What Caused the Rapid Cooling 12700 Years Ago in Western Europe?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers on the causes of rapid cooling that occurred approximately 12,700 years ago in Western Europe, exploring various hypotheses related to climate change, geological events, and the implications for prehistoric life, particularly mammoths. The scope includes theoretical models, historical climate data, and interpretations of archaeological findings.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation
  • Historical

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants reference research indicating a sudden climate change in Western Europe linked to shifts in wind systems, occurring before significant human influence.
  • There is a discussion about the timing of ice retreat in Europe, with some noting that the ice age maximum was around 20,000 BP and questioning the rapidity of climate shifts.
  • One participant highlights the findings from pollen analysis at Meerfelder maar, suggesting a shift from boreal forests to arid steppe around 12,680 varve years BP, while noting ambiguities in the cooling evidence.
  • Another participant mentions the preservation of mammoth remains, speculating that they may have been flash frozen due to a dramatic climate shift, possibly linked to changes in Earth's axial tilt.
  • Some participants propose that massive freshwater flows from the St Lawrence River could have contributed to thermohaline circulation shutdown, leading to cooler and drier conditions.
  • Counterarguments are presented regarding the lack of evidence supporting the freshwater flow hypothesis and the unclear impacts of localized hydrographic events on global climate.
  • Participants discuss various hypotheses regarding abrupt climate changes, including oceanic and atmospheric reorganizations, referencing scientific literature to support their claims.
  • There is contention over the interpretation of mammoth preservation, with some asserting that they were not flash frozen but rather peat preserved, and questioning the validity of claims regarding their state of preservation.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express multiple competing views regarding the causes of the rapid cooling and the implications for mammoth preservation. The discussion remains unresolved, with no consensus on the primary factors contributing to the climate change or the interpretations of the evidence presented.

Contextual Notes

Participants note limitations in the evidence for various hypotheses, including the dependence on specific geological and climatic definitions, and the unresolved nature of some scientific claims regarding the timing and mechanisms of climate change.

  • #31
Mammo said:
There's another area of contention which is more clear-cut. In thread 'Happy Perihelion' you were debating with Xnn about the ice sheets of North America and the northern hemisphere Happy Perihelion, post #26

Further evidence of extensive North American glaciation is given in Imbrie and Imbrie's book 'Ice Ages : Solving the Mystery'. Glacial till deposits are an excellent indicator of the extent of the ice sheets.
 

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  • #32
Mammo said:
Further evidence of extensive North American glaciation is given in Imbrie and Imbrie's book 'Ice Ages : Solving the Mystery'. Glacial till deposits are an excellent indicator of the extent of the ice sheets.

And what do you see in reality, reading actually what it says? Confusion and conflict and Imbrie & Imbrie had not even begin to think about possible dating calibration problems with 14C dating, which lead to huge differences in the 20 ka bracked.
 
  • #33
Andre said:
And what do you see in reality, reading actually what it says? Confusion and conflict and Imbrie & Imbrie had not even begin to think about possible dating calibration problems with 14C dating, which lead to huge differences in the 20 ka bracked.
No, the confusion was the realisation that there are warm interstadials during a glacial period. This was evidenced by the advance and retreat of the ice sheets.

I think that you have a valid case in showing that the Eurasian icesheet is now believed to be a lot less extensive than initially assumed. But this has a reasonable explanation - a low rate of precipitation. What is the reason why there wouldn't have been extensive glaciation of the North American continent?
 
  • #34
Mammo said:
No, the confusion was the realisation that there are warm interstadials during a glacial period. This was evidenced by the advance and retreat of the ice sheets.

I think that you have a valid case in showing that the Eurasian icesheet is now believed to be a lot less extensive than initially assumed. But this has a reasonable explanation - a low rate of precipitation. What is the reason why there wouldn't have been extensive glaciation of the North American continent?

We are running around in circles. As I have shown over and over again, the paleo zoological evidence in Siberia massively points to warm conditions just prior to the last glacial maximum, in the assumed period of the advancing ice sheets in America but as advancing ice sheet kill evidence where they flow, the only valid evidence is likely the dating of maximum extent but there is no way to know how long the sheet was at that maximum. Moreover it would be pretty interesting to see an explanation for a big ice sheet on America some 24,700 calendar years ago, when the http://www.yukonmuseums.ca/mammoth/abstrmol-mor.htm
 
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  • #35
Andre said:
We are running around in circles. As I have shown over and over again, the paleo zoological evidence in Siberia massively points to warm conditions just prior to the last glacial maximum, in the assumed period of the advancing ice sheets in America but as advancing ice sheet kill evidence where they flow, the only valid evidence is likely the dating of maximum extent but there is no way to know how long the sheet was at that maximum. Moreover it would be pretty interesting to see an explanation for a big ice sheet on America some 24,700 calendar years ago, when the http://www.yukonmuseums.ca/mammoth/abstrmol-mor.htm

Professor Guthrie talks about the advance of the treeline during interstadials in his book. This is the real anomaly which needs understanding with a full explanation. The insolation due to orbital mechanics is symmetric and calculable. So why are there large periods of warm weather during a glacial period? This is the question.
 
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