Nuclear winter, would it happen?

[Vierstein]

Models suggest that the ash and fumes caused by cities set on fire by nuclear war would cause a nuclear winter.

Are these models still valid, or do more refined models suggest that such a scenario would not occour, or that even a limited nuclear war would cause an extended nuclear winter?

What is the update on the model of nuclear winter out of the 80s?

 

[Andre]

Robock et al 2007

Mills et al 2008

 

[Huyen401]

It is difficult to definitively answer these questions without knowing specifically which models you are referring to. However, there have been many advancements and refinements in the study of nuclear winter since the 1980s.

One key development is the use of computer simulations and climate models, which can provide more accurate and detailed predictions of the effects of nuclear war. These models have shown that a limited nuclear war, while still devastating, would not necessarily result in a full-scale nuclear winter.

Additionally, there has been ongoing research and analysis of historical data from events such as volcanic eruptions and large-scale fires, which can provide valuable insights into the potential effects of a nuclear war.

Overall, while the concept of nuclear winter is still a valid concern, the specific predictions and scenarios have evolved and continue to be refined as new data and technology become available. It is important to stay informed and updated on the latest research in this area.