LHC doesn't discover the superpartners, they can just be modified and say that they are just out of reach of the LHC. Same with string theories.
  5. Apr 22, 2008 #4
    Well...not really. It is true that the soft susy breaking lagrangian has a large number of free parameters, but these can be economized by only a few parameters at a large scale. These few parameters, for example, then evolve down to the TeV scale. So you are right, IF you don't want to think about WHERE those parameters come from.

    What WILL the LHC see, then? Large extra dimensions? Universal extra dimensions?

    I think any of these will be MORE evidence for string theory.

    If the LHC only sees a single higgs, my feeling is that high energy theory (be it strings, loops, or whatever) will be more or less over. We'll all have to get jobs in finance or spend our days trying to figure out why the cosmological constant is small.
  6. Apr 22, 2008 #5
    I shared more or less the same feeling, and was talking about it to a colleague earlier this week. His opinion is that, no matter what comes out of the LHC, it will be presented as a success. He backed up his claims mentioning several other large facilities which never brought the physics they were built for, and are indeed presented as successes. History having a tendency to repeat itself...

    In addition, there is still quite some work to be done in the non-perturbative regime of QCD for what matters. It is quite an interesting problematic : you know you have the right equations (QCD), but you cannot calculate much from it. You know you can expect lattice guys to provide more and more significant results, triggering themselves more understanding in the analytical models. Besides, medium-energy hadronic physics is backed up by nuclear power and weapons money, making it almost impossible to shut down. So, high-energy theorists are more than welcome to come help medium-energy theorists before loosing there soul in finance. And, you don't need to give up science to make money in finance BTW :biggrin:
  7. Apr 22, 2008 #6
    Sure we could all do top quark spectroscopy.

    I think you're right that it will be PRESENTED as a success, but it's hard to motivate the NEXT experiment if we only find a single higgs. Basically, we'll lose all ability to make a prediction about larger energy scales, because it will mean that the SM is more or less completely decoupled from higher energy physics, and that Nature is finely tuned. If that's the case, then we have lost all constraints on model building, except fitting the low energy data.

    Theorists will be the first to tell you that it is experiment that drives theory, and with no new experiments, it's hard to imagine that there can be any theory.
  8. Apr 22, 2008 #7


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    Well there will still be the little problem of having a suitable darkmatter particle, since the astrophysics is now pretty much under control. We sort of know we need one somewhere not too far from what we've already measured on general grounds hence just a scalar Higgs would imply something fishy going on.
  9. Apr 22, 2008 #8
    Yeah, but our best hope is the direct detection experiments. They're not going to build the ILC in the hope that we turn something up. And if the hierarchy JUST IS a hierarchy (i.e. it's tuned), there's no reason that we could rule out some axion dark matter or something living in some impossible to probe corner of parameter space that they can't get to.

    I mean, the only hope that we WILL have is neutrino masses. But the see saw scale is typically too big to probe directly. Also, if you're willing to live with a finely tuned higgs mass, why not a finely tuned Yukawa coupling for the neutrino?
  10. Apr 22, 2008 #9
    That is not what I was refering to, that is perturbative and (sorry) boring.

    In the (improbable) case LHC only find one scalar Higgs, I bet you one bottle of the Champagne of your choice that ILC will still be built :biggrin:
    We already have instances of big projects failures presented as major advances and accepted as such by deciding hierarchies. Smart people always find a way to pretend their work is important. In this respect, it seems history serves nothing, or maybe it is too young to be called "history".

    It might also as well be that our current understanding needs major re-fondations.
  11. Apr 22, 2008 #10


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    I agree that the ILC will go through regardless, but it will probably be delayed and altered a good twenty years if the LHC finds nothing.

    Of course I tend to agree with Ben that it wouldn't make much sense. Most of the parameter space is covered by the LHC with enough statistics. The possibility that the LHC finds no evidence for say SuSY and then the ILC reverses that is smallish. Moreover with the hierarchy problem in full blast, its not clear how you even proceed to continue modeling. Traditional beyond the SM phenomology would be dead in favor of the more theoretical type, or at least requiring a much higher degree of astrophysics input than currently is the norm (and its already pretty packed)
  12. Apr 22, 2008 #11
    I dunno... Right now pretty much the only guideline we have is naturalness. So if that dies, what's left? I don't think there can be ANY model building if you toss naturalness.

    As for bets on the ILC, I'll take em all. You two are the first people who I've heard say that the ILC will be built regardless. Somehow the US decided we needed ant farms in space instead of a particle smasher in Texas---do you really think poiticians will understand the need for an ILC if the LHC finds nothing?

    But I'm not worried. It would be nice if some of the FCNC/proton decay signatures started showing up, but I still think SUSY is the only way to go---at least, that's where my money is. The rest of the models just aren't that compelling. What would be REALLY nice is for someone to find a way to fix the minimal SUSY SU(5) model in a nice way, but that's just a dream :)
  13. Apr 23, 2008 #12
    I am not sure I should be in this thread, I studied physics many years ago, quit my PhD, and went into high tech, lately I got interested in Physics again, I was surprised by how little things changed in 25 years. While technology changed inside out, I (I was mainly in image processing) it seemed to me that nothing really new happened in the understanding of foundation of physics.
    So perhaps now that string theory is on the way out, people will have time to go back and really think what they are talking about when they speak about elementary particles.
  14. Apr 23, 2008 #13
    D Branes?
    Black holes and information loss?

    I'm late, otherwise I could rattle off about 30 things that string theory has taught us about Nature singe 1983...

    On the way out?


    Only if you listen to marcus, who seems to only be interested in Smolins Amazon.com sales figures.
  15. Apr 23, 2008 #14


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    The world is changing
    Let us say that the results from CERN validate an extended Standard Model.
    So what!
    There is a lot more going on than finding another symbol to put into a theoretical formula.
    What CERN will be doing is “making” a QGP (quark-gluon plasma ) ball.
    Now!…. That is interesting …and promissing

    I didn't want to boooooor you so I made a blog entry.
    CERN and fusion power
  16. Apr 23, 2008 #15
    If you are refering to major discoveries confirmed by observation and making it down the re-writing of textbooks, then you are right to say we did not have that during the last 25 years, but this is no suprise. It takes slightly more than a fourth of century to bypass Einstein or Bohr & Co. :rolleyes:

    But at the same time, I myself keep being impressed how fast paradigms change over. I have been interested in physics only since the early 90s, and the landscape (no irony) in fundamental physics has evolved constantly. In the line of what BenTheMan was mentionning, you had the so-called first and second string revolutions, the developpement of Loop Quantum Gravity, hints of links between the standard model and non-commutative geometry... Cosmology has made it from uncertainties in the exponent to precision measurements. We have a list of new outstanding problems to resolve...

    I don't have somuch time myself right now to make a decent contribution to such a broad question. Maybe you can read Review of Modern Physics volume 71 special issue 1999 "Historic perspective on modern physics" ?
  17. Apr 23, 2008 #16
    Many developments, yes, but what makes you certain that they have anything to do with Nature?

    Before someone thinks that I'm trying to flame this discussion, I must say that this is a genuine question of mine. If someone said that LQG has taught us # things about Nature, I would ask the same.
  18. Apr 23, 2008 #17
    This is definitely an honest question:) I guess I should have tempered my response a bit. The other poster seemed to think that string theory has been stagnant since 1983, which is certianly not the case. Since then, we've had three revolutions. 1985, 1995 and 1998---Green-Schwarz, Witten-Polchinski, and Maldacena, respectively. The notion that string theor is dying is a myth perpetrated by some who post regularly here, and some who publish derogatory books towards our field.
  19. Apr 23, 2008 #18


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  20. Apr 23, 2008 #19


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    Except that toponium does not exit.
  21. Apr 23, 2008 #20


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    Well, Maldacena is more evolution than revolution. Or both; it was a revolution when it happened, and it keeps returning to the top all the years, specially after the (very slight) fading of large dimensions.

    All these stats from spires top cites are useful to understand how the topic evolves. For instance in the last four years you can see Maldacena attacting more work than Randall-Sundrum, Antoniadis paper losing some interest, and a pair of papers, of Gubser and Witten, regaining positions each year. Also, you can see that the total number of citations to the top five theoretical papers does not decrease, marking constant work.

    If you look in the full range of arxived statistics, you can see that the top cites of the field are really stable since the Maldacenian age. They lost some attention when other topic reclaims work hours: flux compactifications, m-theory, matrix models, randall-sundrum... but then when the focus on this topic dissappears, they escalate positions again.
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