BobG said:
I don't agree with the doctrine and the administration definitely squashed any rational debate by misrepresenting the situation to the public before and during the debate, but it's not such a delusional idea not to at least consider the possibilities.
It was, however, somewhat delusional to ignore the effect 10 years of 'reaping the peace dividend' had on the military and it seriously ignored the cultural background and history of the region. I just think any serious analysis would have to conclude that a unified, democratic Iraq would be a miracle, regardless of the strength of our military. It's not impossible to pull off - the odds of South Africa succeeding had to be considered pretty slim - but it would be an accomplishment that would cement one's position as the greatest, or one of the greatest, leaders in world history.
Bush believed he could pull it off. The entire attitude of the Bush administration has been that they are so good at what they do that they create their own reality. That assessment has turned out to be truly delusional.
All good points. The doctrine of Bush is an extension or component of the principle of unitary executive, which based on recent experience seems to based upon the fact that the president is the only one who can determine what is best for the country. That is not a principle found in the Constitution. That is why there are checks and balances, and that is why Congress is given authority of 'advice and consent'. There is always the danger that the president will act with self-interest and/or in the interest of a small group of people (his/her political patrons), which may conflict with the interest of the people and of the nation. Clearly this is the case with Bush.
Some of Bennett's speech -
I can find experts who will tell us this would be the very best thing we could possibly do, and that the Middle East will be much more peaceful, and that liberty will be on the march if we just stand firm. Out of the newspapers we can find plenty of columnists who will tell us that.
I can find other experts who will say this is the greatest disaster we would possibly bring upon the Middle East, and that if we attack Iraq, we will unleash a whole Pandora’s box of problems. The Arab street will rise up, and America will be hated for 100 years. There are plenty of columnists in the newspapers who will tell us that.
I can find experts who will say: Weapons of mass destruction will be used against Israel if we move ahead against Iraq; that there will be biological and chemical attacks not only against Israel but against American installations everywhere; that American multinational companies will become the targets of biological and chemical attacks; and that all of this can be averted if we just continue the discussions. I can find plenty of columnists and people in the newspapers who will tell us that.
Then there are those who say: If we do not act, we will so embolden Saddam Hussein and all the other dictators of the area that they will never move in a peaceful direction; we will have inevitable war, and it will be many times worse than anything that would be triggered by action taken now. Again, in the newspapers, I can find plenty of columnists who will tell us that.
So this is a truly Presidential decision, and it will be made not in George Bush’s head or in the heads of those around him—DICK CHENEY, Colin Powell, Don Rumsfeld, Condoleezza Rice, brilliant people all; they stack up their degrees, they stack up their accomplishments in the world, and this is as glittering an array of talent as any President has ever assembled to advise him on foreign policy matters—but the ultimate decision will be made in the President’s gut because this is a truly Presidential decision fraught with so many unknowable consequences and possible side effects that no one, no matter how smart, can accurately analyze them in advance and come to a neat and tidy and firm conclusion.
I can't see that Cheney or Rumsfeld are brilliant. Arrogant and pompous, vain and self-serving, and perhaps devious and perhaps even demented and depraved, but not brilliant. Rice and Powell are possibly brilliant, but then Rice was so wrong on the Soviet Union.
Bush is not surrounded by brilliant people. Clearly those who maintained that an invasion of Iraq would be "the very best thing we could possibly do, and that the Middle East will be much more peaceful, and that liberty will be on the march if we just stand firm" were wrong. Should they not be identified and disqualified from future public service? Such people ignored or discounted the evidence in favor of their biases and prejudices, or wishful thinking, or wallowed in denial.
Those who maintained that war in Iraq would be "the greatest disaster we would possibly bring upon the Middle East, and that if we attack Iraq, we will unleash a whole Pandora’s box of problems" were pretty much on the mark. Those are the people, perhaps some pessimistic, who bothered to understand the reality.
The invasion of Iraq didn't cause the problem. It was the aftermath of poor and inadequate planning, the lack of security, the brutality imposed on the Iraqi people, the absolute disaster of Bremer and the CPA, the total lack of action on the part of administration appointees and political affiliates who sat on their behinds, who did absolutely nothing and who got paid very well for doing nothing (document by Tomas Ricks,
Fiasco and Bob Woodward,
State of Denial, and many others places).
Bush and his supporters state that the US will win as long as the US occupation continues. I disagree. Bush is trying to win in a no-win situation. He lost it back in 2003, when he failed to ensure a viable recovery and reconstruction process, not to mention the brutality he unleashed upon the Iraqi people. The longer the US remains, the worse it will get, not only in Iraq, but throughout the area.
For an interesting perspective on the Middle East and the various conflicts, listen to an interview with Thomas Friedman, columnist and author.
Thomas Friedman on Syria's Role in the Mideast Conflict
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5597591
Fresh Air from WHYY, August 1, 2006 · New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman just returned from a trip to Israel, Jordan and Syria. He talks with us about the war between Israel and Hezbollah, and where Syria fits in. "Syria is really at the center of so much of what's going on right now," Friedman says.