What is the probability of males liking or being neutral towards the commercial?

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating probabilities related to males' preferences towards a commercial, specifically focusing on the likelihood of them liking or being neutral towards it. The problem involves applying the general addition rule of probability and understanding the nature of the events involved.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Conceptual clarification

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster attempts to use the general addition rule to find the probability of two events, but questions arise regarding the independence of those events. Some participants suggest that the events are exclusive rather than independent, leading to confusion about the appropriate method to apply.

Discussion Status

Participants are exploring different interpretations of the problem, with some suggesting a simpler approach based on percentages rather than probability theory. There is an ongoing clarification regarding the definitions of the events in question and their relationship to each other.

Contextual Notes

There is a lack of clarity regarding the definitions of events A and B, which has led to confusion in the application of probability rules. The original poster's approach may not align with the nature of the events as described by other participants.

maiad
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Finding probabilities through general addition rule

Homework Statement


http://postimg.org/image/q9ztktpot/

Homework Equations


P(A or B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A and B)
P(A and B)=P(A)P(B)

The Attempt at a Solution


The question is for part b). It said it was only focused on the mens so i ignored all the other numbers.
I used the general addition rule where P(A or B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A and B). Since these events are independent, i used this equation... P(A and B)=P(A)P(B). I found P(A) from 400/2000= 0.2
I found P(B) from 500/2000=0.25. Then i found P(A and B)=P(A)P(B)=0.05

Now i plugged it into the general addition rule... P(A or B)=0.2+0.25-0.05=0.4 but it was wrong.
What did i do wrong?
 
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The events are not independent, they are exclusive; if a man likes the commercial the probability that he is neutral is zero.

But you do not need probability theory to answer (b) anyway - it is a simple percentage question.
 
Would it just be (400+500)/2000 =0.45?
 
Last edited:
Yes :)
 
is it because the two varibles can't overlap because their exclusive so we don't have to account for the everlap so we don't need to use the inclusion-exclusion rule?
 
maiad said:
is it because the two varibles can't overlap because their exclusive so we don't have to account for the everlap so we don't need to use the inclusion-exclusion rule?

Your question is impossible to answer, since you do not tell us what you mean by A and B, etc.
 
Let A be the males that like the commercial and B, the male that are neutral towards the commercial
 

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