What Are the Best Card Games That Center Around Probability?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around identifying card games that are centered around probability, with an emphasis on games that incorporate strategic elements affecting the probabilities of winning. Participants explore existing games and propose variations or new concepts related to probability in card games.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant expresses interest in finding card games that are fundamentally based on probability rather than simple games of chance, suggesting a desire for strategic depth.
  • Another participant lists popular games such as blackjack, Risk, poker, and Magic: The Gathering as examples that involve significant probability elements, indicating a range of complexity.
  • A participant introduces the Monty Hall problem as a classic probability scenario, suggesting a card-based variation of the game where players can choose and switch cards, highlighting the underlying probabilities involved.
  • One participant humorously mentions using stochastic tools in the stock market as a form of probability game, noting the irony of frequent failures despite the application of probability theory.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants generally agree that many popular games involve probability, but there is no consensus on specific card games that meet the criteria of being centered around probability. The discussion remains open-ended with various suggestions and ideas presented.

Contextual Notes

Some participants may have different interpretations of what constitutes a game centered around probability, and the examples provided vary in complexity and strategic depth. The discussion does not resolve which games best fit the original inquiry.

Who May Find This Useful

Individuals interested in game design, probability theory, or those looking for engaging card games that incorporate strategic elements related to probability.

jk4
ok I hope nobody gets mad at me for asking about this but here goes:

So I've recently become pretty interested in probability, I'm wondering if there are any cool probability card game out there. I thinking of making my own (don't really know enough though probably) when I thought "I bet there are some really cool ones out there." I've been googling it for about an hour and haven't found anything good.
What I have in mind is not a simple game of chance that you can use probability in, but a game that is actually centered around probability.

So like on your turn you can decrease the probability of someone winning or increase your odds, combined with other strategy. Or something like that. Just something I have on my mind.
 
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Actually I find that a great many popular games involve probability, often fairly deep: blackjack, Risk, poker, and Magic: The Gathering, to name but four (in roughly increasing order of complexity).
 
There is the classic Monty Hall game...

Three doors. One with a good prize (new car) two with sheep (or goats if you prefer).
The player chooses a door and the host (Monty) knowing which of the other two doors is not the good door removes a bad door. He then gives the player the option of changing their choice to the only remaining door.

The probability that the first door chosen is good is 1/3. Meaning that the probability that one of the other two doors is good is 2/3. So the player is probably better off to always change his choice to get the benefit of the 2/3 probability.

It is easy to vary this game to use cards rather than doors. Sheep and goats are smelly...
 
You could also play the stock market and use stochastic tools to help you make money. Though anyone who uses these goes bankrupt for some reason (Black and Scholes :biggrin:)
 

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