StatGuy2000 said:
...btw, I am skeptical of your claim that Republican policies actually produce better scientific results on key parts of the issues you raise, to the extent that these policies are actually Republican issues as opposed to issues with bipartisan support, but that's a separate argument...
I can answer that and if it turns into a stand-alone conversation, we can just split it.
The miracle that is fracking caught most people by surprise, including me -- and I was trying to pay attention and still missed it! As of 2013, in absolute terms, carbon emissions by the US are down 9% from their peak in 2005.
http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/indicators/ghg/us-ghg-emissions.html
This drop is mosty due to fracking for natural gas. Last month, for the first time ever, natural gas supplanted coal as the leading source of electricity in the US:
http://www.usnews.com/news/business...rpasses-coal-as-biggest-us-electricity-source
Here's the electrical generation history since 2005:
http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data...echart<ype=pin&rtype=s&maptype=0&rse=0&pin=
Here's the recent US and others' carbon emission history:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...w-more-slowly-in-2012-will-they-ever-decline/
About the best that could be said about the current administration is that they didn't see fracking coming and as a result hasn't been able to stand in the way:
In announcing the new rules, Interior Secretary Sally Jewell said current well-drilling regulations are more than 30 years old, "and they simply have not kept pace with the technical complexities of today's hydraulic fracturing operations."
That was only a few months ago.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...artment-fracking-rules-sally-jewell/25101133/
To Obama's credit, I suppose, he didn't try to ban fracking - I'm not sure he even could, but he could have tried - and he got blasted by environmentalists for not trying:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mark-ruffalo/stop-fracking_b_3786370.html
The most damning part of this is that "environmentalists" have actually flip-flopped their position on natural gas, because of fracking. Prior to the rise of fracking, they said that natural gas would be a "bridge" to a carbon free economy because it would supplant coal and thus greatly reduce carbon emissions. That's absolutely true, but now that it actually happened, they have started arguing the opposite -- a wrong, anti-science stance:
The national green lobbies initially welcomed shale gas. In 2009, for example, Robert Kennedy Jr., head of the Waterkeeper Alliance, called it “an obvious bridge fuel to the ‘new’ energy economy.” Local environmental activists were not as enthusiastic, arguing that fracking contaminates drinking water and causes other forms of pollution. After a while, some of the national lobbies began to come around to the locals’ side. In the words of the journalist Matt Ridley, “it became apparent that shale gas was a competitive threat to renewable energy.” Josh Fox, director of the anti–natural gas documentary Gasland, put it bluntly on Kennedy’s radio show: “What’s really happening here is not a battle between natural gas and coal. What’s happening here is a battle between another dirty fossil fuel and renewable energy.”
http://reason.com/archives/2011/07/22/natural-gas-flip-flop
Renewables have been rising and show no signs (yet) of starting to level-off, but solar is still well under 1% and wind just under 5% (up from 1% in 2007), whereas natural gas is up from about 21% to 30%. It appears to me that having a good solution isn't good enough: it has to be
their solution.
As techtonic of a shift fracking has been, it's nothing compared to what nuclear power could have been and the damage caused by "environmentalists'" opposition to nuclear power. How many nuclear plants did "environmentalists" prevent from being built in the US since 1980 due to their activism? Fifty? A hundred? Even
one nuclear reactor blocked by "environmentalism", operating for 5 years, would have displaced more carbon dioxide than all of the solar power ever implemented in the US, combined. Three nuclear reactors, if operating since 1985, would have saved more carbon than all of the solar and wind power in the US ever has. Obama tried very hard to support solar power and despite all the hype over the annual triple-digit increases in output, it has amounted to almost nothing altogether. Natural gas and nuclear have done vastly more and nuclear could have done vastly more-er had "environmentalists" just stayed out of the way.