pinball1970 said:
Right. A study, I am going to ask, intelligent hard working people who I respect the following.
What is a Scientific theory?
What is Evolution?
What is the Theory of Evolution? Is that different to Evolution?
I will report back.
I appreciate that people can be intelligent, hard working AND not be interested in Science and a lot of other stuff that does not affect their lives.
Two anecdotes, one today. I told a co worker that a meteor had hit Webb (I didn't want to use the word micrometeoroid as I had just learned that term)
She said, 'Oh god who is that?'
The other was from a few years ago, again a hard working tax paying mother. A good person.
World war one and two, what is the difference? Her son who was 8 at the time was learning at school and asked her questions she didn't know so asked me.
WW1 trenches, mustard gas, Somme, Gallipoli. Yanks, The great war.
WW2 Dunkirk, Hitler, Churchill, the Blitz, D day the bomb and Yanks again.
Blank stare.
This person manipulates spread sheets that would twist me into knots.
Is Evolution just a theory would generate two questions.
What is Evolution?
What is a theory?
I am going to do this
I think this is interesting, but I wonder if it goes anywhere, it is the nature of ill-defined terms to allow a wide range of answers and these answers often change even from the same person. As new information becomes available we have to be able to fit this into a coherent framework, if we start from a position that unclear this can be very difficult.
Even within this thread, there are quite a few references to genes, so what's the relationship between genes and Darwinian Evolution. Darwin described a process that appeared to influence how species changed in response to the effects of their interaction's with the environment on their fitness.
Darwin didn't know what a gene was but that didn't matter really because the evolution he described worked at the level of the organism / species, not at the level of individual genes. His theory provided an explanation for some of the changes that occur over a period of time in a population. It didn't explain all changes or all the potential mechanisms that could be driving these changes, genetics for example introduced a whole new set of theories. In many ways that's what evolution is, it's a set of theories with each one potentially having different levels of supporting evidence.
We can in fact be fairly confident about some of these theories providing accurate explanations, while others, for example in evolutionary psychology, can be highly suspect
A theory, well that's a guess isn't it.? Unless you are talking about a theory in science, in which case it takes on an almost opposite meaning. We can of course, make guesses about how to explain things based on other explanations and observations so a lot of guesses are not totally unsupported, but generally the support is rather unstructured and not well-informed.
In some cases people might want to check out the explanations they are using to explain things, a useful way of doing this is to make predictions about what should happen if your right. There are ways of doing this, and you need to check out other peoples ideas. A scientist might call this sort of guess, a hypothesis, and they then need to work out the best ways to test their hypothesis.
If there is sufficient evidence that your guess does provide a credible structured explanation of what is going on this should allow you to develop more predictive guesses to test and gather more evidence, in this case it can be called a scientific theory and you can start applying for grants. :) This does mean that a theory can be just about anything, the word always need qualifying.
We need to get away from the arguments about who is right or wrong, I don't pretend to know if this is even possible, but in cases where the arguments are futile, why are we engaging in them. Essentially, science is about generating good explanatory frameworks and testing them, if necessary to destruction. The ability to make reliable predictions based on these frameworks does tend over time to percolate down through the population and it becomes increasingly difficult to ignore this.
Ideally, we should be able to simply ignore much of the criticism, the fact is that people who promote alternative explanations should be able to generate evidence to support them. Instead of being pushed into defending certain ideas we should be asking them to provide their alternatives because explanations like "god did it" or you "must have faith" are not very credible at all, not even to those using them.